Author Archives: admin

2007 Fantasy Football Review – Week 11

Posted on by

This Week’s Top Team: Still going for 140+ – Damn! Just missed it, 138 points this week. Crapperoo!QB: Carson Palmer vs. Arizona: “Palmer is a very good and accurate quarterback” but apparently he forgot that on Sunday. 4 interceptions, 3 to one guy, and 2 returned for touchdowns. Needless to say, Palmer didn’t have a huge day. He did manage a couple touchdown passes and over 300 yards though, which gave him 17 fantasy points. It could have been so much better if he just stopped throwing the ball to Antrell Rolle.

RB: LaDainian Tomlinson vs. Houston: LT’s 21 fantasy points rated him 2nd amonfst running backs. That’s what I like to see. Only Chester Taylor’s huge day one-upped the best running back in the game.

RB: Brian Westbrook vs. Miami: Westy didn’t score, but his 148 rushing yards still managed him 14 points for me. Not bad for a guy that went without a touchdown.

WR: Larry Fitzgerald vs. Cincinnati: 93 yards and a touchdown catch… Not to bad for one of the most consistent fantasy wide receivers in the game. It was only the 7th best day for a receiver, but it was still a nice 15 point effort. I’ll take it.

WR: Randy Moss vs. Buffalo: “Randy hasn’t had a 3 touchdown day in a while, and I know the Patriots had a bye last week, but he’s probably pissed he didn’t get a TD during the off-week. I expect him to use the youthful secondary in Buffalo.” Would you consider 4 TDs and 128 yards using a defense? That’s what I’d call it. And I’ll take every single one of those 36 fantasy points.

TE: Antonio Gates vs. New Orleans: 54 yards and a touchdown. He was 3rd behind Cooley and Donald Lee, two guys who each caught a pair of scores. Still, Gates remains a threat even with Phillip Rivers’ down season under center. 11 points for Gates.

K: Neil Rackers vs. Cincinnati: Neil’s team put up tons of points against the Bengals, but my kicker bad luck followed him into the game, and his only points came off 5 extra points. Gross. He did miss a field goal. Sorry, Neil, I won’t pick you anymore.

D: Green Bay vs. Carolina: The Packers had a nice pooch punt return for a touchdown, and they put up 19 points while picking off the Panthers a few times with a couple sacks, and a fumble recovery. It was a good day to be a Packer fan.

LUCKY’S Week 11 SLEEPERS

Jeff Garcia: Garcia put up the 11th best fantasy day for quarterbacks, finishing ahead of Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, Jon Kitna, Derek Anderson, Drew Brees and more. I’d give myself an A for this call, 18 points for Jeff.

Earnest Graham: 102 yards and a touchdown, that’s yet another consistent week from Earnest. That’s what I’m talking about! A

Chester Taylor: I don’t know what I can say, Taylor put 164 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground, and had 30+ receiving yards. I hope you heeded my advice and used Taylor to get a big W this weekend. A++

Edgerrin James: 52 yards and a touchdown, the Edge just might be losing a step or two – in fact, he may “no longer have the edge”. Yeah, that was pathetic, but his 11 fantasy points were worth a C+

D.J. Hackett: Huge day for this kid. He’s a dandy, the best receiver on the Hawks squad. He was the 3rd best receiver catching a bunch of balls for 136 yards and a touchdown. 19 fantasy points – A+

Ike Hilliard: 1 catch, 14 yards = very bad day for Ike, very bad pick by Lucky – F

Todd Heap: Heap was out with vaginitas in his ankle – so I once against expected too much from the fragile Ravens tight end. F

Eagles: Held the Dolphins to 7 points – and that was a kick return. 0 offensive points given up by the Eagles D – They only put up 12 points, but I’ll take that for a team that was ranked in the bottom 6 teams in the league.

LUCKY’S Week 11 Splinter-Butts (bench him, son)

Vince Young: VY had a huge day, 300+ yards for the first time ever, 70+ rushing yards, and a score on the ground and in the air – err – I missed this one by a couple hundred yards or so… F

Jamal Lewis: Lewis had an even better game against his old team this time around. Apparently he’s trying to prove something, and almost single handily willing his Browns to victory over the falling Ravens. F

Justin Fargas: Fargas was mediocre at best. He managed just 60 yards on 22 carries, but caught a few balls for 29 yards as well. His 8 points made him not a great start, but not the worst option either. I’ll take a C for this one.

Lee Evans: 4 fantasy points – 2 more than I figured from the extremely talented wideout. Evens got 40 yards on 4 catches, but needless to say, I was right about the Pats shutting the Bills’ star down. A

2007 Fantasy Football theRUNDOWN Week 11

Posted on by

This Week’s Top Team: Still going for 140+ – not an easy feat, but if I do it right, it’s possible.

QB: Carson Palmer vs. Arizona: Palmer is a very good and accurate quarterback and the Cardinals defense doesn’t show up on the road. The Bengals haven’t gone off in a while, so I imagine it’s bound to happen this week in Cinci.

RB: LaDainian Tomlinson vs. New Orleans: Tomlinson is about do for a fantasy football Jesus game, and he’s going up against Houston. Good luck Texans, I’m sure Tomlinson is going to try to take his “best back in the league” crown back this week against you.

RB: Brian Westbrook vs. Miami: Westbrook is one of the 5 most dangerous offensive players in the league. He goes up against a very, very bad Dolphins defense this week at home in Philly. Westy killed it last week, and I expect a repeat in Week 11.

WR: Larry Fitzgerald vs. Cincinnati: Larry has been balling it up, and is on pace for just about 1400 yards and 7 touchdown passes. I believe he’ll eclipse both of those numbers, which means he has to have some huge games. Hold on to Larry’s superman cape, because he’ll take you to the fantasy promise land.

WR: Randy Moss vs. Buffalo: Randy hasn’t had a 3 touchdown day in a while, and I know the Patriots had a bye last week, but he’s probably pissed he didn’t get a TD during the off-week. I expect him to use the youthful secondary in Buffalo.

TE: Antonio Gates vs. New Orleans: Phillip Rivers has been bad, but he’s young, and I think he’ll pop back into his accurate throwing ways here late in the year. Gates will find wide open spaces in the Texans’ secondary, so expect a big game from him.

K: Neil Rackers vs. Cincinnati: Is there anyway he’ll have less than a couple field goals and extra points against Cincinnati? I sure hope not, but knowing my kicker luck, he’ll go 0-2 and get maybe one extra point. Damn kickers!

D: Green Bay vs. Carolina: The Packers are a very good young defense that forces turnovers, shuts down the run, and causes good things to happen for their team. The Panthers are brutal in all those areas offensively. Good match-up, big points.

LUCKY’S Week 11 SLEEPERS

Jeff Garcia: The Falcons have won 2 straight, and they are way too poor of a team to win 3. That being said, I imagine Jeff will have one of his big days to lead the Bucs in a must win game for the NFC South leader.

Earnest Graham: Believe it or not, I also like Graham against the Falcons. Grady Jackson’s been cut, and he was a key run stuffer for the Falcons. I think the Bucs will out pass and muscle the Falcons.

Chester Taylor: Starting in AP’s place, Taylor walks right in to a pretty favorable match-up. The Raiders aren’t tough against the run, and they aren’t good enough to limit Taylor’s touches. Chester is no Peterson, but he’s definitely good enough to torch the Vikings behind his stellar offensive line.

Edgerrin James: Edge hasn’t done big things lately, but he’s consistent, and consistency goes a long way against the Bengals.

D.J. Hackett: Finally healthy, and in my opinion, the best receiver in Seattle. With that new throw it often approach, he should post good numbers for the rest of the season, with Deion Branch in or not.

Ike Hilliard: It’s something I never thought I’d say, but Ike is probably a good play this week against Atlanta. Opposite Joey Galloway, Ike will get the 2nd corner and he’ll do enough to justify a play if you’re in a pinch.

Todd Heap: What a crappy offense. But with Boller, at least the Ravens will have a shot to get some offense going. Yes, Steve McNair has been that bad. Heap should be back to 100% or close, and that should be enough to get 60+ yards and maybe even a score.

Eagles: Can the Dolphins put up points on the Eagles? Maybe with Cleo Lemon in, but not with new starter John Beck. He’s still raw, and word out of Miami is that he hasn’t looked good in practice. That means good things for Eagle owners, and if they’re on the free agent list, pick them up for a big week.

LUCKY’S Week 11 Splinter-Butts (bench him, son)

Vince Young: He has to be benched, in my opinion, even against a less than stellar Broncos team. His passing has been poor, and overall, his touchdowns are just too low to play him.

Jamal Lewis: Lewis goes up against the Ravens, and this time they won’t allow any touchdowns, I can all but guarantee it. Expect very little from this former Raven.

Justin Fargas: Fargas has put together a couple good games, but a week after the Vikings were torched on the ground at the hands of Ryan Grant and the Packers, they will be pissed, and most likely dominate anything the Raiders run at them.

Lee Evans: As talented as he is, the Patriots know how to eliminate him from the game. It’s obvious, but sit JP Losman, too. I almost get the feeling that the Bills kept Losman in there just so they could see him fail and put Edwards back in next week. Do NFL teams really do that? Maybe I’m seeing too much conspiracy theory.

Week 10 NFL Picks Review: 2007

Posted on by

“We finally get into the double digits, and if you know my game, this is where I start making up for any early season blunders.” How’s 7-0 for a start to the double digit weeks? Check in next week as I try to continue my run to the fortune 100… Here’s my review.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5) @ Tennessee Titans: win
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: Belmont)

The Jaguars just imposed their will on the Titans, and some of it probably had to do with Albert Haynesworth being out of the game. However, the Jags just wanted this one more, and it came down to losing the season opener on their own home-field against these very Titans. These teams are so even that the little things, like redemption, are so important going into a game like this. The Jags won, and I won big.

Denver Broncos (+4) @ Kansas City Chiefs: win
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: SBG Global)

“From the sound of it, the Broncos are ready to play up to their potential. Denver has been down for most of the year, despite one game against the Steelers, and they very well could have lost that game. Anyhow, Denver has the talent to compete with the best, and I think they’ll put the Chiefs away with relative ease at Sunday’s game in Kansas City.” This was definitely a pretty easy win for the Broncos. Selvin Young filled in nicely for Travis (THC) Henry and Jay Cutler did enough of his thing for the Broncos to get the W. However, the key in this game was the Broncos defense, a unit that finally stepped up when they needed to.

St. Louis Rams (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints: win
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: 5Dimes)

“Honestly, I don’t think the Rams will need half this many points, but I’ll take all 13 and a half of them from 5Dimes. I think the Rams could pull the biggest upset of the week by finally notching their first win against a Saints’ team that comes in with way too much hype for what they’ve accomplished thus far. What have they done? After 4 straight losses, they have a good 1st half against one of the more schizophrenic teams in the NFL (Seattle) and hold on to beat them by 11. Then they sneak by Atlanta (22-16) and probably would have lost if Leftwich hadn’t been hurt (he was torching the Saints’ secondary, believe it or not) and then they beat a terrible San Francisco team in Alex Smith’s first game since his injury, and the game was very close in Jacksonville last week (despite the 41-24 score), and Quinn Gray was calling plays for the Jaguars. Honestly, I think a lot of people are going to lose their survivor pools by taking the Saints in this one.” Yes sir! You have to admit, when I call ’em, I definitely call ’em… The Saints took a lot of survivor hopefuls out when they came in playing like sour piss on their home field. They didn’t knock me out of my survivor pool – but the Colts did – suckers. Well, a win for me here, and a perfect analysis, has me feeling pretty smart.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ Washington Redskins: win
(Line: Monday, 7:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

“Now that everyone thinks the Eagles are completely lost without a chance of every returning or becoming part of any sort of playoff picture, I think they’ll play a lot better. Regardless of what Andy Reid thinks, his problems have effected the team, and questions surrounding Donovan McNabb have also been swirling. All those things are pretty meaningless now that everyone and their mother thinks the Eagles are done.” I’m telling you, watch out for the Eagles, until people start talking about them making the playoffs, then they could struggle. I still think the Eagles are good enough to compete with the best in the East, and they’ll have a couple games to prove themselves moving forward. This was a huge win for the Eagles, McNabb, and Andy Reid.

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) @ Baltimore Ravens: win
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

The Bengals kicked a bunch of field goals and never scored one single touchdown, but they still easily beat the Ravens 21-7. Seven field goals… Gnarly. Cincinnati took advantage of the Ravens’ offense absolutely sucking. Yeah, that could be the worst unit in football. Chris Henry did play for the Bengals, as he came right in and led the team in receiving with 99 yards. Do I think the Bengals can fight their way back into the playoff picture? No chance – but they are definitely good enough to outscore the Ravens – that we’ve learned.

Chicago Bears (-3) @ Oakland Raiders: win
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

I hope you didn’t fade the public in this one. The Raiders couldn’t do much in any facet of their offense, and the Bears, behind Rex Grossman (yes, you heard that correctly) no tched a road win in Oakland. Benson didn’t impress me much, rushing for only 76 yards on 29 carries (that’s a gross average, just trust me) but he did enough, and Rex Grossman completed a deep pass to Bernard Berrien for a big score to put a fat stainless steel nail in the coffin. Justin Fargas had another solid game for the Raiders, but Josh McCown was pretty much useless, completing just over half his passes for 108 measly yards and an interception. The Bears went to 4-5 with a 17-6 win, making me 6-0 on Sunday.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-10): win
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

The Hawks looked good in their initial phasing out of Shaunna Alexander, shutting down the 49ers to the tune of 24-0. The game wasn’t close, and the Hawks didn’t have to score much in the 2nd half to put this game out of reach, so the over wasn’t reached. The Hawks dominated this game from the moment Alex Smith missed a wide open Darrell Jackson streaking down the right side of the field for a sure touchdown. After that, it looked like the 49ers were lost. Frank Gore, who many have said had a bad game, rushed only 13 times for 73 yards – which doesn’t seem to bad to me. What I do know is that the 49ers are always behind, which limits their ability to use Frank.

Ask Papa Weimer Fantasy Football Know-It-All Nov 11

Posted on by

It’s Week 10, and just like every other season, there’s a couple guys that have witnessed that one asshole, who is 6th in the league in total points, go undefeated thus far. It’s painful, I know, but something we all have to deal with as fantasy football team owners. And to answer your question, no, don’t have that guy “taken care of” his mediocre team will fall apart like Britney Spears at a frat party. Just have a drink and watch the imploding happen.

Drop me your Fantasy Questions @ papaweimer50@hotmail.com

I’m getting killed with Steven Jackson and Frank Gore, a running back tandem that I thought would lead me to the promise land. Now I have LenDale White and Kevin Jones as backups, so I’m not out of the playoff picture. This week, which two would you start amongst those 4 runners? – Brunson Carlson in Kansas

BC – I’d go with Steven Jackson and Frank Gore (if the injury report guarantees the young Miami product will start). If there’s questions surrounding Gore going into Sunday, I’d take a chance on Kevin Jones. In fact, how about just going with KJ. I love Gore’s game, and he kills the Seahawks, but Jones is more of a sure thing seeing as though he’s healthy, and the Cardinals haven’t been the most dominant run defense this season. White is going against Jacksonville, and I’m pretty sure the Jags will slow that rushing attack and beat the Titans. Anyhow, the safe bet is Jackson and Jones, with an upside pick with risk being Frank Gore. It all depends what you need. If it looks like you’ll need big games, maybe take the chance on Gore, but if you think some sure thing points will get you the W – roll with KJ.

Papa, I have a good problem this week, I have a log-jam at receiver and don’t know who to start. My handful of WRs looks like this – Lee Evans, Terrell Owens, Plaxico Burress, Braylon Edwards, and Hines Ward – which 3 would you give the starting nod to? – J. Dog in Florida

Wow! You must be having a pretty good season, and absolutely running the league in a point per reception league. Anyway, I like Evans against Miami, because their defense is terrible, and he is one of the fastest game breakers in the league – but he is definitely a hit or miss receiver – you get huge games and 2 catches for 23 yard games. I’d lean toward huge, and he’ll most likely finish in the Top 3 of your 5 candidates – but he’s not the safest bet. Edwards has the toughest match-up, but I think the Browns will be throwing a lot, and Edwards is definitely an elite talent, so I think he’ll have a decent day in a loss to the Steelers. But I think your safest three picks are TO, Plaxico, and Ward. Ward is always decent grabbing enough balls for 80 yards and a score or two against a bad Browns secondary. Owens and Burress should both play a huge roll in an expected shootout in New York – and both are great big play threats and should get plenty of looks this Sunday. If I were you, I’d probably start Evans, Burress, and Edwards – but any combination of that log jam should stop the river.

I’m in a league where you get to keep 2 players, but nobody in the first 3 rounds. Also, next season you lose one draft pick ahead of where you drafted them. For some dumb reason, I have to decide next week. Here’s my top 4 candidates and the rounds I will lose in next season’s draft- LenDale White 10th, Braylon Edwards 6th, Derek Anderson 15th, and Randy Moss 3rd – which two would you take? William Crumpler in Cleveland

Bill, you have a tough couple decisions to make. All are great options for your format, and you have to be in a hurting seeing as though you have to make the choice next week. Ideally, I’d rather see Randy complete the season and resign with the Patriots, or some other team with a great quarterback, before I used the keeper option on him, but he is definitely your best player. However, I think Braylon Edwards has just as much upside, and a chance to be great, for 3 rounds less than Moss. But Edwards has his question marks too, and they rest with Derek Anderson’s future in Cleveland. He’s been great, better than anyone person expected, but with Brady Quinn getting paid, and Anderson possibly deserving a new and upgraded contract, it will be interesting to see how long the Browns’ brass sticks with Anderson. Either way, I still think Edwards is your guy. LenDale White has had a very productive season for the Titans, and for a low 10th round pick, he might be a great option for you. However, the Titans have liked Chris Henry and Chris Brown. I personally like White’s upside, and costing you just a 10 should be great. I’d stay away from Anderson, if only because of the questions, and the fact that he’s a quarterback and you will have plenty of options to pick a decent one of those up in next season’s draft. I think Edwards is a sure thing keeper, he’s a Top 10 TE, and you’re only wasting a 6th round pick for him. Now it’s between Moss and White, and while I’d be surprised if Moss went searching for a big check away from New England, he could, because he’s Randy, and who knows what he’ll do. I’d still take a chance on Randy – you lose a 3rd round pick, but you keep two of the games best receivers, and you will surely have plenty of options at running back in the first two rounds of the draft. However, I’d understand taking White – because you won’t be able to get a solid starting running back anytime after Round 5 – so that’s great value. Tough decisions, I’d go with the two receivers. Good luck.

Last Weeks Questions

Papa Weimer – **52 y/o – two open Heart surgeries and a nasty attitude**

Free NFL Football Picks 07-08 Week 10

Posted on by

We finally get into the double digits, and if you know my game, this is where I start making up for any early season blunders. The next 6 weeks are the most important for NFL teams and for my overall capping numbers alike. To get a quick start, I seem to be walking the underdog to the park this Sunday, this is how my free picks are looking in Week 10.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5) @ Tennessee Titans:
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: Belmont)

What can I say? I like the Jaguars’ chances to even their season series with the Titans in Tennessee. Vince hasn’t played well all season long, and I know he won’t be able to take advantage of the Jags’ secondary like New Orleans did last week. LenDale White is hurting, and Chris Brown’s ankle is sub-par right now. I think David Garrard will start and bring back some confidence with this offensive unit, just enough to win or play within a field goal of the Titans.

Denver Broncos (+4) @ Kansas City Chiefs:
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: SBG Global)

From the sound of it, the Broncos are ready to play up to their potential. Denver has been down for most of the year, despite one game against the Steelers, and they very well could have lost that game. Anyhow, Denver has the talent to compete with the best, and I think they’ll put the Chiefs away with relative ease at Sunday’s game in Kansas City. However, even if I’m wrong about the Broncos, I think 4 points is too many, and like many Bronco games, this should at least come down to a field goal.

St. Louis Rams (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints:
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: 5Dimes)

Honestly, I don’t think the Rams will need half this many points, but I’ll take all 13 and a half of them from 5Dimes. I think the Rams could pull the biggest upset of the week by finally notching their first win against a Saints’ team that comes in with way too much hype for what they’ve accomplished thus far. What have they done? After 4 straight losses, they have a good 1st half against one of the more schizophrenic teams in the NFL (Seattle) and hold on to beat them by 11. Then they sneak by Atlanta (22-16) and probably would have lost if Leftwich hadn’t been hurt (he was torching the Saints’ secondary, believe it or not) and then they beat a terrible San Francisco team in Alex Smith’s first game since his injury, and the game was very close in Jacksonville last week (despite the 41-24 score), and Quinn Gray was calling plays for the Jaguars. Honestly, I think a lot of people are going to lose their survivor pools by taking the Saints in this one.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ Washington Redskins:
(Line: Monday, 7:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

Now that everyone thinks the Eagles are completely lost without a chance of every returning or becoming part of any sort of playoff picture, I think they’ll play a lot better. Regardless of what Andy Reid thinks, his problems have effected the team, and questions surrounding Donovan McNabb have also been swirling. All those things are pretty meaningless now that everyone and their mother thinks the Eagles are done. Well, defensively, they are still good enough to slow the Redskins rushing attack, and Washington has been hurting at corner since Carlos Rogers went down for the season. McNabb and his average receiving corps will do fine under those circumstances, and the most talented running back in the NFC East will show his true colors again on Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) @ Baltimore Ravens:
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I personally hate gambling on either of these teams, but with the way the Ravens looked offensively and on the corners last Monday Night, I can’t imagine them beating anyone right now. The Bengals should get Chris Henry back, if this whole parking attendant thing doesn’t get him booted from the league, and he’ll be a much needed 3rd playmaker for that offense. Also, Kenny Watson should be back, and he should do alright catching the ball out of the Bengals’ backfield. Also, Chad Johnson’s hit may have been just what he needed to screw his head on straight, and start using his insane ability

Chicago Bears (-3) @ Oakland Raiders:
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

Another game the public loves, and while I hate it, I can’t see the Raiders beating the Bears, not in Oakland, or L.A., or any other place this side of Al Davis’s back yard. Oakland won’t be able to stop the Bears’ pathetic rushing attack, and thus the entire field will be opened up for Brian Griese and the hapless Bears. It sure is a popular pick, but Chicago’s not going to come into Oakland with the “We are the best in the NFC” attitude that they went in to Arizona with last season, and I don’t think they’ll be caught off guard. Tommie Harris is finally close to 100%, and I think he’ll destroy anything and everything the Raiders try to do offensively. I think this will be a blowout, but I’m not throwing too many units down on this, if only because the books totals (75% Bears) send a little fright down my direction – but you shouldn’t ever let that stop you – the book loses too, don’t forget that. Fading the public will only get you around 50% on the season.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-10):
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

I don’t think too much of this game, and once again, I wouldn’t bet on it if I didn’t take every single NFL game every week. That’s the rule, and thus I’ll take the home team Seahawks. What I do like about this game is the OVER (39.5) which I will definitely be taking. With Seattle using the air attack more often, and Frank Gore set to run against the team he always dominates, I think this game should reach the 50 point total mark. I know the 49ers haven’t done much scoring, but Seattle has a special way of allowing points. I’m taking the Hawks -10, because Alex Smith and the rest of the 49ers make too many mistakes. Sacks, fumbles, and interceptions should just barely get this game over 10.

2007 Fantasy Football Review – Week 10

Posted on by

This Week’s Top Team: 76 points? Gross. This is how it went down.QB: Peyton Manning vs. San Diego: Peyton had 6 picks, and still managed 15 fantasy points. This was one of the worst games of his career – so I’ll take the 15 when I can get em.

RB: Willis McGahee vs. Bengals: Willis didn’t do much worth talking about. He did manage a late score and thus went for 60 yards and a touchdown against the Bengals, losing a must win game in Baltimore. They are done, I got 13 points out of Willis.

RB: Larry Johnson vs. Denver: OUCH! When I originally posted this, I didn’t know LJ was out for the week. Took a big hit here, obviously.

WR: Larry Fitzgerald vs. Detroit: As I said, the Lions had one of the worst passing defenses in the league. Larry torched the Lions for 74 yards and two touchdowns – good for 19 points.

WR: Reggie Wayne vs. San Diego: Reggie had 140 yards and a touchdown, good for 20 points. Nice work.

TE: Jason Witten vs. New York Giants: Witten had 2 catches for 12 yards – gross – 1 fantasy point.

K: Josh Brown vs. San Francisco: Josh had another bad day for my kickers, managing 5 fantasy points after hitting 3 xps, making one field goal, and missing another one.

D: Titans vs. Jacksonville: 3 fantasy points killed me out of the Titans. Fred Taylor (and more effectively) Maurice Jones Drew had big games against the Titans supposed Top Flight run defense. Not today, folks.

LUCKY’S Week 10 SLEEPERS

JP Losman: Losman through for an amazing 4 fantasy points. I’d let you know his real numbers, except seeing them on the screen is bound to blur your vision. It was bad, trust me.

Greg Jennings: Greg fell just short of a touchdown on a long pass play, but he did collect 6 fantasy points. I expected a lot more from him in a blowout of the Vikings, but

Santonio Holmes: 53 receiving yards for Santonio – it seemed like Big Ben was keeping his eyes on Hines Ward a little more often this Sunday, but Holmes will remain a big play threat in this offense.

Greg Olsen: 0 catches against the Raiders – now that’s a terrible day – hopefully he’ll bounce back next week.

Chicago: 20 fantasy points for the Bears – not that it was tough work, they had to shut down the Raiders’ pathetic offense. They did that – what do they want? A cookie?

LUCKY’S Week 10 Splinter-Butts (bench him, son)

Phillip Rivers: -2… That wasn’t his golf score, so yes, he had one of the worst days of his career – and he’s had some bad days this season. Phillip needs to throw the ball harder.

Travis Henry: Didn’t play – so that’s a win right?

Ryan Grant: I missed this one. Grant had the best running day against the Vikings in ages, absolutely trumping Adrian Peterson, and making a name for himself as quite possibly a very good starter in Green Bay.

Alex Smith: 4 fantasy points for disappointing Smith – he underthrew a sure deep touchdown to Darrell Jackson on the team’s first offensive play, and after that it was all down hill. He didn’t take any chances, though, and thus threw no interceptions – that’s one bonus.

Darrell Jackson: Jackson had a chance to get open deep, but Alex Smith underthrew him and the ball ended up getting knocked down by the Hawks. That was it for DJack – he didn’t do anything worth mentioning. 26 yards? 2 fantasy points? That’s forgettable.

2007 Fantasy Football theRUNDOWN Week 10

Posted on by

This Week’s Top Team: Looking for 140+ points, as tough as that is to get, I think this team can put in work.

QB: Peyton Manning vs. San Diego: The Colts will be ready to bounce back against an up and down Chargers secondary. I’m sure the Chargers will come to play a little pissed off in this one, but Peyton knows how to beat any defense, and I’m positive he’ll put about 20+ on Sunday.

RB: Willis McGahee vs. Bengals: Well, Willis is very good and the Bungles are, well, the Bungles. I think Mr. McGahee will have his best fantasy day of the season.

RB: Larry Johnson vs. Denver: I like Grandma-ma’s chances to do up the Broncos. Denver seems to play like dump in KC, and that team is in the dumps right now. That’s a bad combo when a tough-nosed Chief team is ready to roll. LJ will get a couple scores in this one.

WR: Lee Evans vs. Cincinnati: I know Evans is up and down at best, but I think he’ll have yet another huge day against the Dolphins on Sunday. The only thing a bye week will do for Miami is make the team realize they really don’t have a shot at winning a game this season.

WR: Reggie Wayne vs. San Diego: I don’t think Reggie will drop another pass as long as the season plays out. He dropped a big one against the Patriots, and that gave New England the life they needed to come back. He’ll come back with a vengeance against the Chargers and have another Reggie type day.

TE: Jason Witten vs. New York Giants: Witten doesn’t care if you knock his helmet off – you’ve got to like that about a big sure-handed tight end. Also, I think the Cowboys are going to tear the Giants’ “good” defense a new one on Sunday.

K: Josh Brown vs. San Francisco: The Niners are bad, and the Hawks can’t seem to get their running game going, that spells a high scoring kicking game where I’m from. Plus, Josh got me out of the kicker dumps, so I may or may not ride him the rest of the season.

D: Titans vs. Jacksonville: Quinn Gray may get a little better this wee, he’s been better and better each week as the starter, but I have a feeling the Titans will shut down the Jaguar rushing attack, and that will hurt Jacksonville’s chance to score something fierce.

LUCKY’S Week 10 SLEEPERS

JP Losman: I know nobody likes to do it, but the kid from Buffalo could put up some points on Sunday against the Dolphins. He has Lee Evans as a weapon, and the Dolphins haven’t really stopped anyone.

Earnest Graham: It took him all of 34 carries, but the young back went for 124 yards and a touchdown on the ground in a big Bucs win over the Cardinals. He also grabbed a couple passes for 13 yards. Graham’s 19 points give me at least a B+.

Kevin Jones: Jones didn’t get too many looks after the Lions started killing the Broncos, he only had 72 yards on 17 carries. But he did alright. Anyway, I’ll take a D+ here, for blowout’s sake.

Rudi Johnson: 9 rushes for 11 yards – yikes – the Bengals are now officially the BUNGLES again… F stands for Fantasy Failure on this one.

Greg Jennings: This guy is a big play receiver for Brett, and I don’t think the Packers have a chance to run against the Vikings. That means lots of throws – Jennings will reel in more than a handful.

Santonio Holmes: If the Hawks’ receivers can get wide open and have Hasselbeck throw for 300+ yards against the Browns, then Holmes will definitely get open this Sunday. I like the young Steeler a lot this week.

Greg Olsen: Greg should be able to tear up the Oakland Raider’s secondary enough for some big plays down field. 2 big plays is a Top 5 day in the TE world…

Chicago: They haven’t been all that good all season long, that will turn around on Sunday against the Raiders. Thank God for a well scheduled game coming off a bye week.

LUCKY’S Week 10 Splinter-Butts (bench him, son)

Phillip Rivers: If he sucks against the slow secondary in Minnesota, imagine what the infinitely fast secondary in Indy will do to this young signal caller. He needs the throw the ball way harder if he wants to complete anything.

Travis Henry: Travis will find it tough sledding against a very good and way underrated front 7 in Kansas City. Plus, the Broncos are bad.

Ryan Grant: He had one huge day, then a so-so day against the Chiefs – he just has a terrible match-up against the Packers this week, I’d stash him on the bench for the rest of the season, just don’t play him against Minnesota.

Alex Smith: This guy plays a decent Hawks defense, and he has been no short of brutal. Leave him on the waiver wire where he belongs this season.

Darrell Jackson: The Hawks know this guy very well. They know he wasn’t worth much more than a 4th round pick, and he still hasn’t done dick for his new team. I don’t think that will change on Monday Night Football this week against his old ball club.

Week 9 NFL Picks Review: 2007

Posted on by

After a huge Week 8, week 9 brought me down quick… I was killed by half points, single points, 2 points… Every little thing went wrong in most games, injuries hurt me, and of course, the Chargers killed me for the billionth time this season. This is how it went down…

Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders (-3): loss
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

“This is a very tough game for me. First and foremost, I don’t think the Raiders should ever be favored, but this might be the exception to the rule.” Apparently, it wasn’t the exception to the rule after all – it’s official, the raiders, win or lose, should never be favored in any game. Defensively they are bad, and offensively neither McCown nor Culpepper can get enough done to make wins happen. You might see JaMarcus Russell next week in Oakland.

Washington Redskins (-3.5) @ N.Y. Jets: loss
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

Half a point… That sucks. Damn overtime field goals to lose games by a half a point. LT’s the only guy who ever runs for a touchdown to end a game in overtime, otherwise you’re going to get a 3 point game, and waiting with a half a point cushion is a painful thing in that instance. The Redskins win, but not by enough to make me a winner.

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5): win
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

It’s nice to get a win here and there during a very tough week. Earnest Graham had a lot of carries and 125 yards for the Bucs, and Arizona couldn’t do anything on the ground or through the air against a Tampa defense that came out tough, and stayed dominate all day long. It’s nice to get a win here an there, like I said.

New England Patriots (-5) @ Indianapolis Colts: loss
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

One point… That sucks. The Patriots really didn’t play like the better team in this one, they just got it done when they had to. They definitely looked beatable, and the Colts looked like the younger and faster team – even more physical on the offensive line. This might be the battle we see for the AFC Championship game – both these teams are very good.

San Diego Chargers (-7) @ Minnesota Vikings: loss
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I thought I was gold when Cromartie took that field goal back for 109.5 yards and a touchdown right before the half. Little did I know, I was in for the bad side of an NFL record breaking day by a rookie. Adrian “King of the World” Peterson ran all over the Chagers in the 2nd half. He finished the night with one more yard (296) than Jamal Lewis’s 295 yards a few years back. Peterson is the real deal, and a special player – see him when you can. LT and the Chargers fell again – and they always seem to kill me.

Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) @ Cleveland Browns: loss
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

One and a half points… That sucks. The Hawks are probably the toughest team for me to watch in the entire NFL. I expect decent things out of their roster, but when the really need to stop someone, they can’t, and when they really need a yard, there’s no way they get it if they use one of their running backs to get it. They traded D-Jack for a 4th round pick last season, I think they’ll be lucky to get a 4th rounder for Shaunna. This game, among the ones you see above, was one of the 3 games I lost by 2 points or less.

Baltimore Ravens (+10) @ Pittsburgh Steelers: loss
(Line: Monday, 11:00pm EST: BodogLife)

Forget this game… Well, at least I blew my 7-1 week perfectly with a 1-7 week, comes out even but also looks really bad. Now I definitely have some work to do.

Free NFL Football Picks 07-08 Week 9

Posted on by

A huge 6-1 week left me rolling in the dough, finally, in Week 8. This week, I’m trying to re-invest and demonstrate a more even slope toward the top of the damn chart. I was 7-1 with my elite picks as well, tough to beat a 13-2 run in the NFL, I’ll tell you that much. Here’s my Free picks for Week 9’s NFL games, as an added bonus, I’m giving out 8 picks this week.

Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders (-3):
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

This is a very tough game for me. First and foremost, I don’t think the Raiders should ever be favored, but this might be the exception to the rule. Matt Schaub is out, Ahman Green is probably out, and Andre Johnson is probably out. Also, Josh McCown makes the Raiders better via the air, which should open up the rushing attack a little more, so without further a due, I’ll take the Raiders at home minus a field goal.

Washington Redskins (-3.5) @ N.Y. Jets:
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

Finally, another defense that will make Jason Campbell look good. After the last few weeks, being a Campbell fan has been tough sledding, but the Jets will show up to give up tons of yards, tackle poorly, and guard next to no one. I like the Redskins here to turn it around. And personally, I’d like to thank the Patriots for making the Redskins look and feel so bad that not only is the line a little lower than I think it should be, but the Redskins should come into this game as fired up as they’ve been all season long. With Clemmens in, the Jets have more of a chance, but with Coles out (head injury), the receiving corps will struggle a bit. Cotchery isn’t good enough yet to be the true #1 guy.

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5):
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I guess I like the Bucs’ ability to do all the little things right. I think they’re outmatched talent-wise, but being at home, with a big opportunity to get a big win, against a Cardinal team that is prone to mistakes, make me like the Bucs here. Jeff Garcia is a winner when getting even an ounce of hope. That’s not only admirable, but worth a bet. Plus, I like this Earnest Graham cat a lot.

New England Patriots (-5) @ Indianapolis Colts:
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I’m going with the Patriots here, but not because this bet has good value, the value is in fact terrible. This has to be the first time in the history of lines and wagering on sporting events that an undefeated returning champion is an underdog at home, let alone by 5, 6, and even 7 points at some books. The problem is, I actually think this is a fair assessment of the talent of these two teams. The Patriots are probably the best team I’ve seen for a very long time. They are very good in every aspect of the game, and you know what they say, “Hard work beats talent unless talent works hard.” The Patriots work the hardest and have the most talent. How can you bet against them?

San Francisco 49ers (+3.5) @ Atlanta Falcons:
(Line: Tuesday, 11:00pm EST: 5Dimes)

I think the Falcons are too far gone to win this game. San Francisco still has a shot at the West, despite their recent struggles. Frank Gore will find running room against a very bad rushing defense that just lost their best run-stuffing defensive lineman. There are many Falcons that think, and have expressed their opinion that, the front office is giving up on this season, and preparing for next year. True or not, that’s not the kind of thing I like the team I’m betting on to be thinking. Needless to say, I’ll be taking the Niners.

San Diego Chargers (-7) @ Minnesota Vikings:
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I think the Vikings can play well against teams with average to poor rush defenses. The Chargers have a beastly defensive front 7 with plenty of insanely fast speedsters with a knack for making the big play. That’s not good for a team that has already been dealing with 8 man fronts. The Vikings don’t have enough through the air to keep up with the Chargers, and defensively, they don’t have enough in the secondary to hang with a pass catching unit that got a whole lot more dangerous with the Chris Chambers addition.

Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) @ Cleveland Browns:
(Line: Monday, 4:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I may be a bit stuck on my pre-season assessment of team talent here, but I think the Hawks are going to kill the Browns. I think the Hawks’ defense is one of the better units in football, and the Browns have been playing out of their minds offensively. That means there is a lull on the way. The Hawks bring enough pressure to keep Derek Anderson uncomfortable, and when that happens to the big youngster, he seems to flash into mistake mode. The Hawks have a solid offense, good enough to put up 30 on the Browns. That should easily win this game.

Baltimore Ravens (+10) @ Pittsburgh Steelers:
(Line: Monday, 11:00pm EST: BodogLife)

With everything going against the Ravens in this one, I have a feeling they could play a lot better than people are giving them credit for. They’ve been one of the better ATS teams in football over the last 5 years, and I think they can hang within 10 of the Steelers on Monday Night’s grand stage, even in Pittsburgh.

Ask Papa Weimer Fantasy Football Know-It-All Nov 03

Posted on by

Here we are, Week 9, and believe it or not, some owners are ready to clinch a playoff spot with a win in Week 9. This one clown in a Keeper League I’m in is 8-0 and 5 games up in his division. He wins this week, he could lose out the rest of the way and get in. Lucky bastard, he’s only 5th in points scored too – some guys have all the luck. Anyway, here’s some advice on how to beat that guy, read on my faithful followers.

Drop me your Fantasy Questions @ papaweimer50@hotmail.com

Mr. Weimer, I need to start 2 guys form this group of 3; (Frank Gore vs. Falcons, Maurice Jones Drew vs. Saints, and Willie Parker vs. Ravens), which two would you make a run at? To add a little, we get bonuses for big plays, and touchdowns are worth a lot. I need this win, man, help me out!- T.J. Tips in the Northwest Sector

TJ- I’d have to say that’s a tough call. I’d say Frank Gore should be your number one, but there are questions surrounding his ankle, the teams’ will to win, and he’s pretty much struggled since the 2nd game of the season. Then I’d say Jones-Drew has the best chance to blow up the scene with some big runs, because the Jaguars will be running the ball all day long, and the Saints hate tackling, but New Orleans has given up only one 100-yard-rusher all season long. And last, Willie Parker would obviously be your safest bet and best player all season long, but he’s going up against Baltimore on Monday Night Football. The Ravens haven’t allowed a 100 yard rusher yet this season. It looks like your 3 very good backs all have question marks surrounding them this week. However, that doesn’t always mean bad things, and thus I have an answer. I’d roll with Willie Parker and Frank Gore. I think the Falcons will be much worse on 1st and 2nd down without Grady Jackson in there, I honestly watched him a couple times this season, and concluded that he was a run stuffing force. I don’t know how in the hell those idiots in Atlanta cut that big son of a gun. I think Frank will start running with a meaning, and carrying that young team on his back. Next I think I’d give Parker the nod over Drew, because the Saints haven’t’ been that bad against the run, and Drew has some injury concerns, plus he’s a #2 (I don’t know how the Jags keep giving Taylor more touches than MJD, but what do I know?). Parker may be going up against one of the toughest defensive dynasties over the last 8 years, but he is a very good player with a very good offensive line, and I expect the Steelers to run the ball a plenty. Good luck, and get that W!

My Mom is beating me in my yearly league, and this is the first season she’s ever played. She’s 55 and just took up watching football last season after a lifetime of yelling at my dad for being a useless crotch during the weekend. Well, she’s back in full force now. My dad is probably laughing his ass off from the clouds. Anyway, has anything as embarrassing as your mom kicking your butt at fantasy football ever happened to you? Oh this is fantasy advice, ah, who should I start, Tom Brady or Peyton Manning? – Joshua Dooley in Nevada

First of all, you must be that jerk who picked Peyton and Tom in the first 3 rounds, bogarting them from the rest of your draft mates, thinking you were too cool for school, and how you would benefit by default because you’d have the best quarterbacks. And now you’re 55 year old mom who hates football is beating you in your fantasy football league – that’ll teach you to draft quarterbacks high, especially two of them. Just to think, some guy (or your mom) with Derek Anderson at the QB spot is beating you. As for your “fantasy” questions, I’d go with Brady, because the Colts have a better rushing attack. As for you’re mom and embarrassment, that’s a tough one. But sure, I’m damn near 53 years old, of course I’ve been embarrassed at least that bad, probably yesterday. My wife still beats me at Tennis, but she played doubles professionally for a little while, so I guess I have that to reason with. My nephew employs me to answer a fantasy question section on his own damn site, that’s pretty embarrassing considering I taught the twerp all he knows about the game, I nearly pooped my pants yelling at the TV during the Packer game, hell, I don’t know which one incident to pick out. I’ll tell you this, I feel a whole hell of a lot better knowing my mom never beat me at fantasy football. Thanks, man, and to think, you wanted me to cheer you up.

I hate fantasy football, but I play every season just to see if I like it. Seems sick, I mean, I’m 0-5. I hate rooting for some guy that I hate to score two touchdowns in the last 15 minutes just so I can beat my jerk off neighbor Jim in the league he puts together just to prove to everyone that I suck at fantasy football. Also, I hate losing. Well, this season I’m winning, and Jim is 4-4. Ha. Anyway, that douche is trying to trade me Tory Holt and Frank Gore for Santonio Holmes and Edgerrin James – do you do that deal hoping Gore steps it up? I don’t even start Holmes at receiver, and I like Holt’s upside this season. Plus Gore and Edge are a wash in my opinion numbers be damned. And I’m starting Adrian Peterson and Brian Westbrook at RB anyway. This is a good upside trade, no? – What’s your take Papa? – Joe Q in Nebraska (Boo Cornhuskers!)

Joe, go ahead and do the trade. It sounds like you have the money to invest at receiver, and if the Rams turn things around even a little bit, Tory will once again become a Top 10 target, Holmes may have big games here and there, but he’s still a ways off from being a consistent point scorer at receiver, and that’s really what you want at that position – plus, Holt is always open (seriously, I don’t think there’s guys that are more open than he is, he must be a real trickster). Also I do think Gore will be better soon. He’s so talented and runs with a passion, I love his style. Plus he plays more than a few more games against weak NFC defenses, like this week in the ATL. Go with your heart, Young Joe, and feed that fantasy SOB his final meal! Also, it’s nice that you play fantasy even though you hate it, you must be a die-hard competitive type that hates backing down from competition even more than playing and losing. Believe it or not, that’s an admirable trait in my opinion.

If you had to start the Colts defense against the Patriots or the Patriots defense against the Colts, who would get the nod? – Chucky Dusett near South Park

Buddy, drive up the road and kick Cartman’s fat ass in the junk for me. Honestly, I’d rather start neither defense, but I think I’d go with the Patriots. I think the Colts are great, but there’s not a better team in the NFL than the Patriots, that I’m pretty sure of. What I’m completely sure of is the fact that there’s no offense better than the Patriots, anywhere. Not in Tecmo Super Bowl, not in Madden, not in college, and definitely not in the NFL. Tom Brady could have a bad game, and the Patriots could lose, but I wouldn’t bet my money on it, and if I had to take a defense, I’d take the team not going up against Tom Brady and the Patriots.

Last Weeks Questions

Papa Weimer – **52 y/o – two open Heart surgeries and a nasty attitude**