Free NFL Football Picks 07-08 Week 10

We finally get into the double digits, and if you know my game, this is where I start making up for any early season blunders. The next 6 weeks are the most important for NFL teams and for my overall capping numbers alike. To get a quick start, I seem to be walking the underdog to the park this Sunday, this is how my free picks are looking in Week 10.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5) @ Tennessee Titans:
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: Belmont)

What can I say? I like the Jaguars’ chances to even their season series with the Titans in Tennessee. Vince hasn’t played well all season long, and I know he won’t be able to take advantage of the Jags’ secondary like New Orleans did last week. LenDale White is hurting, and Chris Brown’s ankle is sub-par right now. I think David Garrard will start and bring back some confidence with this offensive unit, just enough to win or play within a field goal of the Titans.

Denver Broncos (+4) @ Kansas City Chiefs:
(Line: Wednesday, 10:00pm EST: SBG Global)

From the sound of it, the Broncos are ready to play up to their potential. Denver has been down for most of the year, despite one game against the Steelers, and they very well could have lost that game. Anyhow, Denver has the talent to compete with the best, and I think they’ll put the Chiefs away with relative ease at Sunday’s game in Kansas City. However, even if I’m wrong about the Broncos, I think 4 points is too many, and like many Bronco games, this should at least come down to a field goal.

St. Louis Rams (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints:
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: 5Dimes)

Honestly, I don’t think the Rams will need half this many points, but I’ll take all 13 and a half of them from 5Dimes. I think the Rams could pull the biggest upset of the week by finally notching their first win against a Saints’ team that comes in with way too much hype for what they’ve accomplished thus far. What have they done? After 4 straight losses, they have a good 1st half against one of the more schizophrenic teams in the NFL (Seattle) and hold on to beat them by 11. Then they sneak by Atlanta (22-16) and probably would have lost if Leftwich hadn’t been hurt (he was torching the Saints’ secondary, believe it or not) and then they beat a terrible San Francisco team in Alex Smith’s first game since his injury, and the game was very close in Jacksonville last week (despite the 41-24 score), and Quinn Gray was calling plays for the Jaguars. Honestly, I think a lot of people are going to lose their survivor pools by taking the Saints in this one.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ Washington Redskins:
(Line: Monday, 7:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

Now that everyone thinks the Eagles are completely lost without a chance of every returning or becoming part of any sort of playoff picture, I think they’ll play a lot better. Regardless of what Andy Reid thinks, his problems have effected the team, and questions surrounding Donovan McNabb have also been swirling. All those things are pretty meaningless now that everyone and their mother thinks the Eagles are done. Well, defensively, they are still good enough to slow the Redskins rushing attack, and Washington has been hurting at corner since Carlos Rogers went down for the season. McNabb and his average receiving corps will do fine under those circumstances, and the most talented running back in the NFC East will show his true colors again on Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) @ Baltimore Ravens:
(Line: Tuesday, 2:00pm EST: Bookmaker)

I personally hate gambling on either of these teams, but with the way the Ravens looked offensively and on the corners last Monday Night, I can’t imagine them beating anyone right now. The Bengals should get Chris Henry back, if this whole parking attendant thing doesn’t get him booted from the league, and he’ll be a much needed 3rd playmaker for that offense. Also, Kenny Watson should be back, and he should do alright catching the ball out of the Bengals’ backfield. Also, Chad Johnson’s hit may have been just what he needed to screw his head on straight, and start using his insane ability

Chicago Bears (-3) @ Oakland Raiders:
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

Another game the public loves, and while I hate it, I can’t see the Raiders beating the Bears, not in Oakland, or L.A., or any other place this side of Al Davis’s back yard. Oakland won’t be able to stop the Bears’ pathetic rushing attack, and thus the entire field will be opened up for Brian Griese and the hapless Bears. It sure is a popular pick, but Chicago’s not going to come into Oakland with the “We are the best in the NFC” attitude that they went in to Arizona with last season, and I don’t think they’ll be caught off guard. Tommie Harris is finally close to 100%, and I think he’ll destroy anything and everything the Raiders try to do offensively. I think this will be a blowout, but I’m not throwing too many units down on this, if only because the books totals (75% Bears) send a little fright down my direction – but you shouldn’t ever let that stop you – the book loses too, don’t forget that. Fading the public will only get you around 50% on the season.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-10):
(Line: Monday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)

I don’t think too much of this game, and once again, I wouldn’t bet on it if I didn’t take every single NFL game every week. That’s the rule, and thus I’ll take the home team Seahawks. What I do like about this game is the OVER (39.5) which I will definitely be taking. With Seattle using the air attack more often, and Frank Gore set to run against the team he always dominates, I think this game should reach the 50 point total mark. I know the 49ers haven’t done much scoring, but Seattle has a special way of allowing points. I’m taking the Hawks -10, because Alex Smith and the rest of the 49ers make too many mistakes. Sacks, fumbles, and interceptions should just barely get this game over 10.

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