Monthly Archives: February 2007

AP in Oak-Town? Pick of the Day

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AP in Oak-Town?

Pick of the Day – Suns @ Pacers

Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers

Suns (-5)

Tuesday, February 27th – 7:00 PM ET

Right in front of our eyes, you can see Steve Nash slinging passes to and fro, on way to his 3rd straight MVP award. On Tuesday Night, Nash and the Phoenix Suns run their way to Indiana to play the Pacers in an East/West showdown.

Bottom Line:First of all, the Suns haven’t lost a game since MVP, Steve Nash came back from his injured shoulder after the All Star break. Steve gets his squad going, something the Pacers desperately need. Too bad, so sad. Indiana just doesn’t have the offensive fire-power that will keep them battling with Phoenix. In the Suns’ recent 4 game win-streak, the haven’t scored less than 115 points, and have won those games by at least 10 points. Amare Stoudemire & Shawn Marion have been playing out of their minds, while key contributors like Leandro Barbosa and Raja Bell have been adding consistent scoring and on the ball defense. While Phoenix is hot of late (4 in a row, 3 of which were on the road), the Pacers have lost 5 of their last 8 contests (including 4 losses at home). Jermaine O’Neal had been very solid, but he can’t do it by himself. The game will start off with a quick Sun jab to the mouth of the Pacers, and in the end, the repetitive beating will break down Indy at home.

Adrian Peterson on his way to Oakland?:All this talk about which quarterback the Oakland Raiders should take with their 1st pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell, is really starting to make me think, are the Raiders really pondering this decision? Not that the choice between Quinn and Russell is a particularly easy decision, because its not, both have their upside, and both should be considered great prospects. (I personally love Russell’s game, but I have always considered him a top prospect, while Brady Quinn has only proven that he can do amazing things when given a sufficient amount of time to throw) But I’m not wondering if the Raiders are considering either young signal caller, because I think there’s a far greater debate they are weighing; Adrian Peterson or Calvin Johnson? Yes, both will be better NFL players than either Quinn or Russell, and both are absolute physical specimens in the mold of exactly what Al Davis loves. Calvin Johnson is, to put it frankly, the best wide receiver prospect ever (and I’m not making a Bill Walton blunder here) while I can’t argue that their has been more talent out of a running prospect than what Peterson has shown. Sure, Johnson can’t throw himself the ball and Peterson has shown a knack to get injured. But don’t be confused. Johnson succeeded against all competition, and that was with Reggie “I couldn’t throw a ball accurately if my life depended on it” Ball as his quarterback, while Adrian Peterson damn near won the Heisman as a freshman, and has shown an uncanny collection of power, vision, and elite speed. While both Quinn and Russell are fine prospects, there will be upgrades at the QB position throughout the first day, and I say the Raiders pick up their next signal caller then. As for two all time elite prospects at skill positions, there’s only one place to get players like AP and Calvin, and that’s right at the top of the 1st round. Expect this idea to become more and more of a reality as the draft nears. Can Al Davis pass up on what a player like Bo Jackson did for his Raider team? As for the Detroit Lions expect them to ignore the chance to get an elite skill player, because the Lions rarely make the right decision. However, Joe Thomas should be a great player in the League. But like Mario Williams’ inability to shake the label of being taken over Reggie Bush, he’ll never live up to being selected over Calvin Johnson.

Updated 2007 NFL Mock Draft

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After a little more than a month, many of the mock drafts out there have transformed and now look a little more like mine. However some changes have made me rethink a couple things, leaving me with the following, my 2nd Mock Draft; ENJOY!

***March 23rd, 2007.
***

Oakland Raiders: JaMarcus Russell
My original top pick overall stands pat. Russell, unless the Raiders get a brain and pick Calvin Johnson, will be the top pick overall. It makes sense. Russell is the most talented player at the Raider’s biggest need, and he’s an ideal Al Davis player. Bingo, bongo, he should go number one.

Detroit Lions: Brady Quinn
Before just recently, everyone and their mother has the Lions passing on Brady and picking an offensive lineman with this pick. Like I said earlier, I just don’t see it. Calvin Johnson, maybe. Even a stud defensive end, Gaines Adams, maybe. But Joe Thomas? Not the Lions. I look for the Lions to find the taker who gives them the most in return for Brady Quinn, or just pick the young signal caller straight up. Bottom line, I don’t see Quinn falling past the 2nd pick.

Cleveland Browns: Calvin Johnson
I know the Browns have Kellen Winslow II, and Braylon Edwards, but its not as if those two have teamed to make a certified offensive attack. Calvin Johnson makes it 3 super-talented receiving threats, giving the Browns plenty of room to toss the ball around. If Quinn and Russell are both gone, the logical choice has to be CJ. Unless of course the Browns take Peterson, but I am getting the feeling that Cleveland doesn’t have a ton of love for AP. Wait for the next few rounds to add offensive line and running back help. Lots of good backs that don’t cost the 3rd pick in the draft. Can’t get a Calvin Johnson anywhere else.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Joe Thomas
The Bucs are dreaming Calvin will still be there with their 4th selection, but they call them dreams for a reason. It would be a shame that a coin flip made the difference, but they again, I kind of like the thought of that. Should have called tails. If the Bucs proved anything last year, it was that they need offensive line help in a big way. Thomas fits the bill.

Arizona Cardinals: Gaines Adams
CJ’s pick by the Browns has messed it all up, and Joe Thomas is no longer there for the Cardinals to pluck. So, I’d have to say the Cardinals pass on Adrian Peterson here, they have plenty of action in their backfield, and God knows they need much more than another runner. Look for the Cardinals trying to find a draft day trade here, but if they can’t, I wouldn’t be surprised if they went with Gaines Adams. Adams would fit real nice like on the opposite side of Chike Okeafor.

Washington Redskins: Alan Branch
AB would help alleviate a horrid rush defense in Washington, something the Redskins will definitely need to do if they plan on competing in the NFC East. Giants (Droughns and Jacobs) Eagles (Westbrook) and Dallas (Jones and Barber). Do work young fella!

Minnesota Vikings: Jamal Anderson
Anderson could be just what the Vikings keep trying to draft at the defensive end position. Not one player on the Vikings roster had more than 5.5 sacks, which isn’t a good sign. Anderson has been shooting up my draft board, and the rest of the NFL as well, I’d imagine. WR’s a huge need for this team, but there’s so many good ones, while taking one now would be a reach. Rule #1; never reach with the 7th pick. Troy Williamson is a perfect example of that.

Atlanta Falcons: LaRon Landry
I love Landry, and its becoming more and more accepted to take a safety early. Defensive ball hawks and sure tackling speed demons don’t come around all that often, and the Falcons could really use someone to make big plays in their defensive secondary. Landry is that guy. The Falcons brass talks about having a big back, but is AP really a big back? I wouldn’t put it past the Falcons taking Peterson.

Miami Dolphins: Leon Hall
How bad do the Dolphins need solid play at corner? Well, they will almost surely take the top defensive back on their board with this pick. There’s so many good things in Miami’s D, they can’t waste another year starting guys who give up big plays on the corner. Hall is great in coverage, and against the run. Look for him to go 9th.

Houston Texans: Levi Brown
After investing their world in Matt Schaub, the Texans will surely need to add some clout to their offensive line. Everyone knows they don’t want Matt to get gun shy right off the bat. Brown could be a bit of a reach here, but I’d be stunned if he makes it past pick 18, so maybe its worth it for Houston. They need a line, and Brown could be the best tackle in this draft. A chance Houston needs to take. This would take some balls in Houston, though, as AP would give the Texans a nice 1-2 punch now, with Green, and a bright future with Matt and Andre Johnson. Line is the smart pick. Especially without a 2nd round selection. Smart doesn’t mean they’ll do it though.

San Francisco 49ers: Amobi Okoye
The 49ers could use a plethora of things, but first they need a super star in the waiting to sure up their defensive line. When you think about Okoye being a 10 year veteran in this league, and still showing up in the program at 29 years of age, you get trembles down your spine. Okoye is the smartest pick for this young and coming squad.

Buffalo Bills: Adrian Peterson
I love Jarrett teaming with Lee Evans, but if AP drops this far, I can’t see the Bills leaving him on the board. They gave away McGahee for a couple 3rd round picks, and no way they thought Peterson would be here to take his place. I still question the Texans passing on him, but in this Mock, the Bills get their Oklahoma wish.

St. Louis Rams: Ted Ginn Jr.
The Rams need help in their secondary, among many other defensive needs. And while a corner like Revis has all the intangibles, speed, hips, and a knack for getting his hands on the ball make him everything you want in a corner, I just think Ted Ginn Jr. getting lessons from guys like Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt, is a situation that would set up the Rams for the future. Ginn has bee said to have route running and ball catching deficiencies… With Holt and Bruce as his teachers, that will change in a hurry. Speed like this, with playmaking ability, that doesn’t come around often.

Carolina Panthers: Patrick Willis
Willis could give the Panthers the power they need as a MLB. Carolina just lost Draft, their starter from last season, and would be lucky if the Bills get Adrian Peterson so they can get their hands on Patrick. He’s the perfect fit for a very good defense. Another option, Dwayne Jarrett to team with Steve Smith. But there are so many receivers, only a couple great linebacking options.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Lawrence Timmons
It will be interesting to see what the Steelers do, switch to new head coach Mike Tomlin’s beloved 4-3 or stick with the 3-4. It might take a while to make the change, but Tomlin will make sure it happens, so don’t expect a 3-4 pick to be made here. Don’t be stunned if the Steelers make Reggie Nelson their pick. In a cover 2, teaming with Troy Polamalu, that secondary would be top flight. However, I’m going out on a limb to say the Steelers take a linebacker that fits Tomlin’s schemes better. Paul Posluszny is good, but Lawrence Timmons is the most explosive of the bunch, he’s my favorite here.

Green Bay Packers: Marshawn Lynch
I hate to have the same damn pick as pretty much every mock draft I’ve seen, but this is a great place to get a future featured back for an offense that is now going into the season with Vernand Morency as their starter. Honestly, to the rest of you haters out there, I like Morency, however, Lynch could very well be the best NFL runner in this draft, and this is a great place to pick him.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Reggie Nelson
I really liked Ginn Jr. going here, a perfect addition to the big WR’s in Jacksonville. But with Reggie Nelson still on the board, and the Jaguars in need of a starting safety, receiver will have to wait. Nelson is right up there with Landry as the best safety in the draft, so if the Jaguars can get him here, they’ll pass on Ted.

Cincinnati Bengals: Paul Posluszny
Please, please, please! I plead to those who watch over Cincinnati and the dire need of adding good people to the Bengals, young men who won’t sell coke, slap police officers, shoot guns, feed booze to young underaged women, drink and drive, and live in the substance abuse program in the NFL. Can you please force the Bengals to pick Posluszny? I know he doesn’t fit the form, but is that such a bad thing? This kid does all the right things, on and off the field, and after a season as pathetic as the Bengals just had, Paul’s the perfect fit. I’d hate to live in Cinci too, don’t get me wrong, but Paul is smart enough not to retaliate by beating women, old people, dogs, and small children. That alone should get him the nod.

Tennessee Titans: Jarvis Moss
The last time the Titans picked a receiver in the first round was 1998 (Kevin Dyson). In the last 8 drafts, the Titans have had six 1st round picks. Five of those picks have been that of the defensive nature. I’m putting the numbers together as I write. Seems like most of the time Mr. Fischer and the Titans have gone with a defensive selection. I’m going to go out on a limb and say they do it again in ’07. Many think the Titans are dying to add some more game breakers at the receiver spot, but honestly, I think they’re happy enough to go somewhere else with this pick, especially with all the defensive stars sitting on the board. In this receiver heavy draft, the 2nd or 3rd round will have a couple possibilities for big production, so right here, I think the Titans will strengthen their D core with the addition of a defensive lineman. I’m going with Jarvis Moss. He’s not necessarily a freak like Javon Kearse freak, but the kid plays all out with some fantastic speed, which is just what the Titans need to improve all aspects of their defense. In fact, a big addition here would make them a pretty intriguing defense going into next season. Another option is Chris Houston. The corner is moving up the boards, and Pacman Jones is moving closer to Bubba’s prison cellmate.

New York Giants: Darrell Revis
You can never get enough help at corner. Sam Madison struggled on the corner in New York, and Corey Webster wasn’t amazing either. Revis will at least give the Giants a little youth at the spot, something they need. He doesn’t fill their biggest need, but he’s a damn good player on the corner. Many have him going in the top 15, and at pick 20, I think this young man is a steal.

Denver Broncos: Charles Johnson
If Dre Bly remains in Denver, and I haven’t heard anything to tell me he’s out yet, I expect the Broncos to wait on taking a defensive back until later rounds. If Bly does get traded, the Broncos will take a corner in the first round. However, lets assume Bly stays. The Broncos now have many options, and not too many needs. Young corners like Aaron Ross or Marcus McCauley are still options, even with Bly remaining a Bronco. I’m just vexed by this pick. If I were the Broncos, I’d take Carriker, because I think the kid could be a great run stuffer, and bull rushing pass rusher, even in a 4-3. But they won’t do that, he’s not a perfect fit. I’ll go with Charles Johnson, the D-End from Georgia. He’s a bit of a reach here, but has the makings of a very good player.

Dallas Cowboys: Adam Carriker
The Cowboys don’t need Carriker, but they sure could use him. And with their draft luck, he’ll still be there waiting to get a little star on his helmet. He has all the ability to become a great player in a 3-4, making him a perfect fit in Dallas and new coach Wade Phillips. The Cowboys need help in the secondary, but free agency will hug it out with a safety. Right now they take the best available, and Adam is too good and too perfect for Dallas to let him walk.

Kansas City Chiefs: Dwayne Bowe
I like Bowe. In fact, I think the kid is a flat out steal here. He’s going to be a top receiver in this league. He’s not afraid to do anything. He’s big, fast, strong, and he’ll go get the ball from a defender if you just give him a chance. The Chiefs will find it tough to pass on Ted Ginn Jr., and if I were a betting man, I’d keep my money out of this one, but I think Bowe is the better fit for KC.

New England Patriots (via Sea): Anthony Spencer
Spencer has all kinds of ability. He’s very similar to Adalius Thomas, but not yet proven in the NFL. The Patriots have made so many off season moves, they can pick the best player on their board, and Spencer fits so well with what they do, I can’t imagine they let him slip pass their selection.

New York Jets: DeMarcus Tyler
This “Tank” is just what the Jets need. Well, I’d say they need about 3 Tanks, but one to start with will be a good move for one of the worst run defenses in pro football. Tyler had quite a season his senior year, and would be a perfect pick for a team looking for bulk in the middle of their defensive front.

Philadelphia Eagles: Marcus McCauley
This big, tall, physical corner with ball skills and play making ability is something the Eagles could surely use in their secondary. Right off the bat, Marcus would give the Eagles someone to match up with guys like Plaxico Burress and Terrell Owens, as certainly the Eagles have struggled defending the big receivers over the last few years. Look for the Eagles to make a “smart pick”, one that everyone will question now, but applaud later. This is that guy.

New Orleans Saints: Greg Olsen
The Saints need defensive help, as the Eagles and Bears both proved in the Saints two playoff games. Linebackers, secondary, interior defensive linemen, you name it, needs are there. But with so man defensive players finding new teams early in Round 1, the Saints will have to turn another direction, and hope for a steal in the latter rounds to improve their defense. That leaves room for New Orleans to add something both Drew Brees and Sean Payton both love to utilize, a pass catching tight end. And there’s only one that is worthy taking this early, Miami product, Greg Olsen. Many think Greg would have had similar numbers to Jeremy Shockey and Kellen Winslow II if he was privy to a decent offensive attack in Miami. I’m not so sure about that, but Olsen looks like a very good tight end option to me, and he’s a solid blocker. His top 40 yard dash time gets him a first round nod.

New England Patriots: Aaron Ross
Ross is a great athlete in the secondary, something Bill Belichick really loves to have. Ross proved to be a good team leader in college, and always seemed willing to lay some hat when given the chance. Ross just seems like a Patriot guy to me. But what do I know?

Baltimore Ravens: Dwayne Jarrett
I know Derrick Mason is an old school favorite to Steve McNair but you’ve got to imagine both McNair and Mason have limited time left in their NFL careers. With that being said, look for the Ravens to add a big pass catcher with this pick. There’s still a few guys who look like steals late in round 1, because their talent says “early first rounder”. I like Robert Meachem’s skill-set, but think Dwayne Jarrett is just better. So, the Ravens take him here.

San Diego Chargers: Steve Smith
I may be crazy here, but I think Steve Smith has a nice future in the NFL ahead of him. He proved during the combine that he has enough speed, and surely his hands have been flawless over his career. He strikes me as a Hines Ward type guy, maybe even a Darrell Jackson type. He doesn’t look fast, but always gets there before the corner. His run after the catch was the best in college football, a solid attribute for the short passing game in San Diego. I know he hasn’t been going in the first round of many Mocks, and definitely not in front of Robert Meachem. But sometimes it pays to be different.

Chicago Bears: Michael Griffin
Contrary to popular belief, the Bears don’t need help at wide receiver. Mushin is still a good possession guy, and a great blocker, while Berrian has proven his worth as a big time play maker in Chicago. Also, Mark Bradley has a nice future ahead of him, as he’s shown some flashes that will get him more looks in ’07. With Tank Johnson’s arrest, and Lance Briggs’ claim never to play another down for the Bears, surely the Super Bowl runner-ups have their problems. But Tank will be back to start the season, and Briggs will probably be back as well, though he does sound pretty convincing. I think the Bears need some secondary help, because honestly, their defense wasn’t as great as many people think. Michael Griffin is a very solid player, as he could do a lot with his ability to dislodge the ball and break up pass plays.

Indianapolis Colts: Jon Beason
The Colts, obviously, are built to win championships right now. Adding Beason, or another linebacker in the mold of recently departed, Cato June, seems like the right move for Indy. Beason is a very good player, but a corner might be the better value pick here. I really like Marcus McCauley, but I’d be surprised if the Colts passed on Beason, he fits their system too darn well.

Looking for Miss Pacman – Pick of the Day

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Looking for Miss Pacman

Bucks @ Knicks- Pick of the Day

Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks

Knicks (-3)

Over (206.5)
Friday, February 23rd – 7:30 PM ET

The New York Knicks host the recently healthy Milwaukee Bucks on Friday Night. Both teams have struggled throughout the year, but the Knicks have been solid of late and the Bucks are starting to get their pieces back, so expect a competitive game.

Bottom Line:I often find it difficult to risk money on the Knicks basketball program, because if anything, they are up and down, and therefor a risky bet. But not only have the Knicks played well at home for much of the season, but recently, they’ve been very good. The Knicks have won 4 of 5 in New York, while the Bucks have 8 wins and 24 losses on the road this season. Michael Redd coming back gives the Bucks a chance, but more importantly he all but assures this game will hit the over. Both teams play the majority of their games in the over, the Bucks have been over 32 times this year. Eddy Curry has been playing out of his mind, and Jamal Crawford his really stepped up his game in the last 10 contests. I’m betting a Knick win also results in reaching the over. Should be a fun game to watch!

Pacman Jones:This guy is one of the bigger idiots I’ve ever come across in life. Not kidding. Somewhere, Mr. Jones decided that he was going to live life like an early century mobster. And oh my has he succeeded in his quest. In what could be described as Jones doing his best to cause a commotion so his buddy can come in to a club and shoot somone; Pacman is trying to say that he was just being kind to some young beautiful ladies. But then again, everyone knows that Pacman wasn’t just looking for his likeness with a red bow. I’m disgusted with the people actually trying to believe this garabage. Pacman lives in this little movie life, where he thinks he can get away with anything, kind of like he does. I won’t be surprised if he gets off OJ free from this one, but sooner or later, this little gangster will take a wrong turn, and the ghosts, err, I mean, Cops will get him. Throwing money up in the air to create a diversion, what an idiot. What day in age does he think this is? Not going to be any cameras? I have a hard time believing Pacman isn’t a main character in the next B-Movie cop flick. But then again, I can believe Pacman was just trying to find Miss Pacman. Perfect.

One for the Money: Duke @ Clemson – Pick of the Day

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ONE for the MONEY Duke @ Clemson – Pick of the Day

Duke Blue Devils @ Clemson Tigers

DUKE (-2)
Thursday, February 22th – 9:00 PM ET

The Duke Blue Devils look to get their championship step back in their walk, while the Clemson Tigers have to make a push right now if they expect to make a run at the Big Dance. No game is easy in the ACC, so expect this one to go down to the wire.

Bottom Line: I’m not a Blue Devil fan, (I’m the anit-fan) but I’ll take any kind of win when I can get it. The Blue Devils have looked better of late, while Clemson has stumbled hard, loosing 7 of their last 9 contests, going from a sure Tourney team to a shot at the NIT. They’ll need some big wins late to get into the show. Josh McRoberts is too good not to dominate this game. One of these days, Coach K will have to take the reigns off Josh, and let his skillset dominate. Greg Paulus, and John Scheyer have been very solid over the last feew games, and big time performances from McClure have come often. Expect the Dukies to step up their game and come out of Clemson with yet another win.

The State of the NBA

The story on the street, prior to today, was the possible trades of Vince Carter, Jason Kidd, Corey Magette, Pau Gasol, Mike Bibby, and many other possabilities. And then, Dwyane Wade went out and busted his shoulder, possibly being out for 6 weeks. You mix that with the play of Lebron James, Gilbert Arenas, Mike Miller, and Steve Nash, not to mention the struggles of Allen Iverson, and the Celtics and you have to admit, the NBA seems like one crazy place. However, don’t be fooled, big names rarely move, Wade will be back just in time to run the Miami Heat through the playoffs, Labron’s always good, Gilbert is the real deal, Mike Miller is streaky, and Steve Nash is an MVP, so that’s not surprising. Allen is hurt, but he’ll come back and light up the house, and the Celtics want to lose, but no lottery is a sure thing, so the NBA is just like it always is; Tons of talk, and threats to be great, but it will almost never measure up to its own hype. There it is. I said it.

Here’s to the NFL Draft… CHEERS!

Hornets @ Bobcats – Pick of the Day

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Hornets @ Bobcats – Pick of the Day

New Orleans Hornets @ Charlotte Bobcats

Hornets (-2)
Tuesday, February 20th – 7:00 PM ET

The Charlotte Bobcats look to vastly improve over the second half of the season, while the Hornets have playoff hopes in the West. Expect this game to be chalked full of young athletic players, and their highlights.

Bottom Line: I like the youth in Charlotte, but I can’t see them winning more than 2 out of 10 games against the Hornets, even if the games are in Charlotte. Chris Paul is too good of a leader, and the Hornets, though they too are young, have more strengths on offense. Paul struggled just before the All Star Break, but he should be healed after getting a nice 5 day rest. Expect the Hornets to capitalize on Charlotte’s mistakes while limiting their own turnovers. Even with the absence of a true scorer, the Hornets still have Paul, David West, and Raual Buttler… 3 players, that when given a chance, can drive and dish, post up and hit jumpers, and bust threes, in that order. Look for an 8-10 point win out of the Hornets.

Look for Charlotte to improve, but not this year!

As reported early Monday morning, the Chargers have hired Norv Turner to be their next head coach. Believe it or not, I think the Chargers will be solid next season, even when looking at Norv’s obvious failure thus far as a head coach in the NFL. First of all, the Chargers’ young nucleus will make if very difficult to fail, and offenses under Turner have only improved because of his ability to teach details and understanding to his skill players. LT, and most of all, Phillip Rivers will both grow under the guidance of Turner. Also, often failure is the best teaching tool, so I expect Turner to be much improved this year. All of these things are important, and I think they’ll really help the Chargers improve, but the biggest thing is the signing of Ron Rivera, from the Chicago Bears, to help out with the defense. He’s not the D Coordinator, but you can bet his input will be heard on and off the field in San Diego.

2007 NFL Mock Draft

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While I’ve read a couple absolutely ridiculous Mock Drafts, right now anyone’s set of picks is worth a shot, I guess. However, I’d like to think I have a little more rationale when it comes to this type of thing, so pay attention to something my peers seem to lack, a bit of reason to go with every selection. For now, without any research on who anyone is talking to, interviews, or any other garbage, these picks make sense to me, based on needs, off-season trends, and team draft trends. Here ya go… Enjoy.

***Please note – this mock draft was written and uploaded (Feb 15th) prior to the final order being set.
***

Oakland Raiders: JaMarcus Russell
Listen closely, this pick isn’t because Russell is a giant super athlete at the quarterback position, and Al Davis loves looking at amazing stat lines when he makes selections, this pick is because Russell not only has the most upside of any quarterback in the draft, but right now, he is the best one out there. He can throw the ball a mile, make any throw I the book, elude pressure, put his head down and get a first down, lead his team, stand tall and use his vision, and throw accurately. Russell won’t run like Vick, or Young for that matter, but he can throw farther than either of them, and unlike Mike, Russell will succeed at throwing the ball at the next level.

Detroit Lions: Brady Quinn
Everyone and their mother has the Lions passing on Brady and picking an offensive lineman with this pick. I don’t care how good the young kid is from Wisconsin, (and Joe Thomas is the real deal) the Lions don’t pick offensive lineman high, and they shouldn’t. Strong lineman can be had from Rounds 2-5, and many will be their for the taking. Brady Quinn’s are only around once in a while, and they should feel damn lucky to get a kid with his skill-set with the 2nd pick. If the Lions do one thing, it’s pick high profile guys with loads of talent. This one won’t backfire, as Brady has the mental strength to go with his physical tools. I hear rumors that Quinn wants to be a Brown. I hear other rumors that teams pick players, not the other way around.

Cleveland Browns: Adrian Peterson
Reuben Droughns was a nice thought, and he had his solid games in 2005, but in ’06 RD wasn’t much to look at. He was hurt often, and when he did play, his carries were minimal and rarely productive. Peterson is a sure thing. Sure, he’s had injuries, but he’s a big bad mofo with speed, power, man strength and stunningly quick feet for a man of his size. Peterson will take pressure off the Browns offensive line, quarterbacks, and wide receivers. Peterson could slip, and the Browns could take the big lineman, but as far as I can see, Peterson has the biggest chance to single handily improve the Browns, which is exactly what Romeo Crenell is looking for.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Calvin Johnson
If the Bucs don’t trade down, this pick makes too much sense to go any other way. First of all, Calvin has more game breaking ability than any other player in this draft, and that includes JaMarcus and Adrian Peterson. Johnson has the cool, calm demeanor of a Marvin Harrison or Jerry Rice, he has the height of Randy Moss, he’s smart, he’s confident, and his speed will straight out stun you. Plus, he’ll go up and get the ball, something that has been ignored in recent drafts. Gruden’s a smart cat, as he won’t let this absolute gem get away.

Arizona Cardinals: Joe Thomas
Though I’m not a fan of taking an offensive lineman this high (and that’s saying a lot, because not only do I think O-Linemen win football games, but I used to be one) but with the two can’t miss skill guys off the board, the Cardinals are lucky to have no choice but grabbing the one guy that could get them over the hump. Defensively, the Cardinals aren’t stout, so a player like DT Alan Branch, DE Gaines Adams, or even safety Reggie Nelson could go to ‘Zona, but I have a feeling Ken Weisenhunt will get a little bit more out of his defense than Dennis Green did, making Joe Thomas an obvious selection here. I know the Cards played better up front as the year went on, but Thomas would be a huge upgrade in a need spot. Plus, he’s a flat out stud.

Washington Redskins: Gaines Adams
It would surprise me if the Redskins pulled off another trade here, as this is a high enough spot for them to improve immediately and get younger, something that is usually very difficult for them. In fact, I like them to take a young defensive lineman. While 19 year old, Amobi Okoye could be the best project on the line in this draft, and Alan Branch is a beast against the run, I think pass rushing elitist Gaines Adams will find himself in a Redskin uniform. He’ll be an instant playmaker at the position, and that will help the Skins secondary, as nothing helps a secondary more than limiting a quarterback’s time in to pick you apart. Jamal Anderson is also an option here, but I like Gaines a little better. Plus, as Joe Gibbs said about Rocky McIntosh last year, “What a name!”

Minnesota Vikings: Reggie Nelson
Of course, the Vikings are praying right now that Calvin Johnson slips to them, but I have a sneaky feeling he won’t get passed pick 4, so that, at least without a trade, leaves the Vikings without a chance at CJ. However, it might be best this way, because a fine receiver like Johnson shouldn’t be wasted on a team with a play caller like Brad Childress and a quarterback situation that boasts a second year project as its top option. For now, I’m going to say the Vikings get smart, and refrain from reaching on a receiver like Dwayne Jarrett or Ted Ginn Jr., and continue to try Chester Taylor as their main back, and pick a defensive game changer. I like two options here. One would be Jamaal Anderson, who would add a lot to a defensive end group that hasn’t show much lately. But I think Erasmus James will get healthy and be a stud eventually, so help in the secondary is the next option. Fred Smoot wasn’t a stud purple, and he might be on his way out of Minnesota, so Leon Hall (the consensus best corner in the draft) could be an option here. But I like Reggie Nelson. He’s a ball hawk, a hard hitter, and just as good in coverage as he is against the run. Makes sense to me.

Houston Texans: Leon Hall
First and foremost, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Texans might find themselves happy to see the best corner in the draft fall to them here, but then again, another defensive lineman here might be their move. Alan Branch could help clog the middle in Houston, while Amobi Okoye might have too much potential to pass up for this young team. But, the Texans just went with a young pass rusher, and their defense is still pretty brutal, so secondary help looks like a strong option. Hall is a stud, as even the speedy Trojans tried to steer clear of Hall in the Rose Bowl. Somebody like Ted Ginn Jr is another talented speedster at this position, and its not like Houston is built at the #2 receiver spot, with the aging Eric Moulds standing pat. But I think Gary Kubiak lives by the Mike Shanahan philosophy of building via defense, and plugging less popular players into schemes on offense, so picking up instant help on defense looks like the best option here. Plus, offensively, the Texans should be in a better position with Domanick Williams coming back after a year off with a knee injury. And if Levi Brown impresses at the combine, he could go here as well. For now, look for the Texans to take the top defensive player available, whom I happen to believe is Leon Hall.

Miami Dolphins: Alan Branch
Contrary to everyone’s beliefs, the Dolphins don’t need a quarterback, receivers, or running backs. Their tight end is a stud, too. Culpepper needs to be healthy, and given a chance before the Dolphins write him off, like some of the other idiots who do mock drafts are claiming they should do. Even if Brady Quinn happens to slip this far, the Dolphins need to get younger on defense before they straddle up and hook Brady. Offensive line help wouldn’t hurt either, so if Joe Thomas falls this far, the Dolphins won’t hesitate. That being said, I don’t know if there is an offensive lineman left on the board that is worth reaching for here, so defense it is. Depending on Cam Cameron’s ideas for defense, it will be interesting to see where the Dolphins go here. Help in the secondary, either Darrelle Revis, Leon Hall, LaRon Landry, or Reggie Nelson are all ideas, as its still unsure whether last years’ first round pick, Jason Allen, can play safety or cornerback. The Dolphins have great defensive players, but age is becoming an issue, which is why I think Miami will trade down here instead of reaching for raw young linebacker to eventually replace Zach Thomas. If they don’t trade this pick, and Levi Brown doesn’t move up a little more after the combine, Alan Branch is as solid a defensive tackle as this draft holds, and a damn good pick for the Fins.

Atlanta Falcons: LaRon Landry
The Falcons should be stoked to see one of the best defensive players in the draft here. But they won’t be. Though I am suggesting they take LaRon here, to vastly improve their depth in the secondary, hell, I even think the kid would start next to Lawyer Milloy, I think the Falcons will trade down here. If Free Agency rips Patrick Kerney and or Rod Coleman from their little Falcon claws, expect this pick to be someone in the area of Okoye, Jamaal Anderson (might pick him anyway), or even Quintin Moses. But lets say they don’t trade down (to possibly pick up Patrino’s “Big Back” he’s been wanting – Michael Bush), and they get Patrick Kerney and Coleman to resign, I still think the Falcons will have trouble doing the right thing here and taking Landry, because a pass catcher with elite speed and game breaking ability is still on the board. Ted Ginn Jr. I don’t know. I think this pick is as big a question mark as any, because the Falcons are much better than getting the 10th pick, because they have a new staff, and because they are the Falcons. If you really want to figure out the Falcons draft, or you’re a fan, pay attention to pre-draft-day dealing, because I have an inkling that the Falcons might dip into another teams roster to pull an elite receiver not named Terrell.

San Francisco 49ers: Amobi Okoye
The 49ers could use a plethora of things, but first they need a super star in the waiting to sure up their defensive line. When you think about Okoye being a 10 year veteren in this league, and still showing up in the program at 29 years of age, you get trembles down your spine. Now imagine what a young, improving team with defensive line needs feels about adding someone like Amobi, a flat out stud at the age of Jitters, surely some of those. Receiver is a problem for San Francisco, but this is a receiver heavy draft, and the second round will offer plenty of options for the young Niners to step up and improve that situation. Plus, unlike many, I kind of like the Niners two starters. Bryant isn’t the best top receiver, and he has some ‘tude problems, but he’s steady at one spot, while Arnaz Battle has improved every year and will probably make a claim for the #2 spot. Ted Ginn Jr. might be a popular choice here, but I think the 49ers need cornerstones on defense to become a solid team, as that was obviously their sour spot last season. Look for them to jump at the prospect of adding this super talented youngster.

Buffalo Bills: Dwayne Jarrett
I couldn’t think of a better fit in this draft for Lee Evans. A big, fast, physical presence like Jarrett would give Evans the partner in crime Buffalo has been trying to plug in since Moulds jaunted out the door. Jarrett has fantastic hands, runs precise routs, and would give the much improved JP Losman a larger target. Something any young signal caller would approve of. The Bills could go defense, with a possible hole at corner opening up, and a defensive line that could always use depth, Jamal Anderson might be too much to pass up if he’s still on the board. If the threats of Buffalo axing Willis McGahee actually ring true, Marshawn Lynch might find himself in cozy Buffalo. But right now, I think Willis (as much of a dunder head as he is) will work things out with Buffalo, and the Bills will get smart and resign Nate Clements (because he’s the best option out there), so that leaves a nice little opening for a newfound dynamic duo in Evans and Jarrett.

St. Louis Rams: Jamal Anderson
It would stun me if Anderson fell this far, but crazier things have happened, no doubt about that. Anderson is young, athletic, and enormous. He devours quarterbacks and puts the squeeze on opposing offensive linemen. A player of his caliber here would not only be one hell of a deal, but a perfect fit for a Ram team that struggled defensively for most of the season. Another danger to opposing quarterbacks would give the pass rush master on the other side of the line, Leonard Little, more freedom, and less double teams sliding his way. The Rams could use help a plethora of places, and they might take a shot at a possible game breaker like Ted Ginn Jr., Darrelle Revis, or Lawrence Timmons, but Anderson is the best player and best fit left on the board.

Carolina Panthers: Levi Brown
This is almost the perfect pick for the Panthers. It’d be nice if Joe Thomas fell here, but that’s not only unlikely, but down right impossible. Taking Brown here will only be a minor reach, and after watching the Panthers running attack flounder all season long, with two pretty solid running backs, you’d think the Panthers would jump at the opportunity to get a bookend to hold down the fort on the other side of Jordan Gross, especially one with top flight talent like Levi Brown. The upside for this kids frame and athleticism makes him a great pick here. If Keyshawn leaves, and Jarrett is still on the board, I think he’d be a perfect partner for Steve Smith, but the smart money lies on Levi at #14.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Darrelle Revis
The Steelers are definitely in the “best player available” scenario, and I think Revis can definitely fit in that category. Speed, hips, and a knack for getting his hands on the ball make him everything you want in a corner. The Steelers didn’t dominate defensively last season, and while much of the blame was placed on Big Ben, defensively the Steel Curtain was more of a cuddly little blanky for a good majority of the season, especially on the corner. Revis could come in and sure up the secondary in a hurry. Some other names that come to mind here are Ted Ginn Jr., (just because he’s explosive) Adam Carricker, Michael Griffin, and Lawrence Timmons, but I have a feeling Revis (if he doesn’t shoot up draft boards everywhere) will be the best for the Steelers.

Green Bay Packers: Marshawn Lynch
I hate to have the same damn pick as pretty much every mock draft I’ve seen, but this is a great place to get a future featured back for an offense that could be without their top runner, as Ahman Green will almost surely go elsewhere. Lynch has all the skills to be the best back in this class, if he can just put it together for a full season, and full career. Lynch is tough, has tons of speed, and very quick feet, as his body is close to that of Mr. MVP, LT2. But then again, it all depends what happens before the draft. If Green resigns, then don’t expect the Pack to snag Lynch here. If GB does actually pursue a top receiver, via trade or free agency, then I don’t even expect them to go offense here. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Green Bay went best player on the board for this selection, considering the vast areas of football they could improve in. With the assumption that Green is gone, I think Lynch gets the nod here, and splits time with Vernand Morency.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Tedd Ginn Jr.
Okay, this one is easy. With their top 4 pass catchers being as tall and ball possession-y as all getty-up, how can the Jaguars pass on someone like Ted Ginn Jr.? They can’t, and probably won’t. Ginn will give the Jags a stretch the defense type player that they just don’t have, and haven’t had since Jimmy Smith’s wonder years. Who knows what the Jaguars will do at the quarterback position, but whomever gets the nod, Byron, David, Quinn, or even someone like Jake Plummer; a receiver like Teddy will be just what the Jaguar ordered. I think Ginn would make all the receivers on the field better. He’s to big of a threat to go the distance, so single coverage on the other guys would give them more chances, and the tandem of Drew and Fred Taylor would also benefit from some attention paid to the team’s pass attack. Of course, this might not happen, and if it doesn’t, expect the Jags to select a young pass rushing type, or any defensive front 7 for that matter, because they’ve learned all about the need for depth. But honestly, depth there can be had with the rest of their picks, the fastest and most explosive offensive player in the draft can be had here and only here.

Cincinnati Bengals: Paul Posluszny
Please, please, please! I plead to those who watch over Cincinnati and the dire need of adding good people to the Bengals, young men who won’t sell coke, slap police officers, shoot guns, feed booze to young underaged women, drink and drive, and live in the substance abuse policy in the NFL. Can you please force the Bengals to pick Posluszny? I know he doesn’t fit the form, but is that such a bad thing? This kid does all the right things, on and off the field, and after a season as pathetic as the Bengals just had, Paul’s getting drafter here would at least show a shuffle in the right direction. He might not be as athletic as Odell Thurman, or as talented as Chris Henry, but he’s got plenty of ability to play this game at this level, and you know he’ll get the job done off the field to boot. Oh, and the Bengals suck defensively, did I mention that. This kid helps the squad as well.

Tennessee Titans: Jarvis Moss
The last time the Titans picked a receiver in the first round was 1998 (Kevin Dyson). In the last 8 drafts, the Titans have had six 1st round picks. Five of those picks have been that of the defensive nature. I’m putting the numbers together as I write. Seems like most of the time Mr. Fischer and the Titans have gone with a defensive selection. I’m going to go out on a limb and say they do it again in ’07. Many think the Titans are dying to add some more game breakers at the receiver spot, but honestly, I think they’re happy enough to go somewhere else with this pick, especially with all the defensive stars sitting on the board. In this receiver heavy draft, the 2nd or 3rd round will have a couple possibilities for big production, so right here, I think the Titans will strengthen their D core with the addition of a defensive lineman. I’m going with Jarvis Moss. He’s not neccecarily a freak like Javon Kearse freak, but the kid plays all out with some fantastic speed, which is just what the Titans need to improve all aspects of their defense. In fact, a big addition here would make them a pretty intriguing defense going into next season.

New York Giants: Lawrence Timmons
The Giants have shown interest in free agent running backs, or possibly trading for a solid back up the league has to offer, but even if they don’t get something done by draft day, I don’t expect them to reach for a runner here. Reaching is not something the Giants often do. After taking a receiver last season fairly early (Top of Round 2), I don’t expect them to go WR again, but Sydney Rice and Dwayne Bowe are two solid targets with all the ability to improve a passing game that wasn’t very consistent last season. But the Giants don’t need WR, especially a young unproven one (as the learned with Moss last season) and in a receiver heavy draft, it wouldn’t be right to go receiver. I think the Giants add a possible Pro Bowl linebacker in Lawrence Timmons. LT or so he may be referred to as some day in his career, maybe LT3, would be a great depth creator on a team that can’t seem to keep linebackers healthy if it saved their lives. I’m going with Timmons here, as he’s bound to impress at the combine, dude is athletically gifted, that’s for sure. A young rangy tackling machine can’t hurt this struggling defense.

Denver Broncos: Aaron Ross
First of all, there is no way Marshawn Lynch gets passed the Broncos, but in this situation, Lynch no longer is draftable, so I’d imagine Mike the Mou(se) is headed in another direction, as he’s shown he will never reach for a runner. (Free agency could sure up that position anyway) For now, I think the Broncos will trade down, but since that is impossible to predict and imagine who they would trade this pick to, I’ll just imagine that they don’t trade this pick at all, instead picking up an All American type athlete at corner, Mr. Aaron Ross. Ross has a chance to finish a top this class of corner backs, as his skill set is phenomenal. That’s exactly the tool box he’ll need lining up next to Champ Bailey, because God knows whomever gets that task will have plenty of opportunities to prove his worth. Without a trade, I can’t see Shanny leaving Ross’s talent on the board.

Dallas Cowboys: Michael Griffin
First things first: Tony Romo will be fine. Please, everyone take a break on predicting the young singal caller’s demise at the hands of psychiatric problems, bad dreams, and in the end, a pill or two from TO. If anyone can get over doing something like Romo did, it’s Tony. Its not like the game was over then and there anyway, though I’m sure Tony thinks he lost the game for his guys. Hence him saying, “I lost the game.” But the Hawks still had over a minute left to drive down, and let Josh Brown kick a field goal to win the game. He’s usually pretty good at that. But sorry, back to the mock draft. The Cowboys should put in some work with free agency, and that will obviously change things in Big D’s draft process. I have a feeling Dallas will take the best player on their board with this selection. If Levi Brown falls this far, his fall will stop. But Jerry Jones is a chance taker, so I can imagine him trying to make a splash with this selection. I don’t see much of a cannon ball here, so I’m going way out on a limb and predicting Jones plucks Texas kid Michael Griffin from the draft pool. This UT player can shut down the run, but he has a knack for breaking up passes, as his athleticism seems to get him in the right spot.

Kansas City Chiefs: Dwayne Bowe
I like Bowe. In fact, I think the kid is a flat out steal here. He’s going to be a top receiver in this league. He’s not afraid to do anything. He’s big, fast, strong, and he’ll go get the ball from a defender if you just give him a chance. The Chiefs haven’t had a big solid #1 receiver since, since, damn how long has it been? I don’t even know, and that’s saying something. And NO, Easy Eddie Kennison doesn’t count. Bowe will instantly give the Chiefs offense another much needed target, and one that can get first downs as soon as he puts on a jersey. This is a Herm Edwards type guy, I can feel it. The Chiefs have many a need, on both sides of the ball, but Bowe here is the right decision.

New England Patriots (via Sea): Patrick Willis
How soon people can forget the plays you made yesterday, just ask Reche Caldwell. After making a few huge catches against the Chargers, to get the Patriots in the AFC Championship, he drops a couple balls and now everyone and their mother wants to replace this guy immediately. Sure, he’s not a stud, and neither is Gaffney, but don’t expect the Patriots to go all out to get a receiver just because they are limited there. With that being said Sidney Rice would be a solid pick here. But the Patriots liked Chad Jackson enough to trade up to get him, and that says a lot, so don’t be surprised if the Patriots exit the 1st round of the draft without a new receiver for Tom Brady. Defense is a much bigger need with plenty of aging key players that might very well need to be replaced. Patrick Willis is an excellent athlete, a kid who would flourish under the guidance of a couple crafty veterans. Even if their grandfathers come back to play another year at linebacker, a young super star in the making, (Willis) would be a great pick here. Yes, I’m sorry to crush everyone’s hopes that the Pats will pick a receiver to replace Branch with the pick they got for Branch. Just too much coincidence there, makes me sick.

New York Jets: DeMarcus Tyler
This “Tank” is just what the Jets need. Well, I’d say they need about 3 Tanks, but one to start with will be a good move for one of the worst run defenses pro football has to offer. Tyler played ball with 3 former 1st round picks while at North Carolina State, but had his best season this year, his final year, without one of those ’06 first rounders to help him out. Tyler would be a huge boost at nose tackle to a team that desperately needs defensive line help. Last year the Jets showed they were willing to pass up talented skill players and build from within, something they’ll do again this year, just defensively this time.

Philadelphia Eagles: Adam Carriker
The Eagles always use their first round picks on defensive linemen. With Javon Kearse getting hurt again, I won’t be surprised one bit if the Eagles select the versatile Adam Carriker. Adam is huge 6’6″ 300+lbs and has the strength and speed to play either end or defensive tackle. So, even if Kearse does come back and stay healthy, Carricker will still have plenty of room to make his presence felt in Philly. This kid is a consistent player that could be labeled an overachiever, but don’t question his ability. Not only does Adam fit the Eagles draft mold, he seems like a steal at the 26th spot, which is something the Eagles always seem to do, steal great players later than they should have been selected.

New Orleans Saints: Greg Olsen
The Saints need defensive help, as the Eagles and Bears both proved in the Saints two playoff games. Linebackers, secondary, interior defensive linemen, you name it, needs are there. But with so man defensive players finding new teams early in Round 1, the Saints will have to turn another direction, and hope for a steal in the latter rounds to improve their defense. That leaves room for New Orleans to add something both Drew Brees and Sean Payton both love to utilize, a pass catching tight end. And there’s only one that is worthy taking this early, Miami product, Greg Olsen. Many think Greg would have had similar numbers to Jeremy Shockey and Kellen Winslow had he had the former Hurricane’s offensive attack. I’m not so sure about that, but Olsen looks like a very good tight end option to me, and he’s a solid blocker as well.

New England Patriots: Marcus McCauley
Believe that, the Patriots had two first round picks and didn’t pluck a receiver. “Gasp!” McCauley is a very talented cornerback prospect whose draft stock suffered because of the lack of help around him. McCauley, with a chance to become part of the Patriot system, has the tools to take over for Asante Samuel (because he’ll almost surely be gone). Physically, this kid is quite the prospect, so look for the brilliant Patriot brass to gobble this kid up late in the 1st round.

Baltimore Ravens: Michael Bush
I don’t really understand it much. Bush gets hurt, and suddenly, he drops down the draft board, as if he’ll never be healthy again. It’s not like Bush tore every ligament in his knee, ala Willis McGahee. Bush was a touchdown machine in college, a hard nosed runner with plenty of size, and some pretty nice speed for his body type. How lucky are the Ravens that this kid got hurt early, they’ll have a chance to scoop up a replacement for the departed (or soon to be departed) Jamal Lewis. Mike Anderson will give Bush time to adapt to the pro game, and taking a year off of football, but soon he’ll turn into the 25 carry back that Jamal Lewis used to be. If the Ravens don’t grab a runner here, look for them to help provide for whomever does take that spot. In other words, an offensive lineman, maybe Ben Grubbs, Josh Beekman, or Justin Blalock could fill that need.

San Diego Chargers: Sidney Rice
As if having LT wasn’t enough, getting someone at a need position with the talent of Sidney Rice might turn out to be too fairy-tale for the San Diego Chargers. But in this Mock, team after team went defense instead of plucking Sidney, and the Chargers are there to improve their receiving corps. Rice might not have elite speed, but I’m willing to bet my lefty that he could beat Keenan McCardell in a race. Plus Keenan is upwards of 50, and on his last legs I’m sure. (Kudos to you Keenan, you’ve had one hell of a career by the way) Rice can go get the ball, has great hands, and is raw for the molding. Rivers needs more options, and so the youngster receives a receiver.

Chicago Bears: Justin Blalock
If this young and versatile lineman is still on the board when Chicago drafts, he’ll be a Bear. He’s very talented and plays both positions, and although the Bears have a solid offensive line, I believe 4 of the starters are or will be on the wrong side of 30 when next season slums around. Chicago has some free agents looking for a big pay day, like Lance Briggs, so you never can tell what they’ll be dealing with when draft day actually rolls around. Secondary help can always improve the Bears defense, as they’ve had their own problems throughout the year in that area. More depth at defensive tackle, if that area happens to be a steal at this point in the draft, could be addressed.

Indianapolis Colts: Chris Houston
The Colts need nothing, as they are the Super Bowl Champions. Right. While the running game finally started to run like a well oiled machine at the end of the season and in to the playoffs, the Colts look to be set at that position for years to come. If Rhodes was a more popular player, he would have been MVP (and will likely be resigned, because there aren’t a ton of teams that will break the bank to get Rhodes), and if Addai had one more catch in the last 20 minutes of the game, he would have tied the all time record for receptions in a Super Bowl. They’re both solid. Offense is good, unless you look at the offensive line, where Tarik Glenn is ancient, and both Jake Scott and Ryan Lilja are set to test the free agent market. Oh, and the entire defense seems to be becoming free agents this off-season. 4 of the best linebackers, their best defensive player (Dwight Freeney) and both their starting corners could become free agents, and the Colts only have 5 million bucks to resign players with. Should be interesting. Houston is my pick because even if the Colts find room to resign their corners, its not like they are awesome. And the secondary in Indy isn’t deep. With all first round linebackers off the board, I think the Colts take Houston. He’s flying under the radar right now, but who knows, maybe I get lucky here.

Mock Draft Database

Uncle John's 2007 NFL Mock Draft

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My Crazy Uncle John is back in the saddle again, plucking picks from his light deprived rear-end. I won’t take any responsibility for the old man’s actions or predictions, but God knows he’s been around long enough to see a draft or two… So, without further senile ado, here’s his 1st Round Mock Draft.

***March 23rd, 2007.
***February 15th, 2007

  1. Oakland Raiders: JaMarcus Russell
    Al likes to go long, surely Russell can fit his vertical dreams, regardless of if his O-line keeps him from being horizontal.

  2. Detroit Lions: Brady Quinn
    Lions don’t dare pass on a potential franchise quarterback with Jon “Short-term” Kitna running the show now.

  3. Cleveland Browns: Adrian Peterson
    Jamal Lewis might have a year at best, so Adrian should walk into a half-carry duty ready to take over in 2008, just like Joseph Addai and Laurence Maroney.

  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Calvin Johnson
    With Calvins Terrell Owens skills and Isaac Bruce attitude, the “quarterback” in Tampa will love the best player in the draft.

  5. Arizona Cardinals: Joe Thomas
    Leondard Davis was the best of a bad bunch, and he’s gone, the Cards use JT to get the Edge jumpstarted.

  6. Washington Redskins: Gaines Adams
    The Redskins would be smart to stay put and take the best defensive lineman in the draft. Smart? Did I say Redskins and smart together? Yikes.

  7. Minnesota Vikings: LaRon Landry
    Darren Sharper and Dwight Smith aren’t getting any younger, so I expect the most explosive secondary option in the Draft to go here.

  8. Atlanta Falcons: Reggie Nelson
    Nelson would really make Atlanta’s secondary faster than any in the league, even with Landry gone, Nelson would team up great with the Falcons corners.

  9. Miami Dolphins: Levi Brown
    Miami’s abysmal line minus Damien McIntosh means Levi Brown wears a Dolphin Uni from here on out.

  10. Houston Texans: Ted Ginn Jr.
    Ted takes over for Moulds, finally giving Andre Johnson a speedy 2nd option, and giving Matt Schaub a shot at staying alive.

  11. San Francisco 49ers: Adam Carriker
    High energy, not stop motor, big asset to improve a young defense that Mike Nolan has been trying to improve since he arrived in the Bay.

  12. Buffalo Bills: Leon Hall
    Nate Clements gone, surely the Bills are happy to see the best corner in the draft at pick 12.

  13. St. Louis Rams: Alan Branch
    Michigan’s studs go back to back. Branch’s personality qualms only let his fantastic upside fall this far.

  14. Carolina Panthers: Patrick Willis
    Carolina needs linebackers like Brittany Spears needs a new pair of panties. Lucky for them Willis is the most dynamic of the bunch.

  15. Pittsburgh Steelers: Darrelle Revis
    Would have loved Willis here, but a pick late and a dollar short, the Steelers put their cards in Revis’ hands. Tomlin’s defensive background has the Steelers getting secondary help in a hurry.

  16. Green Bay Packers: Marshawn Lynch
    With Green gone, Brett will need Lynch’s tough running style in Green Bay.

  17. Jacksonville Jaguars: Robert Meacham
    The Jags need speed, and though Meacham is big like Williams and Jones, he can get deep for Byron.

  18. Cincinnati Bengals: Amobi Okoye
    Amobi Okoye.! Delighted that this high character young super star in the making fell to them, the Bengals take a step in the right direction.

  19. Tennessee Titans: Chris Houston
    Pacman will be out in the cold, and the Titans need help at corner anyway, Jones’ absence assures a corner going here.

  20. New York Giants: Paul Posluszny
    With Arrington, Emmons, and Short not working out, the Giants must get young and productive at linebacker right now, Paul gets that done.

  21. Denver Broncos: Jamaal Anderson
    The secondary is set in Denver, and the Cleveland Brown connection didn’t do the damage Shanny was hoping for, so Anderson goes now.

  22. Dallas Cowboys: Aaron Ross
    Dallas’ pass defense was inconsistent all year, and Aaron Ross is a native son who will do work.

  23. Kansas City Chiefs: Dwayne Bowe
    Kansas City set up some smoke screens about not “needing” a WR here, but lets be honest, Eddie Kennison and Jeff Webb think that’s messed up.

  24. New England Patriots (via Sea): Joe Staley
    With everything else seemingly taking place in New England, that leaves room for the Pats to go offensive line here, just like they always do.

  25. New York Jets: Jarvis Moss
    The Jets need a pass rusher, and Moss has all the ability to be at least a poor version of Javon Kearse. Hopefully a healthy version.

  26. Philadelphia Eagles: Brandon Meriweather
    With Michael Lewis out, and Brian Dawkins aging, the Eagles make a smart move here, weird. Brandon has all the athletic ability to be a star in the league for years to come.

  27. New Orleans Saints: Greg Olsen
    Eric Johnson never could stay healthy in San Francisco, and Olsen has all the speed and athletic ability to be the pass catching option at TE the Saints would love to have.

  28. New England Patriots: Jon Beason
    Teddy Bruschi is on the path to retirement, and Beason would be a great option to play for years along side Adalius Thomas.

  29. Baltimore Ravens: Dwayne Jarrett
    While Jarrett has fallen from the Top 10, and some even have him stumbling out of the First Round, I think Jarrett’s college career will at least get him to Baltimore in Round 1.

  30. San Diego Chargers: Anthony Gonzalez
    McCardell is gone, and Gonzalez is college’s version of Keenan. He always catches the ball, goes out in traffic to make plays, and has deceptive speed.

  31. Chicago Bears: Justin Blaylock
    This offensive guard will aid an aging offensive line, that needs to remain the Bears strength, especially with Jones gone to New York.

  32. Indianapolis Colts: Anthony Spencer
    With Corey Simon’s injuries and illness making him questionable, the Colts will take the best defensive lineman available, and that is Anthony Spencer.

Free Super Bowl 41 Pick

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS vs. CHICAGO BEARS

The Colts come into Miami as a touchdown favorite over the Bears. Indianapolis has finally exercised their playoff demons, conquering the Patriots on way to their first Super Bowl in the Peyton Manning era, while the Bears have reached the big show for the first time since their 1985 Super squad won the whole thing. A battle of Defense against Offense ensues when Brian Urlacher and the Bears take on Peyton Manning and his Colts.

An Argument for the Bears

Chicago comes to Miami saying all the right things. They also show up as a touchdown underdog, something that rarely works out for the heavily favored team. Chicago has proven throughout the playoffs and during the regular season, that they can win close games (27-24 over the Hawks in Round 2) and finish games they dominate (39-14 over the Saints in Round 3). Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson have steamrolled opposing defenses, rushing for a combined 294 yards and 5 touchdowns in two playoff games. And Rex Grossman, amongst much criticism, has done everything he has been asked to do, including the completions of some huge throws down the stretch to set his team up for victory. Underdogs often play with a confident, nothing to lose manor, giving them a slight edge when the going gets tough. Chicago has lost 3 games all season, and that’s only if you count a meaningless loss to the Packers in Week 17. The Bears score more points per game than the Colts. Ask anyone, the Bears defense is better than the Colts defense, no question about it. The Bears are 7-1 against the Colts all time, winning their last match-up with the Colts, 24-17 in 2005, when they held Peyton and the Colts to 30 rushing yards and 172 yards through the air, while forcing 6 fumbles. That game was in Indianapolis. The Colts finished the regular season 2-4 while the Bears finished the season off 4-2. The bottom line is, the Colts gave up huge rushing games all year long, while the Bears have dominated teams on the ground, while taking big chances off of play action through the air. Rex Grossman has dealt with the pressure of big games well, while it’s Peyton Manning that has looked like a frustrated young quarterback for much of post season play. The Colts don’t have a rushing attack that can force the Bears to respect the ground game, leaving plenty of defensive backs to give Manning trouble. If this game comes down to special teams, the Bears get the nod over the Colts, as Devin Hester is the most electrifying player on either team. With their will to win in tact, he Bears should win this game easily.

An Argument for the Colts

The Bears have proven over t the latter half of the season, including the playoffs, that they can’t stop the pass adequately; So how will Chicago limit a team that has Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison at the receiving positions, with Peyton Manning throwing the pig skin? Answer: They won’t. Manning finally found his passing touch with the game on the line against the Patriots. Peyton, who is often touted as the best passer in the game, finally finds himself in the Super Bowl, and he won’t fumble the snap in this one. With Dallas Clark stepping up in the playoffs, Manning has too many weapons for a Bears defense that has had trouble stopping quality passers all season long (as even Drew Brees tossed for over 350 yards against the Bears). The Colts dominated time of possession all season long, and hold that title over the Bears as well. Indy is 9-4-1 ATS recently, when playing on grass. While many people like to give the Bears the nod in special teams this week, they must be forgetting a certain kicker that was acquired before this season began. Adam Vinitieri anyone? Yes, he just happens to be the most clutch kicker in the game. I’m sure Devin is fast and shifty, but Adam has won a playoff game or two, not to mention a Super Bowl championship. Devin who? And I know Chicago has picked up yards all season long, but Indy is much better than the Bears in that category, and when they get to the red zone, unlike the Bears, the Colts score at an alarming rate. Many people will question the Colts defense coming in, but how can you do that with the way they’ve played in the playoffs, when defense matters most? Sure, the Colts gave up 157 rushing yards per game during the regular season, but this time of year is anything but regular, and the Colts, in turn, have stepped right up. In each of their playoff games, they didn’t give up 100 yards, holding Larry Johnson and the Chiefs to 42 yards on the ground, giving up only 83 yards to the smash mouth Raven rushing game, and only 93 yards to the two headed monster rushing attack of Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney. Now that’s a run defense. And how can the Bears 13 win regular season convince anyone? As they only played 4 playoff teams the entire year. And it’s hard to believe the Bears can slow Manning, Reggie, Marvin, and Dallas when they gave up over 200 passing yards per game to the poor passing attacks in the NFC, not to mention 550 yards in two playoff games. Don’t let the hype of the Bears defense deceive you, the Colts have outplayed them defensively throughout the post season race to the Super Bowl. And that, my friends, should be the difference.
Lucky Lester’s Super Bowl Take – 1 Stat Says It All

Many believe quarterback play will decide this game, while others believe the team with the best running attack will take the rings home. Others claim the best defense will decide the Super Bowl, and some even go as far to say big plays on special teams will help crown a winner. However, if I had to pick one single stat that I all but guarantee to go to the winner of the game, I would choose Time of Possession. And that’s one of the main reasons I’m taking the Colts. Because, sure, the Bears have a wonderful defense. Great players, great speed, and strength up front. But Peyton Manning can thread a needle with the best of them, and his three main targets know how to get open. The Colts will run the ball plenty on Sunday, but their key to controlling the ball, and the clock, will rest on the accurate dump down passing of Mr. Manning. He knows how to get first downs, and he can hit a 7 yard stop pattern with the best of them, something that will hurt the Bears early and often. The longer Chicago’s defense sits in their stance waiting for Peyton to make a change, and snap the ball, the more they’ll struggle to stay rejuvenated. This struggle will tire the Bears defensive front, making the game come easier to Indy. While the Bears possess a healthy rushing attack, Rex’s inability to be consistent on easy throws will hurt the Bears attempts to control the clock, in turn, helping the Colts win the game. That’s my take, one stat line should decide it all, and my money’s on Peyton to get it
done!

The Bet

Take the Indianapolis Colts (-6.5) over the Chicago Bears, in Miami. This is one time that the great offence will trump the great defense, and finally we can stop hearing people talk about Peyton Manning not winning a Super Bowl. The line has fallen a bit, from 7 to 6.5, which makes the Colts that much more attractive to my betting senses. The Colts beat the Bears 35-24 as a late score puts the game out of reach in Miami.

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS vs. CHICAGO BEARS

The Colts come into Miami as a touchdown favorite over the Bears. Indianapolis has finally exercised their playoff demons, conquering the Patriots on way to their first Super Bowl in the Peyton Manning era, while the Bears have reached the big show for the first time since their 1985 super squad won the whole thing. A battle of Defense against Offense ensues when Brian Urlacher and the Bears take on Peyton Manning and his Colts.

An Argument for the Bears

Chicago comes to Miami saying all the right things. They also show up as a touchdown underdog, something that rarely works out for the heavily favored team. Chicago has proven throughout the playoffs and during the regular season, that they can win close games (27-24 over the Hawks in Round 2) and finish games they dominate (39-14 over the Saints in Round 3). Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson have steamrolled opposing defenses, rushing for a combined 294 yards and 5 touchdowns in two playoff games. And Rex Grossman, amongst much criticism, has done everything he has been asked to do, including the completions of some huge throws down the stretch to set his team up for victory. Underdogs often play with a confident, nothing to lose manor, giving them a slight edge when the going gets tough. Chicago has lost 3 games all season, and that’s only if you count a meaningless loss to the Packers in Week 17. The Bears score more points per game than the Colts. Ask anyone, the Bears defense is better than the Colts defense, no question about it. The Bears are 7-1 against the Colts all time, winning their last match-up with the Colts, 24-17 in 2005, when they held Peyton and the Colts to 30 rushing yards and 172 yards through the air, while forcing 6 fumbles. That game was in Indianapolis. The Colts finished the regular season 2-4 while the Bears finished the season off 4-2. The bottom line is, the Colts gave up huge rushing games all year long, while the Bears have dominated teams on the ground, while taking big chances off of play action through the air. Rex Grossman has dealt with the pressure of big games well, while it’s Peyton Manning that has looked like a frustrated young quarterback for much of post season play. The Colts don’t have a rushing attack that can force the Bears to respect the ground game, leaving plenty of defensive backs to give Manning trouble. If this game comes down to special teams, the Bears get the nod over the Colts, as Devin Hester is the most electrifying player on either team. With their will to win in tact, he Bears should win this game easily.

An Argument for the Colts

The Bears have proven over t the latter half of the season, including the playoffs, that they can’t stop the pass adequately; So how will Chicago limit a team that has Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison at the receiving positions, with Peyton Manning throwing the pig skin? Answer: They won’t. Manning finally found his passing touch with the game on the line against the Patriots. Peyton, who is often touted as the best passer in the game, finally finds himself in the Super Bowl, and he won’t fumble the snap in this one. With Dallas Clark stepping up in the playoffs, Manning has too many weapons for a Bears defense that has had trouble stopping quality passers all season long (as even Drew Brees tossed for over 350 yards against the Bears). The Colts dominated time of possession all season long, and hold that title over the Bears as well. Indy is 9-4-1 ATS recently, when playing on grass. While many people like to give the Bears the nod in special teams this week, they must be forgetting a certain kicker that was acquired before this season began. Adam Vinitieri anyone? Yes, he just happens to be the most clutch kicker in the game. I’m sure Devin is fast and shifty, but Adam has won a playoff game or two, not to mention a Super Bowl championship. Devin who? And I know Chicago has picked up yards all season long, but Indy is much better than the Bears in that category, and when they get to the red zone, unlike the Bears, the Colts score at an alarming rate. Many people will question the Colts defense coming in, but how can you do that with the way they’ve played in the playoffs, when defense matters most? Sure, the Colts gave up 157 rushing yards per game during the regular season, but this time of year is anything but regular, and the Colts, in turn, have stepped right up. In each of their playoff games, they didn’t give up 100 yards, holding Larry Johnson and the Chiefs to 42 yards on the ground, giving up only 83 yards to the smash mouth Raven rushing game, and only 93 yards to the two headed monster rushing attack of Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney. Now that’s a run defense. And how can the Bears 13 win regular season convince anyone? As they only played 4 playoff teams the entire year. And it’s hard to believe the Bears can slow Manning, Reggie, Marvin, and Dallas when they gave up over 200 passing yards per game to the poor passing attacks in the NFC, not to mention 550 yards in two playoff games. Don’t let the hype of the Bears defense deceive you, the Colts have outplayed them defensively throughout the post season race to the Super Bowl. And that, my friends, should be the difference.

Lucky Lester’s Super Bowl Take – 1 Stat Says It All

Many believe quarterback play will decide this game, while others believe the team with the best running attack will take the rings home. Others claim the best defense will decide the Super Bowl, and some even go as far to say big plays on special teams will help crown a winner. However, if I had to pick one single stat that I all but guarantee to go to the winner of the game, I would choose Time of Possession. And that’s one of the main reasons I’m taking the Colts. Because, sure, the Bears have a wonderful defense. Great players, great speed, and strength up front. But Peyton Manning can thread a needle with the best of them, and his three main targets know how to get open. The Colts will run the ball plenty on Sunday, but their key to controlling the ball, and the clock, will rest on the accurate dump down passing of Mr. Manning. He knows how to get first downs, and he can hit a 7 yard stop pattern with the best of them, something that will hurt the Bears early and often. The longer Chicago’s defense sits in their stance waiting for Peyton to make a change, and snap the ball, the more they’ll struggle to stay rejuvenated. This struggle will tire the Bears defensive front, making the game come easier to Indy. While the Bears possess a healthy rushing attack, Rex’s inability to be consistent on easy throws will hurt the Bears attempts to control the clock, in turn, helping the Colts win the game. That’s my take, one stat line should decide it all, and my money’s on Peyton to get it done!

The Bet

Take the Indianapolis Colts (-6.5) over the Chicago Bears, in Miami. This is one time that the great offence will trump the great defense, and finally we can stop hearing people talk about Peyton Manning not winning a Super Bowl. The line has fallen a bit, from 7 to 6.5, which makes the Colts that much more attractive to my betting senses. The Colts beat the Bears 35-24 as a late score puts the game out of reach in Miami.