Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Jose State Spartans NCAA Pick

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Nevada Wolf Pack (-12.5) @ San Jose State Spartans NCAA Pick: This has gone the other way since I made the pick and sent the newsletter out on Tuesday morning, on Tuesday I got the Wolf Pack at -12.5 and it’s 14 points here on Thursday Night. I think it’s pretty clear whom the better team is, and it’s not like San Jose State is a juggernaut at home.

The Wolfpack have one of the more dynamic offensive players in the conference with quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Kaepernick has scored 10 touchdowns (9 rushing, 1 receiving), rushed for 805 yards, and passed for 1471 yards with 13 more touchdowns through the air. He truly does it all for the Wolf Pack. But this team can run the ball, with Colin, 2 other players have rushed for at least 600 yards. Running backs Via Taua and Luke Lippincott have rushed 198 times for 1341 yards and 7 touchdowns.

As a team, the Wolf Pack lead the conference in rushing and have 26 rushing touchdowns already this season. Nevada has won 5 straight after starting the season in a disappointing 3 straight loss fashion. As favorites, Nevada is 5-1 so far this season, 3-3 ATS.

San Jose State has just one win, and that’s against sub division opponent Cal. Poly. 5 of their 6 losses were by double digits. They’ve had a tough schedule, no doubt about it, losses to Boise State, Fresno State, Stanford, USC, and Utah are no joke – those are tough teams in College Football – but the rushing attack in Nevada looks like too much for San Jose State to handle. I’ll take the Wolf Pack to win by at least two touchdowns.

NCAA Free Picks: Week 10

I’ve got twelve big ones for Week 10 – I hope you enjoy. Just to let you know, my favorites are Minnesota, Oregon, and Iowa – but I like them all enough to throw a bet down. Here’s to hoping home field advantage doesn’t rear it’s ugly head this weekend – 10 out of my 12 are road warriors – just five road favorites though – ha, that’s good for me. Enjoy, and as always, good luck. 

Wisconsin Badgers (+5) @ Michigan State Spartans: Lots of bad football from the Badgers this year, but I tend to think these two teams are just about even, and Michigan State isn’t some freakishly tough place to play by any means. I think Wisconsin runs the ball well and likely upsets the Spartans, as MSU starts their normal late season slide. 

Northwestern Wildcats @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (-6): The Gophers are ranked just one spot behind the Wildcats, and favored in this game by 6 – why? Well, that’s because it is becoming more and more likely that C.J. Bacher won’t be under center in this one for Northwestern and the fact that Minnesota is actually the better team, oh, and Tyrell Sutton (damn good running back) is out for the game too. Rankings are stupid. Write that down. Take Minnesota here.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-7) @ Arkansas Razorbacks: Maybe it’s my hatred for Bobby Patrino, or maybe I like the Hurricane as one of the tougher outs in the Nations – I don’t know. I do know this, Arkansas has been destroyed by good teams, and the Hurricane are good. It’s a tough out of conference game, maybe, but Tulsa has shown me that they can play ball and boy can they take advantage of a bad defense. They score like Texas Tech – and coming off yet another close loss, I think the Razorbacks are in line for an old fashioned butt kicking. But let me make this clear, Tulsa hasn’t beaten anyone, and taking this line means you are buying into their undefeated crap schedule hype. I am taking this game, yes, but that doesn’t mean you have to. Ha. I’m making a “small” bet on this one. 

Arkansas State Indians (+23.5) @ Alabama Crimson Tide: The Tide are one of the Nation’s best teams, I’m not arguing that – but they still aren’t a “kill you” team. Arkansas State can run the ball well, they throw the ball well enough, and they do alright defensively. I think ‘Bama takes this one by two touchdowns, maybe even three, but then again, that still makes me a winner.

Oregon Ducks (+3) @ California Bears: I think Oregon hammers the Bears. There, I said it. There are lots of reasons I believe this, but I’m confident in just saying they’re going to kill them, on the road, conference rival, big game for both teams – Ducks by three touchdowns. 

Florida State Seminoles (+2.5) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: The quarterbacking troubles continue for Georgia Tech – and I don’t think their running game is good enough to beat the Seminoles all by it’s lonesome. Favored by just under a field goal, that’s almost like being a dog. The Yellow Jackets are ranked in the Top 25, a few spots higher than the Noles – but I still think FSU is the better team. Too many athletes for GT in this game. 

Iowa Hawkeyes (+3) @ Illinois Fighting Illini: I think Iowa runs all over Illinois, and not even Juice Williams can put up enough points to win this game for the home team. Iowa has one of the better runners in the nation, and they will showcase him in this one. 

Stanford Cardinal (-29) @ Washington State Cougars: Because I have to, it’s part of my religion now. 

San Jose State Spartans (-16.5) @ Idaho Vandals: I know Idaho won last week, but taht’s all the better reason to think they lose by 30 to the Spartans here. San Jose state showed me a solid football team last week against Boise State, despite the tough loss. San Jose at anything less than minus three touchdowns seems like a deal in this one. 

Washington Huskies @ USC Trojans (-43): Because not only do I have to, but it feels good when I do it. 

Boise State Broncos (-20) @ New Mexico Lobos: I know this probably isn’t a good way to go about this, so I’m basically advising you to only wager a small bet on this one, but the freaking Lobos lost to the freaking Vandals. Ewwww… Boise State brings the ruckus night in and night out. I think they can score three more touchdowns than a Lobos team that is losers of back to back games against San Jose State and Idaho. I also really like the fact that two starting offensive linemen are out for New Mexico (well I don’t like it, I’m not saying yahoo for injuries, I’m just liking my bet more. 

TCU Horned Frogs (-13.5) @ UNLV Running Rebels: The Horned Frogs are this good folks, it’s not a joke. They’ve lost one game to Oklahoma and pretty much handled everyone else. I don’t think that stops with the Running Rebels, even though UNLV has played tough the last couple weeks. They’re in for a down week against a great opponent.

Week 14 College Football Picks Review: 2006

It started off rocky, but in the end, an even record found it’s way into the record books, heading into an exciting December in college football…

Army @ Navy (-19.5): LOSS!
The Rivalry game got me here, what can you do? I thought Navy had the beans to annihilate Army, but as it turned out, the game was close throughout.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+3) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: WIN!
How about the Deacons? On their way to a BCS Bowl game, and all that money for their program. It’s wonderful to see, you know, relatively unknown programs taking it to the ACC. Fantastic, especially when it benefits me.

Connecticut Huskies (+27.5) @ Louisville Cardinals: LOSS!
The Huskies couldn’t hang with a very powerful Cardinal team. Louisville should win their next game as well, bringing a little more appreciation to the Big East.

Air Force Falcons (+17.5) @ TCU Horned Frogs: LOSS!
My Falcons played poorly in a big loss to the Horned Frogs. I thought this was going to be a big win for me, but in the end, the Horned Frogs slammed the door shut on a winning week in college for good ol’ Lucky.

Stanford Cardinal @ California Bears (-28.5): LOSS!
Stanford almost pulled a quick one on the Bears. In the “other” California game that was going down on Saturday, the Bears almost got caught watching USC get downed by UCLA, but they pulled out a close one late, making me a loser again.

Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Jose State Spartans (-3.5): WIN!
San Jose showed why they were a winning team this year, and making it to a nice little bowl game. Fresno lost again. I won a big one.

USC Trojans (-12.5) @ UCLA Bruins: LOSS!
My last loss of the day came when the Bruins ousted the Trojans, in turn making me smile from ear to ear. I thought the Trojans would win easily, but hoped above all else that they’d fail. A win win, I guess. Yeehaw! Dang it! Something in that order.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+10) @ West Virginia Mountaineers: WIN!
Rutgers couldn’t’ quite pull out the big upset, as they fell to the Mountaineers by two points in the 3rd overtime of a game that made me late to dinner with the woman. She understood… Right. Anyway, the Knights kept hopes of a .500 Saturday alive by covering.

Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma Sooners (-3.5): WIN!
The Sooners won, and just made me think what would have been had they not gotten hosed by Pac 10 officials in a lost that should have been a win against the Ducks. Would the computers have picked OK over Florida if each team had one loss? Who cares, both teams would lose to the Buckeyes.

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Florida Gators (-3): WIN!
Florida won to give me my .500 record I was searching for after losing 5 out of my first 7 Week 14 games. The Gators took advantage of the Razorbacks’ shotty quarterback play, and won their way all the way to the National Title game in Arizona.

Regardless of a “rematch” or a “non conference champ playing for a National Title” I’m interested to see which team the public, or the sports-writers, or the coaches, would vote as the 2nd best team in the country. A 3 point loss to Ohio State in Ohio. I don’t think Florida will make that good of a game out of it. I think Boise State should have gotten a chance. Ideally, Florida wins, barely, and Boise State dominates the Sooners. Then maybe, just maybe, Boise would be the champs. And what a champ they would be!

Free NCAA Football Picks Week 14 – 2006

The Regular season is nearly over, and I’ve got to get some big wins to pad the stats for next year. How abouts will I do that? Check it out in my NCAA Week 14 Free Picks….

TOP 5 Bets

  1. USC
  2. Wake Forest
  3. Navy
  4. Nebraska
  5. Florida

Army @ Navy (-19.5):
Navy has won the last 4 contests, never by less than 19 points. Army has lost games by 19 or more points 3 times this season, and haven’t covered the spread in any of their last 7 games. Navy has been solid all year, something I’m sure they won’t let get to their heads in this huge rivalry game. Rivalries are tough to play, but Navy has the team to dominate.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+3) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets:
GT’s inability to score points will kill them against the Demon Deacons. Everyone was betting on Wake to fold all year long, but now they have a chance to take the ACC Title and swim into a BCS Bowl Game. Watch it unfold before your eyes.

Connecticut Huskies (+27.5) @ Louisville Cardinals:
UCONN has actually played pretty well of late, never losing by more than 6 in their last 3 games, and they haven’t lost a game by 28 points or more all season long. Sure, they have 3 wins, but their record doesn’t show how well they’ve played against some tough teams.

Air Force Falcons (+17.5) @ TCU Horned Frogs:
Despite their 4-7 record, Air Force has played decent football all year long. Their schedule was tough. I like TCU to continue on their winning path, but Air Force should be able to hang around long enough to cover this big spread.

Stanford Cardinal @ California Bears (-28.5):
Against similar competition this year, the Cardinal haven’t faired too well. But with a 1-10 record, and a 2-9 ATS, how can you? Oregon State beat Stanford by 23, USC shut them out 42-0, Arizona State won by 35, UCLA shut them out 31-0, and Navy even smoked Stanford by 28 points. So, as much as the Bears struggled against USC, I’ve got to take them here, in what should be a 42-0 drumming.

Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Jose State Spartans (-3.5):
The 7-4 Spartans host the Bulldogs in a season where these two programs have switched positions. Fresno State has found three straight wins, after starting the season 0-7, but still fails to cover. 1-10 ATS for the Bulldogs. This is the Spartans first real chance to beat the Bulldogs in some time, I’ll take them on Saturday.

USC Trojans (-12.5) @ UCLA Bruins:
This game disappoints too often for me to take the Bruins. Even when UCLA is good, USC always manages to embarrass the Bruins. USC has too much riding on this game, and UCLA has too many pretty boys to touch up the Trojans in the final game of the season.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+10) @ West Virginia Mountaineers:
I just have to take the underdog in the crazy Big East. West Virginia has more offensive talent than anyone in the conference, and probably anyone in the country with Pat White and Steve Slaton, but Rutgers has it. And underdogs seem to rally and upset in this conference. The Knights have just won. All season long. Sure one loss, but look at their solid wins. Louisville, UCONN, Pitt, Navy, South Florida, even Illinois is decent. Sure, they play in a lousy conference, but they are a good team, and they have a chance at a BCS Bowl Bid.

Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma Sooners (-3.5):
Nebraska has been good since losing to USC, oh and that little mix up couple of weeks against Texas and OK State. Wait, who have they beaten this year? Yes, tell me a god team they’ve handled. Missouri? Colorado? Texas A&M? They’re in for something, because if it weren’t for the referee “hey-ooo, whoops, Oregon Ball!” fiasco, the Sooners would be bidding for a spot against the Buckeyes. Oklahoma’s good. A double digit win at home against Nebraska. That’s my prediction.

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Florida Gators (-3):
After last weeks quarterbacking play from Mr. Dick and the Razorbacks (their best QB-ing was when their start RB, McFadden, stepped up and took shot gun snaps) I can’t take them to upset the Gators in The Swamp. Florida has two signal callers that could push their team to victory in this one, and both will probably make big plays to do so. Chris Leak hasn’t been as good as I thought he’d be, but he’s still a leader, and the Gators will oust the Razorbacks.