Tag Archives: week 10 NCAA Preview

Oregon State Beavers vs California Golden Bears Pick

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Oregon State Beavers (+7) @ California Golden Bears Pick: This one is a little weird to me, because when you break down these two teams, I think it’s overwhelming that the best team between the two is Oregon State. I know the Beavers are on the road in this one, but they’ve played well away from Beaver-town this season, losing by a score to USC and beating up ASU outright. They’ve only lost to pretty good teams like USC, Cincinnati, and Arizona. They are impressive, and the Rodgers brothers are special, while running back Jacquizz gets most of the publicity, both are great college players. I’d say James is very underrated. Quizz had over 200 yards rushing and receiving last week, but James also tallied 120 yards of total offense against UCLA. The two are key players in the Beavers’ success.

Cal’s wins are unimpressive, that’s the bottom line. The best team they’ve beaten is either Arizona State or Minnesota – maybe UCLA? And they’ve been obliterated by good competition as Oregon and USC combined to smoke the Bears 72-6 in back to back weeks.

The Beavers have been playing their best football of the season over the last two weeks, winning 3 of their last 4 including a 10 point W over Stanford. Sean Canfield has been awesome as the team’s quarterback, already throwing for over 2000 yards with 11 touchdowns while completing 69% of his passes. His ability to stretch the field with his arm has opened up a lot for the Beavers rushing attack, the strongest aspect of their offense. The Beavers have beaten Cal 8 of the last 10 games, winning at Cal in each of the last 4 visits to California.

Boise State Broncos vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pick

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Boise State Broncos (-20.5) @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pick & Preview: Trap game? Friday Night stinker? Running into the Bulldogs playing pretty solid offensive football? Sure, all those things are something to consider, but as Friday Night comes around, I have to like the Broncos to continue slamming the competition like some hulking barbarian carny with a sledge hammer. Bring it.

Does it bother me that 68% of the public agree with me on this one? Not really, the Broncos are a spread gobbling bettor’s darling, putting up points in a fast and furious manner that could pull Vin Diesel out of family films and back to the car racing, ass kicking, ass getting, big “bad” brawler films that originally got him those high-paying kid flicks. During their 8-0 run to start the season, the Broncos have covered enormous spreads often, going 6-2 ATS.

Boise State has covered against the Bulldogs in 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Broncos have beaten the Bulldogs 7 straight times, destroying them by more than three touchdowns 4 times. Now, the Bulldogs have only lost two games by 21 points or more so far this season, but those two games were against the best La Tech has played, Nevada and Auburn, and neither of those teams are as good as Boise State.

The Broncos have been double digit favorites five times this season, they covered 4 of those games. They’re not a stranger to big spreads, and they don’t take any prisoners when beating up on lesser teams. I think the Bulldogs make this a game early, but Boise will come on too strong to oust the Bulldogs by the three touchdowns needed to cover.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Jose State Spartans NCAA Pick

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Nevada Wolf Pack (-12.5) @ San Jose State Spartans NCAA Pick: This has gone the other way since I made the pick and sent the newsletter out on Tuesday morning, on Tuesday I got the Wolf Pack at -12.5 and it’s 14 points here on Thursday Night. I think it’s pretty clear whom the better team is, and it’s not like San Jose State is a juggernaut at home.

The Wolfpack have one of the more dynamic offensive players in the conference with quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Kaepernick has scored 10 touchdowns (9 rushing, 1 receiving), rushed for 805 yards, and passed for 1471 yards with 13 more touchdowns through the air. He truly does it all for the Wolf Pack. But this team can run the ball, with Colin, 2 other players have rushed for at least 600 yards. Running backs Via Taua and Luke Lippincott have rushed 198 times for 1341 yards and 7 touchdowns.

As a team, the Wolf Pack lead the conference in rushing and have 26 rushing touchdowns already this season. Nevada has won 5 straight after starting the season in a disappointing 3 straight loss fashion. As favorites, Nevada is 5-1 so far this season, 3-3 ATS.

San Jose State has just one win, and that’s against sub division opponent Cal. Poly. 5 of their 6 losses were by double digits. They’ve had a tough schedule, no doubt about it, losses to Boise State, Fresno State, Stanford, USC, and Utah are no joke – those are tough teams in College Football – but the rushing attack in Nevada looks like too much for San Jose State to handle. I’ll take the Wolf Pack to win by at least two touchdowns.

Purdue Boilermakers @ Michigan Wolverines Football Pick

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Purdue Boilermakers (+4) @ Michigan Wolverines Football Pick: Luckily for you, this spread has made a change for the better since Monday Night when I made my selection. I have the Boilermakers at +4 but they are already getting +6 at almost every book. Still, 75% of the public likes Michigan to cover at home in this one.

Fortunately, I think the public is confused, and the man is happy as a clam at high tide about the whole thing. See, the public (or so I guess) sees 5-4 Michigan hosting 3-6 Purdue, and they think, “favored by less than a touchdown, give me that football powerhouse, Michigan” – but that’s where they’re all wrong. Sure, the Wolverines got the Fighting Irish when they were on the other side of that luck thing, and that was a good win. But their other four wins have come against less than stellar competition, Delaware State, Western and Eastern Michigan, and good old Indiana. How’s that 5-4 resume looking now? And Michigan has really struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5, including a beat down last week at the hands of Illinois, of all teams.

Purdue may have 6 losses, and on any given day they can play like piss, but aside from last week, they’ve been very competitive against some pretty good teams. Purdue has lost by more than a touchdown just twice this season, losing to Notre Dame and Oregon by 5 points combined. They got kicked around last week by Wisconsin, but that puts them in a good place to come out and fight hard against Michigan. I’ll take Purdue, the better team of the two.