Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (+3) Football Pick: Oh, I definitely see what the public likes in Dallas here. The Packers are overrated, they can’t give Aaron Rodgers enough time to use his elite arm and awesome wide receiving corps, yet they think they should throw the ball 75% of the time. They got beat up pretty good by the Vikings, and then went and lost to the Tampa Bay Bucs, everybody’s favorite team to go winless in 2009. Then you look at what the Packers have actually done, who they’ve beaten, you get a number of JV teams and a mediocre Chicago Bears squad. (Cleveland, St. Louis, Detroit are their other wins – nice…)
But I have to believe the Pack will come to play on Sunday afternoon in Green Bay. The Cowboys didn’t look very good offensively last week against Philadelphia, and I’d almost say that the Eagles beat themselves more than Dallas taking the victory. Obviously Dallas has a pass rush that could give Green Bay a lot of trouble, but they also have WRs that should give the Packers secondary a lot of trouble. Guys like Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, and James Jones are all very physical receivers that run great routes – the Cowboys are susceptible to the deep ball, and I think Green Bay takes advantage a few times this week.
Those big plays will be enough to get the Packers the home win, or so I imagine – that Tampa loss will act as a nice little wake-up call for a Packers team that better shape up or fade into obscurity. The Cowboys are coming off a huge win over the Eagles, and they didn’t really play that well. That’s a good combination for a Packers cover.