College Football Picks Week 11 2005

A winning week is in the cards. I’ve gone back to the pattern and process that brought me three straight weeks with a winning percentage over 75%. May the outcome remain the same in week 11… I sure hope not. 75% isn’t good enough anymore, oh no, I want a perfect week in the college ranks. This is how I will master the betting world!

TOP 5 Bets

1. Oklahoma Sooners
2. Maryland Terrapins
3. Fresno State Bulldogs
4. Vanderbilt Commodores
5. Cincinnati Bearcats

Louisville Cardinals (-6.5) @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights: After watching Louisville dismantle the Mountaineers last Thursday, I don’t know how I can bet any other way in this one. Like I said last week, 2 undefeated teams are always tough to gamble on, but if I had to, I’d put my money on the Cards and one hell of a coaching staff.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-13.5) @ North Carolina Tar Heels: The Yellow Jackets should step up and dominate the Tar Heels in North Carolina, if only because they know damn well this will be the last time their school is favored over the Heels throughout the rest of the school year. Basketball is coming up, and, ah, good luck Jackets. No, but honestly, the Jackets have a bowl bound football team with a few special players that should have their way with this basketball school in Carolina.

Cincinnati Bearcats (+19.5) @ West Virginia Mountaineers: You never can tell how a team will respond to being eliminated from Championship play. I love West Virginia, but if they think they’re going to suit up and win just because on Saturday, the Bearcats have something for West V. Nati has been solid all year, Pitt, Louisville, Ohio State, and Virginia Tech are responsible for the Bearcats’ only losses this season. Tough schedule. Cinci has played tough, and against Westy’s generous defense, they’ll give the Mountie faithful a scare.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Iowa Hawkeyes (+1): The Hawkeyes have won 4 straight in this rivalry, and are very tough at home. All signs point to Wisconsin, but lets not forget the importance of home field advantage in a divisional rivalry like this one. Iowa has struggled lately, but a big win over Wisconsin here would get them right back in the Bowl picture. Look for Iowa to surprise a lot of people on Saturday.

Vanderbilt Commodores (+2.5) @ Kentucky Wildcats: I love betting on the Commodores. (6-3 ATS) You can see why. The Wildcats are coming off a huge win over Georgia, so they should struggle out of the gates. The Commodores love to take advantage of squads who expect an easy win when they come to town. Vanderbilt will win this game in Kentucky!

Miami Hurricanes @ Maryland Terrapins (-2.5): The Terps just aren’t getting any love here because they aren’t a Miami school. In a tumultuous year for the Canes, you’d think things couldn’t get any worse. The Murder of defensive end Bryan Pata has put everything into perspective. As the Saints proved last season, its almost impossible to go in to games week in and week out with so much regular life draining your system. I’m not trying to take advantage for Miami here, I would have taken the Terps either way, but these kids can only worry about so much before it starts to really catch up with them.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Fresno State Bulldogs (-11): The Bulldogs aren’t even close to as bad as their record insists. The Aggies, they’re just as bad. New Mexico won’t stat close in this one, as finally the bounces will play fair with the Bulldogs as they dominate from 1 to 4. Since 1987 the Bulldogs haven’t beaten the Aggies by less than 2 touchdowns.

Oregon State Beavers (-2) @ UCLA Bruins: California schools are front runners, don’t ever let anyone tell you otherwise. That’s why most of them schedule easy folks early in the season. That’s what UCLA did, but, lately it hasn’t worked. The Bruins have lost 4 straight while Oregon State has won 4 straight, including games over USC and Arizona State. I don’t think this is a fluke as finally the Beaves are starting to play up to their potential. We’ll see if I’m right come Saturday.

Washington State Cougars (-1) @ Arizona State: The Cougars have to get ready for a very disappointing loss to the Huskies next week in Pullman, because that’s what they do, so they should get an easy victory here over an Arizona State team that has struggled this year after their coach allowed the players to decide who their starting quarterback was going to be. The Cougars are tough, and although the Sun Devils do well at home, this time of year, WSU players are happy as hell to go on the road.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5): The Sooners have done well without their start player, Adrian Peterson, while the Red Raiders have had a down year on each side of the ball, but still have managed to put up some pretty solid numbers going 6-4 overall. The Sooners should return to dominate this series, after losing last year by two points. Oklahoma’s only home loss this season came against Texas, so expect them to hold their ground in front of the home crowd. Only two of OK’s 7 wins this season have come by less than 9 points.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+9) @ Florida State Seminoles: I don’t know how the cappers came up with this number, but honestly, lets look at some game film. Lets see, yes, that’s right, ah, there it is. The Seminoles haven’t beaten any of the Top 5 ACC teams this season, while their only wins have come against Miami, Duke, Troy, Rice, and Virginia. The Deacons have yet to get any street credit from going 8-1 on the season, with their only loss coming in a close one against Clemson. Yeah, after review, I’ll roll the dice on the Deacons and 9 freaking points. Unbelievable.

Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks (-5.5): The Razorbacks haven’t lost since an opening whooping put down by the USC Trojans. You can understand why they started off kind of slow, they’re a team with a new offense and a freshman quarterback. He’ll only get better. Darren McFadden has been great this season, averaging over 100 yards per contest, and scoring 11 touchdowns. The Volunteers are a great group of kids, and they are undefeated on the road this season, but Arkansas keeps finding a way to win. Something they’ll continue to do this week at home, where they too are undefeated thus far.

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