St. Louis Rams vs Chicago Bears NFL Free Pick: I don’t know what I’m up to, maybe I’m just a sicko that can’t help but bet against a bad team as a 10 point favorite, because you know it’s not because I think much of the Rams. I’ve been quoted calling the Rams one of the worst teams in football, but I’ve also seen an improving team, a defense led by a good coach, and a team that seems to be starting to figure it out. Plus, Marc Bulger is out and I’ve always liked anybody else when gambling on games.

The Bears are 4-7 and bad 4-7 at that. The Rams, well they are bad, but like I said, getting better. The Bears aren’t getting better, they have a coach that likely has seen his last season in Chicago – they have a team that doesn’t believe in their high-priced leader, Mr. Jay Cutler, and the one strong part of their offense of last season hasn’t produced at all this year, one Matt Forte and that broken rushing attack. To put their performances into perspective, Marc Bulger’s QB rating of 70.7 is less than four points lower than Cutler’s 74.4. And on a bad team that really only has a running back, Steven Jackson has had a very impressive year while Forte has really struggled.

The Bears haven’t won against the spread in over a month, they’ve won a single game (both SU and ATS) since mid-October. The Rams have won 3 of their last 4 ATS, and they’ve been in four straight games. That combo is enough for me to go with the points.

St. Louis Rams (+10) @ Chicago Bears: