I think the Miami Ohio / Buffalo game is a tough one, because so much would rely on the momentum gathered by a big play early in the game. Both teams have struggle this year, and though Buffalo is use to hurting for wins, Miami OH is usually a solid school, so the losing season should be tougher on them. If you are taking Miami, you definitely have history on your side, as only once since 1999 has this game finished closer than 10 points, every time Miami being the victor. On the other hand, twice as many people have taken Miami of Ohio in this game, which usually isn’t a good sign. Because, naturally, Casinos make money, right. But if I had to choose a winner of this spread, i think I’d roll with the Redhawks.

Historically dominating Buffalo, and doing better against common opponents, and a decent coaching staff give them the nod in my opinion. Its also hard to believe Miami of Ohio will go 0-7… but an 8.5 point spread is pretty big for two teams that have combined for 1 win on the season. I think you’ve picked a tough game here, but like I said, if I had to take a winner, I’d go with you.

As for the Marshall game, I like your pick with the Thundering Herd as underdogs. The public has taken SMU, because their record is better, and their at home, but surely Marshall has a much stronger program. Often times with small schools like Marshall, if their football program is stout, and Marshall’s is, they’ll start to right the ship after an early season tumble. I’d take the Herd in this game.

As for my best bet of the week… I’m torn between two, and although I don’t guarantee anything, I’d say both look very good in my eyes. If I had to rank them, it’d be 1 and 2 in this order.

1. I like the Syracus Orange with (+25) to cover against West Virginia. The Orange have a solid defense that has limited their average margin of loss to under 9 on the season. And remember, they’ve never lost by more than 10, and never given up more than 21 points in a loss. Plus they’ve won 3 of their last 4, and God knows they won’t overlook the top ranked Mountaineers. Plus, undefeated teams start to struggle right around this time, pressure, and just the hope to finish wihtout a loss… these games get close.
2. My other top game is Minnesota (+8.5) over Wisconsin. The Badgers just aren’t as good as they’ve been playing, and historically they play much better to start the season than they do to finish it. The Gophers are better than they’ve played, and their pound it out running game should keep them close with everyone they play, as can be seen by their last three games, Purdue (21-27) Michigan (14-28; much closer than the final score) and Penn State (27-28). They have a very good coach who preaches the run, even more than the Badgers. I like all the points in these two games, and the fact that 61% of the public disagrees with me here is great – Always a good sign.

Anyway, i hope I helped, and good luck this weekend… Thanks for reading! – Lucky Lester