California Golden Bears (-6.5) @ Arizona State Sun Devils Pick: From the outset, this looks eerily like a gimmie game for the Golden Bears, so I’m going to walk you through my steps to understand what they heck Vegas is doing by making the Bears less than a touchdown favorite against an Arizona State team that really hasn’t looked very good at all. Step 1: Is there some kind of freakish injury to a key Bear player that would constitute a spread this low in a game that seems pretty lopsided? Nope, the Bears have one player on the injury report and he’s been there since August… Step 2: are the Bears overrated? You bet, they are way overrated, but they are still way better than the Sun Devils. Step 3: Does Arizona State do something offensively that could leave the Bears vulnerable? Well, anyone that can score points leaves the Bears defense vulnerable, but no, Arizona State runs it a little, can pass it a little, but generally, when they get out-rushed, they lose. They’ve been out-rushed 4 times this year, their only win in those games? Louisiana Monroe. Don’t get me wrong, Cal has disappointed, and almost always they struggle against good teams. Fortunately for you, and for me, the Sun Devils are a bad team, and that is the type of situation that Cal thrives in. I think they win by 3-4 touchdowns in Arizona.
Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators (-15) Pick & Preview: The Bulldogs have played some decent football at times this year, but overall I think they’re overrated. The Gators haven’t really moved the ball well or played mistake free football over the last three weeks, their defense has been winning them football games – so yeah, needless to say, a team that talented is due for a breakout offensive performance. I know the Gators have had a lot of injuries on the defensive side of the ball, and a lot of those guys are still questionable headed into Saturday’s SEC showdown with the 5-2 Bulldogs, I know that. But I also know that the back-ups on defense have been solid, that Georgia’s offense will have one hell of a hard time doing anything against the Gators back-ups, and that Tim Tebow and company shouldn’t find the same frustrations in moving the ball against that very giving Georgia defense. In 8 of the last 10 match-ups between these two, the home team has walked away with the W – however, the road team has won the last two meetings. Florida beat the Bulldogs by 39 points last season. These teams are not equal, don’t get it twisted. Ignore the Gators recent struggles, this is a team that will turn it around soon, better to be ahead of that curve!