Week 5 College Football Picks Review

I was had!!!
USC pulled one out of the hat, as they took the Sun Devils by ten. As for me, I had the same fate as Arizona State, up early, down late. Follow my 6-8 week as I review the games I won, and the games that ripped holes in my check book.

Kansas State (+7) @ Oklahoma – I picked the Wildcat score. Unfortunately I don’t get half my money back for that one. The Sooners couldn’t and wouldn’t be stopped by Kansas State. A team the Sooners still seem to own. Adrian Peterson lost any chance he had to win the Heisman when he went out in the second quarter with a foot injury. Stoops said he should be fine, but eight carries for 51 yards isn’t going to get you any votes. Ask Laurence Maroney. If you told me the Sooners were going to win without Peterson in the game, I would have laughed in your face. Then of course, you would have laughed last. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats 21 – Oklahoma Sooners 20. Actual: Wildcats 21 – Sooners 43.

Notre Dame @ Purdue (-3) – A swing and a miss. Actually Purdue beat the Irish by seven in the second half. Unfortunately for me the Boilermakers gave the Irish a head start. After the first half it was already 28-0. At least I didn’t have to watch Notre Dame after the first fifteen minutes… I had a CSI episode on Tivo… that sucked too! Can’t win ’em all. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 23 – Purdue Boilermakers 30. Actual: Irish 49 – Boilermakers 28.

Temple @ Bowling Green (-28) – Thank God for the Temple Owls! “Temple is very, very, almost as bad as Duke. (0-4, can it get any worse? yes, say 0-5) The Bowling Green Falcons only have one win to show for their first three games. But they’re better than that.” (me) This game was easier than the Texas Missouri game. Omarr Jacobs has enough talent in his own right hand to beat the Owls by 50. Jacobs numbers you ask? 26-30, 326yards, 4 touchdowns, 0 interceptions. He’s a man among Owls! Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Temple Owls 13 – Bowling Green Falcons 49. Actual: Owls 7 – Falcons 70.

Washington @ UCLA (-21.5) – The Huskies take me down for the second time this year. This game was way too close. Either the Bruins took a huge step back or the Huskies are way better than I expected. Bet on the step back. The Huskies not only played close with the Bruins, but they had UCLA beat. The Dogs were up 14 in the fourth, but fell victim to their own inability to finish football games. The Huskies have allowed more points in 4th quarters this year than all their first halves combined. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Washington Huskies 17 – UCLA Bruins 50. Actual: Huskies 17 – Bruins 21.

Utah @ North Carolina (-3.5) – A big win right on the money for me. The Tar Heels are a better team than many believe. They’ll continue to prove themselves against tough competition throughout the year. The Tar Heels will be bowling come December. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Utah Utes 17 – North Carolina Tar Heels 27. Actual Utes 17 – Tar Heels 31.

USC @ Arizona State (+16.5) – Well, I won the bet, but lost the big upset call. What can you do? If it wasn’t for this and that and all that other stuff the Sun Devils would have won. Exactly. If it wasn’t for the Reggie Bush and Lindell White and…. the list goes on and on. But remember, USC has made a small habit of playing like shit in the first half. Luckily for them the opposition in both those games have come out in the second half like a flat tire. If they continue to shit bricks in the first half, their opponent might come out in the second half with more confidence. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: USC 37 – Arizona State Sun Devils 42. Actual: Trojans 38 – Sun Devils 28.

Minnesota (-2.5) @ Penn State – I didn’t see this one coming. I didn’t think Laurence Maroney would get held under 100 yards against anyone, let alone Joe Pa’s Nittany Lions. I thought the Gophers would score way too many points for the Lions to follow, but it was Paterno’s Penn State squad that turned up the fire on offense. Maroney fell from the Heisman race in a big loss for the previously undefeated Nittany Lions. But how great would it be to see Joe Paterno’s bunch of boys run the table? After everyone was giving Joe a hard time for continuing to coach. Stay as long as you want Mr. Paterno! Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Minnesota Golden Gophers 46 – Penn State Nittany Lions – 27. Actual: Gophers 14 – Nittany Lions 44.

Florida (-4) @ Alabama – Looks like I was wrong about a lot of things. Mainly those men in Alabama. This was an amazingly bad day for the Gators. “A Meyer-coached team had never been held without a touchdown, and the Gators hadn’t been kept out of the end zone since 1992.”(CBS) A nice double team on those two streaks. Meyer was welcomed to the SEC by Alabama to the tune of total destruction. A young man named Tyron Prothro took a short slant and ran bye the Gators like they were stuck on pause by Tivo. Now that’d be an expensive upgrade. Looks like Meyer’s Gators, and myself, are back to the drawing board . Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Florida Gators 32 – Alabama Crimson Tide 20. Actual: Gators 3 – Crimson Tide 31.

Navy (-6) @ Duke – Duke gets beat at home by Navy and nobody says a thing. That’s how bad Duke football is. Navy outmaneuvered and outscored the Blue Devils, even with 11 points from Duke in the fourth quarter. I get a big smile on my face when I win money off of a Duke loss. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Navy Midshipmen 38 – Duke Blue Devils 13. Actual: Midshipmen 28 – Duke 21.

Virginia Tech (-10.5) @ West Virginia – Virginia met their match against their cross state rivals. The Hokies were better than the Mountaineers in every aspect of the game. Marcus Vick looked better than ever, and his confidence was booming throughout the game. Look out for these Hokies! Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Virginia Tech Hokies 49 – West Virginia Mountaineers 21. Actual: Hokies 34 – Mountaineers 17.

Clemson (-7) @ Wake Forest – Bottom line… I just flat out didn’t think the Clemson Tigers were this bad. I was wrong. Clemson was held scoreless in the fourth quarter, and instead of destroying Wake, they got beat by four. So I struck out on this game. Even the best go down to a knuckle-baller sometimes. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Clemson Tigers 45 – Wake Forest Demon Deacons 14. Actual: Clemson 27 – Deacons 31.

Michigan @ Michigan State (-5.5) – This game was close just like I had imagined. I was down seven late in the game until the biggest damn guy on State’s team picks up a fumble and bumbles eighty firkin yards for a touchdown to tie it up. As you well know, that wasn’t gonna do it for me. So I was back to my old antics, hope for overtime, an easy score from the Spartans and hold the Wolverines to nothing. Unfortunately the Wolverines marched down the field and had a 20 yard field goal to win it. Fortunately the bonner missed it wide right. My overtime wishes had been granted. Then my wishes turned to the shits. The spartans were held scoreless and Michigan’s bonner of a kicker puts the ball through the uprights for the three point victory. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Michigan Wolverines 17 – Michigan State Spartans 24. Actual: Wolverines 34 – Spartans 31.

Indiana @ Wisconsin (-17.5) – The Badgers walloped the Hoosiers. If it wasn’t for a meaningless score with a minute and change left on the clock the score would have been 41-17. If you do the math, that would have made me a winner. As it stands, mark Lucky down for another loss by a half a point. Son of a….. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Indiana Hoosiers 17 – Wisconsin Badgers 38. Actual; Hoosiers 24 – Wisconsin 41.

Texas (-14.5) @ Missouri – This one was as easy as Tracy Cox. Honestly, I wish all games could be like this. Vince Young was dominate, kid looked like an NFL starter playing middle school ball. Missouri wasn’t ready, and they’ll never be ready for Texas. Lucky’s Fearless Prediction: Texas Longhorns 56 – Missouri Tigers 17. Actual: Texas 51 – Missouri 20.

NFL Free Picks 04-05 Week 5

Lucky is still reeling from all the upsets of last week. Hopefully things return to normal this week and Lester is spot on with the winners once again so he can keep the name; Lucky! Just kidding, Lester is always lucky, just not always right. Now if I could only get a little coffee with all this humble pie! Click here if you want to read my review of how the previous week played out against my picks and my power ratings for the first quarter.Week 5 Super Picks

Cardinals (+1) @ Niners – Cardinals get a point, so that’s cool. Both teams are bad but the Cardinals have Dennis Green, and the 49’ers Have Dennis Erikson. Emmit Smith has been having a kick ass year and it’s about time to once again appreciate Mr. Smith.
Game Date: 10/10/04 16:15 ET

Bills @ Jets (-6.5) – Drew Bledsoe has been dreadful and don’t expect that to change against the talented Jets team. Jets Quarterback Pennington will not turn the ball over and less than seven points is a bargain in this one. Game Date: 10/10/04 16:05 ET

Jaguars (-2.5) @ San Diego – Okay, okay, so the Chargers have overachieved and the Jaguars have barely won three games and just lost one. Only 2.5 to the Chargers…Jump on this free boat! The Jags shut down the stud running back in San Diego and then what, Drew Brees beats them??? As Barb would say…”Yeah Right!”
Game Date: 10/10/04 16:05 ET

Ravens (-1) @ Redskins – The Ravens defense was humiliated last week at Kansas City. Ray Lewis is pissed and Clinton Portis has been fumbling. This is a lethal combination for the Redskins. Redskins are struggling to pick up Coach Gibbs schemes and the Ravens defense pounces without any hesitation. Game Date: 10/10/04 20:30 ET

Lucky Lester’s Picks For Week Five
Dolphins @ Patriots (-13) -Thirteen is a huge number but I have to take the Patriots here. The Dolphins hope to keep it close with their defense but the Patriots ability to pass and run will prove it decisive. Dolphins are disorganized and their moral is low on offense no matter who is quarterbacking their team. Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Browns @ Steelers (-6) – Okay, I know the Steelers need to win by more than six but they are better than the Browns. Rookie quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has been exceptional and Deuce Staley has restored the fear factor in their running game. Browns running back Lee Suggs could have success against the Steeler defense. The Browns defense has been decimated by injuries and will be unable to slow the Steeler attack.
Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Raiders @ Colts (-9) – After a last minute win last week against Jacksonville with help from a questionable call, the Colts will be out to prove that they are one of the dominate teams in this league. Marvin Harrison is overdue for a monster game. Raiders have injury concerns on offense (QB, RB) and showed little last week.
Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Lions (+7) @ Falcons – The Falcons are not good enough yet to get seven points over a exciting, young Lions squad. The Lions showed earlier this year in Chicago that they are finally able to win on the road. The Falcons are inconsistent throwing the ball so maybe unable to take advantage of Detroit’s sub par pass defense.
Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Bucks @ Saints (-3) – Both of these teams have been especially disappointing this year. The Saints QB Aaron Brooks usually steps up against good defenses. Look for the Saints to rebound at home saving their season and pushing the Buccaneers to 0-5.
Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Giants (+3) @ Cowboys – Kurt Warner and Tiki Barber, two notorious turnover artists, have only turned the ball over twice between them this year. The Cowboys are really hurting at right cornerback and the Giants have enough good receivers to exploit that. Look for Michael Strahan to blow by Cowboy Right Tackle Torrin Tucker and lay some big hits on Testaverde. Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Vikings (-4) @ Texans – The Texans have won two in a row and could hang with the Vikings for a while, but the Vikings superior firepower will prove too much in the end. Take the Vikings only giving four in this one. It sucks but oh well!
Game Date: 10/10/04 13:00 ET

Panthers (+5.5) @ Broncos – So the whole “Quentin Griffin is a stud” thing is over and done with and Jake Plimmer isn’t anything big to get excited about so why do the Broncos give almost six points? Oh that’s right, the Odds Makers are Crazy! Panthers expect to get Steven Davis back this week and will ride him to victory.
Game Date: 10/10/04 16:15 ET

Rams @ Seahawks (-7) – Seahawks are finally balanced as their much maligned defense is playing even better than their vaunted offense. The suddenly old Rams just can’t hang with the speedy, young Seahawks, especially in Seattle. Expect Seattle running back Shaun Alexander running behind Seattle’s elite offensive line to dominate the undersize Rams defenders.
Game Date: 10/10/04 16:15 ET

Titans @ Packers (-3) – This match up on Monday night features two teams that are a very disappointing 1-3. This is a must win situation for both teams to stay competitive for the playoffs. It turns out that injured Brett Favre is healthier than injured Packer Quarterback, Steve McNair. The Packers will not lose three in a row at Lambeau Field. Take the Packers giving only 3.
Game Date: 10/11/04 21:05 ET
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Lucky Lester