Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Week 14 Picks

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Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Week 14 Picks: 55% of the betting public likes the Colts, and I’ll admit, Peyton and company make it tough to bet against the horsies with their 12-0 record going right along with their 8-3-1 ATS mark for the season. But the Colts are 2-3-1 ATS at home, and they’ve lost each of their last two when favored by more than 6 points. They’ve won their last 5 games by a total of 28 points, that’s an average of just over 5 points per game. 4 of those wins were by 4 points or less. Last week the Colts beat the Titans by 10 points, but Tennessee went for it on 4th down twice when inside the Colts’ red zone. They’ve been winning the close ones.

Denver became a bettor’s dream after the first few games of the season, surprising everyone and taking a long time for the books to realize (or credit them) for being real. The Broncos started 6-0 including wins over Cincinnati (miracle last second touchdown), Dallas, New England, and San Diego. But then they hit the wall and lost 4 in a row by a combined beating of 37-117. And just like that, they were the Broncos once again, no credit, no respect. Just how I like them. A 20-point piecing of the Giants on Thanksgiving and a 44-13 beatdown over the Chiefs in Kansas City, and the Broncos are still more than a touchdown dog at 8-4.

Now that’s my kind of bet. The Broncos have been at their best when given no chance to win, and there are plenty of people that expect the Colts to walk into Sunday’s game and come out with a 13-0 record just for showing up. I don’t think so. I think the Broncos match-up very well with Indianapolis, and a chance of an upset is great. That’s why I like Denver as a runaway dog.

Denver Broncos (+7.5) @ Indianapolis Colts

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans Point Spread Pick

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Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans Point Spread Pick: I see something I like here, sure, but I have this eerie feeling I’m going to regret this one. Maybe it’s the Hawks on the road that scares me, or even the Hawks in general, yes, you might say I have pick-em dreams that end with me getting a million dollars if I can just pick a Hawks game correctly – that’s where I wake up in cold sweats.

No, but on a serious note, I don’t have the best record when it comes to Seattle. I’m not sure what it is, it’s just the way it has been. It doesn’t mean I never get them right, it just means that predicting them is tough for me. I know the Hawks are 1-5 away from Seattle, 4-2 at home – they don’t play a physical brand of football, and that hurts on the road. However, I’m thinking their upswing in health will finally help them and keep them winning football games. If you’ve noticed, they’ve won two straight (against the NFC West, sure, but you have to count them). One more win would be three in a row, and get them one game under .500 for the season. They are close.

The Texans have had a tough time of it lately. They’ve had their normal mid-season tumble, losing 4 straight, all against their own conference. Two of those games were home losses, and they’ve lost 3 straight against the spread as well. Houston isn’t a great home team, just 2-4 this season, and I like the Hawks odds of playing close. Seattle can think pass first, run second, when defending the Texans, and I think that certainty will help them. I’ll go with the Hawks.

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) @ Houston Texans

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears NFL Free Pick

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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears NFL Free Pick: The Bears are bad, folks, really. If their numerous losses don’t prove that to you, go ahead and look at their wins. Add up every single one of their wins, mix them in with a 10-year-old bin of crap in your garage, and see if you can tell the difference between anything after a good shake. You say, Pittsburgh, I say – maybe. But before I admit the Bears have beat one good team, I’ll mention the fact that both Oakland and Kansas City also beat that team. How many teams have that gold nugget on their resume? Right.

So aside from the Steelers, the Packers have taken down powerhouses like Seattle (with Seneca Wallace starting at QB), Cleveland, Detroit, and just last week, they beat the mighty Rams by 8 points at home in Chicago. Nice. Yes, there is nothing impressive about this 5 and 7 team. Not at all.

The Packers, on the other hand, the hand that you didn’t just wipe with because you ran out of toilet paper, are a good team, and don’t look now, but all that youth and excitement is actually getting even better. They’ve drafted some great young players and their switch to a 3-4 is utilizing all of that talent. They have become a run-stuffing dynamo and their coverage in the secondary claims one of the best defensive players in football, Mr. Charles Woodson.

Aaron Rodgers, and even Ryan Grant, should tear up this Bears defense that has had a very tough time stopping potent offenses. I like the Packers by 14-21 points on the road. Help me out Jay, I know you will!

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Chicago Bears