Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers Thursday Night Pick

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Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers (-3) Thursday Night Pick: Earlier in the week I posted that San Francisco was a tough match-up for the Bears, I’d like to divulge a little more information on that statement. To start with, any game on the road seems to be tough for the Bears. Away from Soldier Field, the Bears are 1-3, straight up and against the spread. Their only win and cover came against the Seahawks minus Matt Hasselbeck and a plethora of other Seahawks starters. And Seattle could have easily won that game, the Bears snuck one out by 6 points.

But that’s just a start, and that has nothing to do with the 49ers. Aside from their Pittsburgh win in week 2, the Bears have only beaten Seattle, Detroit, and Cleveland. Yep. Now, the 49ers have only one good win as well, but San Francisco has played tough against everyone aside from their blowout at the hands of Atlanta 10-45. The 49ers have lost their last 3 by 10 total points, and that was against Houston, Indianapolis, and a Tennessee team playing much better than their 2-6 record insists.

The Bears have played poorly against good teams, San Francisco has played well against everyone. Advantage 49ers. 3 of Chicago’s 4 wins came against teams that didn’t commit to running the ball, teams that don’t eat up the clock and put pressure on the Bears offense to score quickly. Teams that run the ball effectively and eat clock, Atlanta and Cincinnati, well, they made the Bears look bad.

The 49ers have some injury concerns, mainly Joe Staley at OT and Nate Clements, the teams’ best player in the secondary – but they showed over the last couple weeks that they can play well without those guys. When they can run the ball, the 49ers have covered easily – I don’t see them having much trouble running at home against an overrated Bears defense.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls Free Pick

This Thursday Night free football pick has two undefeated Big East teams squaring off in what should be one hell of a game. The spread is tight, the teams really fly around well, and the Bearcats have climbed all the way to 8th nationally without one single win against a ranked opponent – I guess that’s what 5-0 and some big passing numbers will do for a school. But how will they go this Thursday?

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Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5) @ South Florida Bulls: This game is tough, no doubt, you have history, you have this season, and you have Thursday Night Football, all three things are working their magic on my decision here. The Bearcats are 9-1 in their last 10 games, losing on New Years Day to the Virginia Tech Hokies 20-7. South Florida is 5-0 on the season, but late season breakdowns have been their MO. The home team has taken the win in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these Big East foes, and Cincinnati has covered the last 5. The Bulls’ star quarterback, Matt Grothe, is out for the season, while Tony Pike has been very busy making quite the name for himself while throwing for just under 300 yards per game in Cincinnati this season. This game is likely to be very close, as neither team looks likely to budge on Thursday. The Bulls have a little more speed on defense, but Tony Pike and company can put up some points offensively. What has me taking the road dog in this one is South Florida’s Thursday Night history. It’s tough to come in and pay mid-week, a lot of teams struggle with it, and the Bulls just happen to be one of those teams. They’ve been embarrased two straight seasons by big Thursday Night upsets, and I think Cincinnati just happens to be the better team this time around. I’ll take Cinci to do some damage on ESPN’s Thursday Night Football.