Tag Archives: NCAA Week 10

Boise State Broncos vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pick

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Boise State Broncos (-20.5) @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pick & Preview: Trap game? Friday Night stinker? Running into the Bulldogs playing pretty solid offensive football? Sure, all those things are something to consider, but as Friday Night comes around, I have to like the Broncos to continue slamming the competition like some hulking barbarian carny with a sledge hammer. Bring it.

Does it bother me that 68% of the public agree with me on this one? Not really, the Broncos are a spread gobbling bettor’s darling, putting up points in a fast and furious manner that could pull Vin Diesel out of family films and back to the car racing, ass kicking, ass getting, big “bad” brawler films that originally got him those high-paying kid flicks. During their 8-0 run to start the season, the Broncos have covered enormous spreads often, going 6-2 ATS.

Boise State has covered against the Bulldogs in 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Broncos have beaten the Bulldogs 7 straight times, destroying them by more than three touchdowns 4 times. Now, the Bulldogs have only lost two games by 21 points or more so far this season, but those two games were against the best La Tech has played, Nevada and Auburn, and neither of those teams are as good as Boise State.

The Broncos have been double digit favorites five times this season, they covered 4 of those games. They’re not a stranger to big spreads, and they don’t take any prisoners when beating up on lesser teams. I think the Bulldogs make this a game early, but Boise will come on too strong to oust the Bulldogs by the three touchdowns needed to cover.

Purdue Boilermakers @ Michigan Wolverines Football Pick

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Purdue Boilermakers (+4) @ Michigan Wolverines Football Pick: Luckily for you, this spread has made a change for the better since Monday Night when I made my selection. I have the Boilermakers at +4 but they are already getting +6 at almost every book. Still, 75% of the public likes Michigan to cover at home in this one.

Fortunately, I think the public is confused, and the man is happy as a clam at high tide about the whole thing. See, the public (or so I guess) sees 5-4 Michigan hosting 3-6 Purdue, and they think, “favored by less than a touchdown, give me that football powerhouse, Michigan” – but that’s where they’re all wrong. Sure, the Wolverines got the Fighting Irish when they were on the other side of that luck thing, and that was a good win. But their other four wins have come against less than stellar competition, Delaware State, Western and Eastern Michigan, and good old Indiana. How’s that 5-4 resume looking now? And Michigan has really struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5, including a beat down last week at the hands of Illinois, of all teams.

Purdue may have 6 losses, and on any given day they can play like piss, but aside from last week, they’ve been very competitive against some pretty good teams. Purdue has lost by more than a touchdown just twice this season, losing to Notre Dame and Oregon by 5 points combined. They got kicked around last week by Wisconsin, but that puts them in a good place to come out and fight hard against Michigan. I’ll take Purdue, the better team of the two.