Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (+14) @ Temple Owls Free Pick: Alright, it’s your lucky day, the Redhawks have moved from a 13 point dog to open, to a 14 point dog when I made my pick, to a 17 point dog right now. That’s a huge move, and it might be because 67% of the public likes the Owls. It also might be because the Redhawks have their fair share of injuries while Temple is basically injury free, healthy as a night owl, if you will. It also might be because people are realizing Miami’s 1-8 record to start the season.

I have some numbers going against me, definitely. The Owls are 12-4-1 ATS in thier last 17 home games, and this one will definitely be a home game. The Redhawks are 0-5 on the road this season, while Temple is 3-1 at home. Temple has beaten Miami in each of the last two seasons despite being a touchdown underdog in both games. Temple has more yardage on offense while allowing fewer yards on defense.

You could say they are the favorite. But 14 points? (17 points for you if you’re betting now)? The Owls haven’t been a two touchdown favorite since 2001. Now, they covered in that game, but as you can see it has been a long time. It’s almost 2010.

The Redhawks have played quite a few close games considering their one win record. And you never know, after winning their first game last week, they might be considered on fire respectively. I know they’ve won four of their last five ATS – that’s something. They’ve been out-rushed in every game but one, but over the last two weeks the Redhawks have gotten their passing game working – I like that to continue on way to a cover in Temple.