NBA Free Picks: Washington vs Miami, Denver vs Chicago

These are my free NBA picks for Tuesday, November 10th. The Denver/Chicago game is scheduled on NBA TV at 8pm ET- so if you got it, you can pick it up there. Washington and Miami can be found on the Heat’s home network via Sun Sports and starts at 7:30pm ET.

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Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat (-6.5): Washington hasn’t impressed me lately. Their entire offense has been Gilbert Arenas trying to drive into traffic and/or shoot pull up jumpers. I don’t think that’s going to cut it against a Heat team that has really stepped it up defensively. It’s hard to believe that Quentin Richardson, who was traded fifty times this summer, would make such an impact on this Heat team – but he has. He guards the opponents best back-court player and has done a great job. His 3-stroke confidence is coming back, and the Heat are off to a 5-1 start, straight up and against the spread.

Miami has had 3 days off since upsetting Denver while Washington recently got slapped around in the 4th quarter buy Phoenix in a loss at home. Miami beat Washington 93-89 last time these two teams played, the 4th of November earlier this year. Washington is 2-5, SU and ATS. One things working against me is how well Washington has played over the last few years in Miami- going 7-2 ATS on the road in their last 9 games down South. Still, I’ll take the Heat to overcome that 6.5 point spread at home.

Denver Nuggets @ Chicago Bulls (+2): I love the Nuggets, but the way Chicago’s posts have been playing, I have to give the Bulls front line the advantage. Chicago’s played well lately, is undefeated at home, and Denver has really struggled in their last two games after starting the season 5-0. They’ve gotten shelled by the Heat and Hawks in back to back games. They’re currently playing their 5th game in a row on the road, and like I said, Chicago’s young and energetic team looks like a solid bet at home.

NBA Tuesday Night Free Picks: Nuggets @ Pacers

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Denver Nuggets (-4.5) @ Indiana Pacers Free Pick: The Nuggets may be on the road, but they are on fire. Carmelo Anthony is leading the league in scoring through the first week, and this Nuggets team is clicking. Since Chauncey Billups was traded to the Nuggets, Denver has become a much better road team. I know the Pacers have some solid pieces, but I don’t think they can hang with Denver’s back-court, and all around attack. I think Danny Granger has a big night for the home team, but in the end I like the Nuggets to pull away and cover this spread.

Phoenix Suns @ Miami Heat (-3): Two very close games against Minnesota and the Clippers doesn’t have me fully buying into Phoenix and their 3-0 start. I know they can put up points with the best of them, drilling jumpers from all over the court, but Miami can do it inside and out, and Dwayne Wade should have a field day against the Suns. And by field day I mean a field goal percentage looking a lot like 20 for 30 from the floor. Michael Beasily should have a nice game for the Heat, and it looks like Jermaine O’Neal should be healthy enough to give it a go. Nobody on the Suns front line can guard O’Neal even if they actually wanted to play defense (and they don’t), as he looks like the old JO so far this season.

Utah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks (-5.5): I like the Mavericks to have a big season. They have a lot of pieces that all seem to be working well together, and this thing hasn’t even really gotten started yet. The Jazz don’t play well on the road, I don’t know if it’s lack of focus or what, but history has them struggling on the road over the last few years. Dallas does well at home, they match-up well with Utah, and the Jazz struggled last night. This back to back should be tough on them as the Mavs have the personnel to run and take advantage of a tired Jazz squad.