North Carolina Central Eagles @ North Carolina Tar Heels (-45.5): The Eagles lost 3 of their last 10 games last season by 30 or more points, and not once did they play a team half as talented as the Tar Heels. Most of the “experts” I’ve looked at like the Eagles to keep this one closer than 45, and that’s understandable, but I see a bad Eagles team that lost 3 starters from last season’s squad, including two of their best players in Jamar Briscoe and Bryan Ayala.
The Tar Heels are loaded, but they are coming off a game where they didn’t really dominate as much as people expected. 46 is a hell of a lot of points for a Tar Heel team that is less explosive than last years’ squad. But against this young and unproven in-state team, I think Carolina can lay it on pretty thick.
NCC is a 4 win team from last season, and they’re down 4 contributing seniors from a year ago. North Carolina pounds the post, and that makes it tough to score 100, but they don’t have to hit the century mark to cover here. They can finish any where in teh 90s and do it, because with Carolina’s athletes and an improved defensive look, it would surprise me if the Eagles got over 40 points. They scored in the 40s seven different times last season, most of those came against decent competition.
Take the Tar Heels, they should cover despite the astronomical spread.