NFL Free Picks 04-05 Week 4

Welcome to week four. Lucky Lester has identified trends and expects to improve his already gaudy 25-18-3 record with some enticing match ups this week. You can read my review of how the previous week played out against my picks. 

I’m taking 4 teams this week for my Super Picks and they look like good bets. Perhaps this is the week that Granny gets her house back!

The Titans (-3) @ Chargers: Titans don’t lose a lot with back up Billy Volek subbing for McNair. Volek passed for almost 300 yards in his last outing. Running back Chris Brown looks like an elite performer. San Diego’s anemic passing attack provides little support for superstar LaDaineian Tomlinsom. Game Date: 10/03/04 16:15 ET
The Rams(-3.5) @ 49ers: Lucky has consistently maintained that the 49ers will be fortunate to win a single game. Rams QB Mark Bulger will put up huge numbers because the 49ers lack the ability to pressure him. Receivers Holt and Bruce cannot be covered for very long. Game Date: 10/03/04 20:35 ET

Chiefs@ Ravens(-5.5): The chiefs cannot be happy about going to Baltimore, they match up poorly with the Ravens. The Ravens ferocious defense will contain Priest Holmes, the Ravens running back Jamal Lewis should rumble for at least 200 yards against the Chiefs pitiful run defense. Game Date: 10/04/04 21:05 ET
Saints (-3) @ Cardinals: Saints QB Aaron Brooks should find success against the Cardinals 27th ranked defense. Aaron Stecker, playing for the injured Deuce McAllister, had over a hundred yards rushing last week. Game Date: 10/03/04 16:05 ET
Lucky Lester’s Picks For Week Four

Bengals @ Steelers (-4.5): Steelers will take advantage of Carson Palmers tendency to turn the ball over, and will control the game on the ground with running back Duce Staley. Cincinnati defense is the second to last unit in the league. Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Giants (+7) @ Packers: Take the generous point spread against this Packer team that has huge injury concerns on defense. Their defensive backfield is a mess and they can’t stop the run either. Kurt Warner seems born again and is playing with confidence. Warner will burn the blitz-happy Packer defense.
Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Redskins (-3) @ Browns: Both offenses are sputtering, so take the much better defense with a small point outlay here. Clinton Portis should have a field day against the Browns struggling defense.
Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Colts (-3.5) @ Jaguars: This is the big game of the day, matching the undefeated Jaguars against the Colts offensive juggernaut. Three and a half seems like a small price to pay for this Colt team that is firing on all cylinders. The good young Jaguar defense will play hard but Jacksonville’s inability to score will make the difference.
Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Eagles (-9) @ Bears: New Bears quarterback Jonathan Quinn could not face a tougher first opponent. The Eagles varied blitz packages will make his life miserable. The Eagles McNabb is having an MVP like season, and should find Terrel Owens for several scores. The Bears are missing three starters in the defensive backfie.
Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Patriots (-5.5) @ Bills: New England will dominate the Bills sub par offensive line. Patriots will be in Bledsoe’s face all day. Bledsoe’s limited mobility, and that’s being kind, will once again result in numerous sacks. Tom Brady will find enough openings in a good Bills defense to secure a victory. Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Raiders (-2.5) @ Texans: Raiders are a better team with the strong-armed Collins at quarterback. Their young receivers are speedy and excel in the vertical passing game. The Texans are missing their best offensive performer, Domanick Davis.
Game Date: 10/03/04 13:00 ET

Falcons @ Panthers (-3.5): The Falcons Michael Vick appears confused running his new West Coast offense. The Panthers awesome front four should contain and frustrate him. Carolina running back DeShaun Foster showed last week that he is more than capable of getting the job done. Game Date: 10/03/04 16:05 ET

Broncos (-3) @ Buccaneers: Three points seems a small amount to lay for the Broncos against the winless Buccaneers. The Buccaneers offense has been terrible and should pose no threat to the tough top rated Bronco defense. Game Date: 10/03/04 16:15 ET

Jets (-6) @ Dolphins: Dolphins switch quarterbacks again in a futile effort to score some points, dolphins need turnovers to stay in the game and the Jets Pennington won’t oblige.
Game Date: 10/03/04 16:15 ET

Good Luck with your NFL Football Wagering!
Lucky Lester

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