NCAA Football Free Picks: Week 11

My NCAA Free Picks have 10 games this week, and I’m rolling with the favorite in more than a few. I do have three dogs though- we’ll see how this group plays out. My first game is Thursday Night, and then another on Friday Night, so get those early picks in if you feel my flow… Good Luck! 

TCU Horned Frogs (-2) @ Utah Utes: Well, the Utes are 9-0, that enough is reason to take the TCU Horned Frogs on Thursday Night – undefeated teams should never play on Thursday Night. That being said, I think TCU is the better team and they have nothing to lose here. Also, you always want to take a lower ranked team that is favored over a higher ranked opponent. All these things make this a nice play for me. 

Nevada Wolfpacks (+2.5) @ Fresno State Bulldogs: I know Fresno had a lot of hype coming into the season, a possible BCS Buster and all that jazz, but they just haven’t played well. They are 5-3, so they are making wins happen while playing less than stellar football, but the Wolfpack can play ball. It’s not a big trip for Fresno, they’ve played well against solid teams, and I think they pull the upset here. 

Ohio State Buckeyes (-11.5) @ Northwestern Wildcats: I know Northwestern came out and played through their injuries well against the Minnesota Golden Gophers last week, but something tells me those injuries will catch up with them this time around. Ohio State still has BCS dreams, and the Wildcats won’t get in the way of that. 

Penn State Nittany Lions (-7.5) @ Iowa Hawkeyes: Tough team, the Lions are playing on the road, it’s a big conference game, the Lions are undefeated and looking for a Championship, and the Hawkeyes are really underrated. This is the time for them to blow it and come out sluggish. But they are well coached and won’t do such a thing. They win by at least two touchdowns. 

Florida Gators @ Vanderbilt Commodores (+24): Tough to bet against Florida after the beatdowns they’ve been putting on the rest of the SEC these days, but I have to think Vanderbilt plays the Gators tighter than 3 touchdowns and a field goal. They have more resilience than that. 

Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3.5): I like Oklahoma State, but Texas Tech is very good. Last week wasn’t the normal “upset of #1” instance that usually takes place, and thus I don’t see a let down for Tech this week. TT is a very good football team, and they should have won the game that they won last week. They will win again this week, and I just see a lot of value with Tech at -7 or less against anyone, especially at home. 

North Texas Mean Green (+23) @ Florida Atlantic Owls: I’m interested to see how this one turns out, because despite the records, I see these guys within a score of each other in terms of ability and my team ranking system. I think it’s generally bad to go against unranked teams favored by more than three touchdowns, but the Mean Green look just mean enough in this one. 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Boston College (-3.5): Tough call but I don’t think Notre Dame can beat teams that win football games. The Eagles are far from “good” but they aren’t bad, that’s for sure. BC does some good things on defense and offensively. Notre Dame is still overrated. 

Arizona State Sun Devils (-14) @ Washington Huskies: Free Money? I hate to say it, but that’s what it feels like here. Washington isn’t as bad as Washington State, but that’s not saying much. Arizona State has been playing bad, but there’s no kind of medicine that can make you feel better than a date at UW. 

Arizona Wildcats (-38) @ Washington State Cougars: There is absolutely no reason this spread should be so high, except of course because WSU will lose against the spread anyway and thus it only makes sense. It’s that bad folks. Bad weather, at home, everything working in their favor, Arizona wins by 6 touchdowns easy. That being said, this has to back fire one of these days, right?

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