A DAY in the NBA

“A DAY in the NBA”

Hello all, hope you were glued to the tube this weekend, as the NFL was crazy. What a great game played last night in New England as the Colts went took advantage of huge Tom Brady mistakes, rolling large to their 8th win in as many chances. Would you still rather have Tom Brady? I would, just wondering what the readers that be are thinking…….

The Bears finally lost, eliminating another week of “Undefeated Champions” getting thrown about. But it’s almost worst now as everyone is starting to question if the NFC has any good teams that could challenge the AFC at all. Seriously, what an extremist little world we live in. Undefeated champions to just another NFC loser in the matter of a couple hours. What a joke. Chicago’s still damn good, they just had a bad game, they’ll get stuff under control. The Cowboys lost a heartbreaker, which was a heartmaker for me, so yeehaw Cowboy fans. The Giants pulled out a lucky one against the Texans for their 6th win of the season. Some other squads that also snuck their way to a 6th win…. Baltimore, Denver, San Diego, and New Orleans. How ’bout them Saints. Drew Brees is a winner. Reggie Bush doesn’t look nearly as good as Laurence Maroney, and honestly, I question if he ever will. LoMo is filthy. Last night he returned kickoffs and had the Patriots with good field position every single time. He’s a damn good runner with plenty of speed and more power than anyone knew. Arizona had a bye week, but it feels like they lost again. Maybe I’m just used to that sensation. Brad Johnson looked terrible, why is he still starting? Larry Johnson is back, and defenses be ware, because this linebacker killer never runs out of bounds without absolutely lambasting an opponent. I love it!……..

Referee’s were busting my balls all weekend long, but never more so than an instant 1st down call at the end of the 2nd quarter in the Colts/Pats game. Tom Brady did a QB sneak, he didn’t even get close to the first down marker, the sideline ref sprinted in ahead of the play with a terrible spot, and without any due-process, the umpire went for the throat as he singled first down almost before the whistle had blown. With the 1st down, the Pats instantly called a timeout. And to make matters even worse for the Colts, who were obviously screwed by the pack of wild zebras, the crew upstairs realized how off the umpire was, called for a replay, and when the guy checked it, realized how bad he looked, he still said the play of the field stood… But since there was a review, the Pats got their timeout back. Justify that Shizzy. Gross work this weekend, guys……

The NBA season is a few games underway, and some early season trends are already freaking me out. Inconsistency has reared its ugly head… Philadelphia, New Orleans, and Utah, of all teams, are the only undefeated squads left, while the Dallas Mavericks are the only bunch without a W after week 1. The Lakers have looked great, but lost a trouncing at the hands of the Sonics last night in Seattle. As for last years playoff teams in the Western Conference, Dallas, Memphis, Phoenix, Sacramento and Denver… Each of those 5 have losing records going into the 2nd week, The Suns and Mavs having a combined 1-5 mark. And after taking it to the Heat to the tune of 1000 to 45 in the first game of the season, the Bulls have lost 2 straight, playing just as bad recently as they were good against Miami. Craziness…. But its just week 1, we’ve got plenty more games to get things under control……..
As for tonight’s games, this is how I see them panning out…

Wizards @ Magic (-3) – Take Orlando here… Dwight Howard will dominate…
Spurs (-6) @ Knicks – New York won’t be able to handle a healthy TD…. Whose guarding Tim? Eddy Curry… (Laugh)
Bucks @ Bulls (-6) – The Bulls have to snap out of their funk sooner or later, betting on sooner in this one.
Warriors (+11) @ Mavericks – Taking Donny Nelson against the team he built, that’s just the way it goes.
Pistons (+5) @ Jazz – I love the Pistons as a 5 point dog…. The Jazz have been good, but are they really that good?
Timberwolves @ Kings (-4.5) – With Mike Bibby starting to get healthier, and Ron Artest playing well, the Wolves will get done pretty well in Sac Town.
Blazers (+11.5) @ Clippers – Though I think LA is much better than Portland, Zach Randolph, and his want to compete with the likes of great players, Elton Brand in this one, will keep his team within striking distance. Even an upset here wouldn’t surprise me.
That’s how I do it………. Best quote from this week in sports? How about Chad Johnson after Sunday’s loss to Baltimore? “Hey Chad, do you think you’re getting used correctly by your squad?” Chad responds…. “(Head shake) (Head Shake) Hmmm…. Mm….. Huhuh… Mmmm… (Head Shake) We lost again this week…. Aaaaa…. Huh uh (Head Shake) no.” HAHAHA! Maybe Chad’s hoping Coach Lewis doesn’t understand 7 year old….

Free NCAA Football Picks Week 11 – 2006

A winning week is in the cards. I’ve gone back to the pattern and process that brought me three straight weeks with a winning percentage over 75%. May the outcome remain the same in week 11… I sure hope not. 75% isn’t good enough anymore, oh no, I want a perfect week in the college ranks. This is how I will master the betting world!

TOP 5 Bets

1. Oklahoma Sooners
2. Maryland Terrapins
3. Fresno State Bulldogs
4. Vanderbilt Commodores
5. Cincinnati Bearcats

Louisville Cardinals (-6.5) @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights: After watching Louisville dismantle the Mountaineers last Thursday, I don’t know how I can bet any other way in this one. Like I said last week, 2 undefeated teams are always tough to gamble on, but if I had to, I’d put my money on the Cards and one hell of a coaching staff.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-13.5) @ North Carolina Tar Heels: The Yellow Jackets should step up and dominate the Tar Heels in North Carolina, if only because they know damn well this will be the last time their school is favored over the Heels throughout the rest of the school year. Basketball is coming up, and, ah, good luck Jackets. No, but honestly, the Jackets have a bowl bound football team with a few special players that should have their way with this basketball school in Carolina.

Cincinnati Bearcats (+19.5) @ West Virginia Mountaineers: You never can tell how a team will respond to being eliminated from Championship play. I love West Virginia, but if they think they’re going to suit up and win just because on Saturday, the Bearcats have something for West V. Nati has been solid all year, Pitt, Louisville, Ohio State, and Virginia Tech are responsible for the Bearcats’ only losses this season. Tough schedule. Cinci has played tough, and against Westy’s generous defense, they’ll give the Mountie faithful a scare.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Iowa Hawkeyes (+1): The Hawkeyes have won 4 straight in this rivalry, and are very tough at home. All signs point to Wisconsin, but lets not forget the importance of home field advantage in a divisional rivalry like this one. Iowa has struggled lately, but a big win over Wisconsin here would get them right back in the Bowl picture. Look for Iowa to surprise a lot of people on Saturday.

Vanderbilt Commodores (+2.5) @ Kentucky Wildcats: I love betting on the Commodores. (6-3 ATS) You can see why. The Wildcats are coming off a huge win over Georgia, so they should struggle out of the gates. The Commodores love to take advantage of squads who expect an easy win when they come to town. Vanderbilt will win this game in Kentucky!

Miami Hurricanes @ Maryland Terrapins (-2.5): The Terps just aren’t getting any love here because they aren’t a Miami school. In a tumultuous year for the Canes, you’d think things couldn’t get any worse. The Murder of defensive end Bryan Pata has put everything into perspective. As the Saints proved last season, its almost impossible to go in to games week in and week out with so much regular life draining your system. I’m not trying to take advantage for Miami here, I would have taken the Terps either way, but these kids can only worry about so much before it starts to really catch up with them.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Fresno State Bulldogs (-11): The Bulldogs aren’t even close to as bad as their record insists. The Aggies, they’re just as bad. New Mexico won’t stat close in this one, as finally the bounces will play fair with the Bulldogs as they dominate from 1 to 4. Since 1987 the Bulldogs haven’t beaten the Aggies by less than 2 touchdowns.

Oregon State Beavers (-2) @ UCLA Bruins: California schools are front runners, don’t ever let anyone tell you otherwise. That’s why most of them schedule easy folks early in the season. That’s what UCLA did, but, lately it hasn’t worked. The Bruins have lost 4 straight while Oregon State has won 4 straight, including games over USC and Arizona State. I don’t think this is a fluke as finally the Beaves are starting to play up to their potential. We’ll see if I’m right come Saturday.

Washington State Cougars (-1) @ Arizona State: The Cougars have to get ready for a very disappointing loss to the Huskies next week in Pullman, because that’s what they do, so they should get an easy victory here over an Arizona State team that has struggled this year after their coach allowed the players to decide who their starting quarterback was going to be. The Cougars are tough, and although the Sun Devils do well at home, this time of year, WSU players are happy as hell to go on the road.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5): The Sooners have done well without their start player, Adrian Peterson, while the Red Raiders have had a down year on each side of the ball, but still have managed to put up some pretty solid numbers going 6-4 overall. The Sooners should return to dominate this series, after losing last year by two points. Oklahoma’s only home loss this season came against Texas, so expect them to hold their ground in front of the home crowd. Only two of OK’s 7 wins this season have come by less than 9 points.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+9) @ Florida State Seminoles: I don’t know how the cappers came up with this number, but honestly, lets look at some game film. Lets see, yes, that’s right, ah, there it is. The Seminoles haven’t beaten any of the Top 5 ACC teams this season, while their only wins have come against Miami, Duke, Troy, Rice, and Virginia. The Deacons have yet to get any street credit from going 8-1 on the season, with their only loss coming in a close one against Clemson. Yeah, after review, I’ll roll the dice on the Deacons and 9 freaking points. Unbelievable.

Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks (-5.5): The Razorbacks haven’t lost since an opening whooping put down by the USC Trojans. You can understand why they started off kind of slow, they’re a team with a new offense and a freshman quarterback. He’ll only get better. Darren McFadden has been great this season, averaging over 100 yards per contest, and scoring 11 touchdowns. The Volunteers are a great group of kids, and they are undefeated on the road this season, but Arkansas keeps finding a way to win. Something they’ll continue to do this week at home, where they too are undefeated thus far.

NFL's Top 51 Players

Okay- Okay. So I have been busy and may have let things slide a bit with the sports picks and stuff but hey… I’m here now and I’m getting ready to redesign the site. Yah – that’s right good ole Lucky Lester free football picks is getting ready for the next football season.

While I slowly develop the new site I thought I would give all you NFL fans my thoughts on the NFL’s Top 51 Players. Agree with some or none of my picks for this list it just doesn’t matter as long as you give the list the once over. You can click on any of the names in the Top 51 Player List to see why I chose to place him in that position.

Fantasy Football 2006

When it all comes down to it, every fantasy nut needs a draft board. Your best players ranked from 1 to 100, maybe even to 200. Think about it, write it down, rewrite it; then follow it throughout your draft. And if you never crumble to the temptations of a sexy pick two rounds too early, and you forget about your defense and kicker until the last few rounds, then you’ve done your scouting well young Luke. If the fall’s lazy eye has you by the beans, and making your own list out of the question; here’s one that should get you to the top. This list is based solely on a smooth immeasurable ratio of value and point production. If QB touchdowns and WR/RB touchdowns are equal in your league, all the quarterbacks jump up 4-5 spots.
Don’t forget the three main rules of your draft board.
1- Feel free to deviate slightly for things such as; preference, bye week differential, and the value of a player depending on who has been chosen previously. For example, if my favorite player is Ronnie Brown, and I get to chose between Ronnie and Cadillac, I’m taking Ronnie, because they are close enough on my board. If my starting RB has a bye in week 10, and I’m choosing between Frank Gore and Willie Parker, and Frank has a bye in week 10, take Willie. And last, if you’re choosing between Chad Johnson and LaMont Jordan for your 2nd pick, and all the other top tier RB’s have been taken, take LaMont because his value is higher.
2- Don’t get caught up in the tight end, defense, or kicker hullabaloo. If you can get good value with Antonio Gates, go for it. But chances are, he’ll get drafted much earlier than he should, as will guys like Shockey, Gonzalez, and Crumpler. Aside from Gates, TE’s are too equal to pick early in drafts. Wait it out and take advantage of guys like Ben Watson, Ben Troupe, and Kellen Winslow falling down the draft. Same goes for defenses, except never pick one until you have starters and backups at all positions. Kickers…. Hahaha…. Last two rounds could be too soon.
3- Don’t let bye weeks break your balls. If you’re choosing between two players relatively close on your draft board (3-5 spots apart) then bye week should come into your mind. But if I’m choosing between Anquan Boldin and Plaxico Burress in round 4, and you already have Larry Fitzgerald (who has the same bye as Boldin) take Boldin anyway. He’s that much better. You can always come up with something in that situation. But don’t pass on great players because of one lousy bye week.
Stick to your game plan, follow good ol’ Lucky Lester’s Rules and his Top 100, and take home the pride and prize at season’s end.

MY Draft Board – Top 100

1. Shaun Alexander
2. LaDainian Tomlinson
3. Larry Johnson
4. Tiki Barber
5. Steve Smith
6. Edgerrin James
7. Clinton Portis*
8. Brian Westbrook
9. Peyton Manning
10. Larry Fitzgerald
11. Steven Jackson
12. Torry Holt
13. Terrell Owens*
14. Cadillac Williams
15. Rudi Johnson
16. Ronnie Brown
17. Anquan Boldin
18. Chad Johnson
19. LaMont Jordan
20. Willis McGahee
21. Carson Palmer*
22. Warrick Dunn
23. Marvin Harrison
24. Reggie Wayne
25. Corey Dillon
26. Chris Chambers
27. Randy Moss
28. Santana Moss
29. Kevin Jones
30. Dominick Davis*
31. Tom Brady
32. Julius Jones
33. Reuben Droughns
34. Antonio Gates
35. De’Shuan Foster
36. Frank Gore
37. Willie Parker
38. Matt Hasselbeck
39. Jamal Lewis
40. Thomas Jones*
41. Plaxico Burress
42. Javon Walker*
43. Donovan McNabb
44. Donald Driver
45. Marc Bulger
46. Hines Ward*
47. Darrell Jackson*
48. Roy Williams
49. Chester Taylor
50. Andre Johnson
51. Eli Manning
52. Dominic Rhodes
53. Deuce McCallister
54. Reggie Bush
55. Fred Taylor
56. Chris Brown
57. Ahman Green*
58. Daunte Culpepper
59. Joey Galloway
60. Mike Bell
61. Drew Bledsoe
62. Jake Delhomme
63. Joe Horn
64. Kurt Warner
65. Ben Roethlisberger
66. Derrick Mason
67. Jeremy Shockey
68. TJ Housmandzadeh
69. Todd Heap
70. Mike Vick
71. Tatum Bell
72. Jason Whitten
73. Reggie Brown
74. Drew Brees
75. Steve McNair
76. Tony Gonzalez
77. Brett Favre
78. Joseph Addai
79. Jake Plummer
80. Terry Glenn
81. Randy McMichael
82. Byron Leftwich
83. Chris Cooley
84. Jon Kitna
85. Cedric Benson*
86. Ben Troupe
87. Chris Simms
88. Rod Smith
89. Deion Branch*
90. Mike Anderson
91. Laveraneus Coles
92. Mushin Muhammad
93. Lee Evans
94. Drew Bennett
95. Michael Clayton
96. Braylon Edwards*
97. Algae Crumpler*
98. LJ Smith
99. Antonio Bryant
100. Ben Watson

The NFL's Top 51 Players

The more I look at the NFL, the more I see a youth movement on the rise. Older players are fading away, while younger players jump to the forefront. This is a game of speed and athleticism. Sure, there are older players that remain great, but it’s the younger players that are beginning to peak.

Some of the greatest players in the recent past, Priest Holmes, Steve McNair, Marshall Faulk, Ted Washington, and Brett Favre, won’t be found on this list of the game’s tip top.

I’m just flat out sick of “professional” writers putting out crappy lists that contradict what they are saying. This is a list of the top 51 players, in an order from bestest to best, right now, not in the future, not based on statistics, not after breakfast, or 5 years ago minus a pinky, or any other time that doesn’t matter for shit – multiplied by Tina the Llama. No one will be “tenured” in on this list. If I made a team of 51 guys, regardless of position, these are the 51 guys I’d take.

  1. Tom Brady – Big game Tom is the best leader in the league. You can ask any of the “team” players that were a part of the Patriots’ recent dynasty, and they’d all say Tom is the guy they’d want at the helm. He’s the best player at the most important position on the field. Peyton’s got the stats, Tom’s got the rings.
  2. Walter Jones – Some would argue that Jonathan Ogden or Orlando Pace deserve credit for being the best OT, but the bottom line is, Walter Jones is the best run blocking/pass blocking offensive lineman in the league. He’s a sure thing protector, and a lead blocker for the running back with the most touchdowns in a single season. Number two is a lineman, believe it.
  3. Richard Seymour – The Patriots paid this cat… That should be all I have to say. New England doesn’t pay anyone. Richard Seymour can cause all sorts of problems on the defensive line. He’s unblockable. I started to realize Rich’s greatness when he was injured last season. The Pat defense was a shit show. When he came back, the Patriots were the Patriots again. Richard Seymour is a beast.
  4. Larry Johnson – Say what you want about how Peyton Manning is the best player in the league, and how LaDainian Tomlinson is the best running back the game has to offer. I’d take LJ over either guy. Johnson doesn’t get hurt, he’s as tough as a pit bull, and he’s faster than anyone seems to think; check the tapes. Larry will become a 2,000 yard back in the very near future, carrying the Chiefs to the playoffs. He’s the best back in the league.
  5. Peyton Manning – I can’t give Peyton a higher rank than this until he shows me he’s more than a regular season hero. Sure, Peyton makes a splash on my fantasy football team every single season, but stats are for baseball fans. Manning is one of the league’s best signal callers, but I think he’s overrated. He’s not the best player in the league, and definitely not the guy I’d want to have running my team in the final two minutes of the Super Bowl. Until that changes, Peyton gets a nickel for his play.
  6. LaDainian Tomlinson – I can’t talk about this guys’ big play ability enough. He’s twice as powerful as people think, and his speed is blinding. There isn’t a more dangerous receiver out of the backfield. If he had the endurance to stay healthy from start to finish, he’d be higher. He’s a game changer, but too often gets held under 4 yards a carry. I’m not a stat guy, but LT is better than that. If the Chargers want to get to the next level, Tomlinson will have to explode through the line all season long.
  7. Ed Reed – Ray Lewis is out, Baltimore’s defense isn’t the best unit in the league. Ed Reed is out, all of a sudden, Baltimore has to change everything they do, and not only do they struggle, but they turn into a unit that can’t stop anyone. Ed Reed is the biggest playmaker in Baltimore. Ray used to be, and he’s still the best linebacker in the league, but Ed is the man who makes the engine run.
  8. Carson Palmer – Without the “questionable knee,” Carson might scoot up past Peyton, but then again, he’s young yet. Palmer’s future is brighter than any other player in this league, but this isn’t a rating about future, this is now. And right now, Palmer is the 8th best player in football.
  9. Ray Lewis – When I rank Ed Reed above Ray, I’m not saying Ray isn’t a force. I’m not a liar. Ray Lewis is a game changer, a run stuffer, and someone opposing teams’ fear on Sunday. He’s full of energy and his teammates feed off that. Ray needs help to be great, he needs big ass DT’s that eat up blockers. But if Ray can get that, he’s virtually unstoppable.
  10. Terrell Owens – Say what you will about TO’s home-wrecking style, but
    on the football field, there isn’t a pass catcher who can touch him. He
    is almost worth his evil juju. He’s physically stronger, faster, and a far superior athlete to anyone who attempts to guard him. He’s made to play this game. He’s an offensive juggernaut.
  11. Champ Bailey – Champ Bailey is the best cornerback in football. His overall skills are second to none. He truly can do it all. He’d be a stud receiver, return man, or safety. He can shut down the run, put clamps on opposing receivers, and change the face of the game with one play. He would have been higher on my list, but honestly, I can’t put any corner who got his ass ran down by a tight end in my Top 10. Sorry Champ, I’m a huge fan, but that Ben Watson play wasn’t OK.
  12. Brian Urlacher – This guy is a physical marvel. Truly, people like him amaze me. he’s another guy who could easily find himself succeeding at a different position. His reckless abandon causes problems for opposing offenses. He’s unnaturally strong, and perfectly designed to shut down anything that tries to run past him. Sometimes he allows blockers to push him around, but on his good days, there’s no one better.
  13. Steve Smith – Last season, Steven Smith was the best receiver in the game. His explosiveness and knack for the big play helped the Panthers get all the way to the NFC Championships. The Panthers only score in that game was a punt return by Smith. I put TO ahead of Steve, only because TO is more consistent, and he’s impossible to shut down. But Steve has moved ahead of Randy and Chad Johnson because of his ability to change the game every play.
  14. Julius Peppers – Julius’ ideal size and athleticism has translated into him becoming one of the most feared defensive players in the league. It’s not just his speed, size, or quickness, but his ability to do many things other defensive lineman just can’t do; intercepting passes, or take fumbles back for touchdowns, and drop into coverage; that is what makes him amazing.
  15. Shaun Alexander – Shaun Alexander has more touchdowns in the last four years than any other player. He’s almost a sure thing for a touchdown per game. People like to knock Shaun by crediting his offensive line for last years’ touchdown record. But that’s ridiculous. You couldn’t put just anyone in the backfield and get Shaun’s production. Alexander has a special gear he gets in when the end zone nears. He’s always had it.
  16. Chad Johnson – Chad Johnson is one of, if not the biggest talker in football. He’s clever, intelligent, and observant. He always seems to know where to be. You have to love the guys attitude. He wants the ball every play, and when he gets it, he makes big things happen. This year will be his best season by far. He’s faster than people think, and his hands are second to none. Now that teams respect T.J. Houshmenzadah, CJ will find wide open spaces.
  17. Randy Moss – Randy has slipped a bit in my ratings. I know he was hurt all last season, and although I can’t blame him for that, I didn’t see the same Randy when he was healthy. He never had a good relationship with “Drunk” Kerry, and it showed on the field. This season, with Aaron Brooks on the field Randy could make a return to one of the Top 10 players in the league, but right now he doesn’t get higher than 17. He’s still one of the most feared receivers in the game, because at any time he can turn it on and beat anyone.
  18. Orlando Pace – This guy is a beast. I personally don’t think he’s as good as Walter Jones, but that doesn’t mean he’s not great. He’s a Hall of Fame talent. Pace helped Marshal Faulk become one of the leagues best running backs, and he’s a big reason why Mike Martz’s crazy offense had enough time to become the greatest show on turf. And this year, he’ll be the reason why Steven Jackson breaks out and makes this list next year. Pace still has some push in his game.
  19. Dwight Freeney – Dwight Freeney may be small. He might not be as good a run defender as other defensive ends in the game, but he is a game changer. That’s rare at the defensive end position. Freeney has a non-stop motor and the intensity to get the job done every play. Dwight has always been questioned because of his height. Now he’s asking people what a couple inches means.
  20. Troy Polamalu -Troy didn’t have a huge Super Bowl, but his presence on the field is realized. He’s one of those guys that always seem to be there, which is one of the most underrated qualities great defensive players always have. What separates him from Ed Reed is Ed Reed intercepts all the balls Troy breaks up. When Troy figures out how to hold onto interceptions, his move up my list will be swift. Troy is the heart and soul of the Steel Show. His speed and tenacity are second to no player in this league. Troy will go down as one of the greatest safeties ever to play the game.
  21. Tiki Barber – Tiki may be gaining years, but he’s still a stud. Barber has worked hard to extinguish his younger fumbling problems, while his vision and patience has also improved. He’s better now than he’s ever been, and that’s a testament to his hard work and dedication to himself. Barber is the reason the Giants made it to the playoffs. Eliminate him from that team, and they finish behind the Eagles in that division. Give Tiki his due, he’s one of the leagues’ elite players.
  22. Ben Roethlisberger – Big Ben may have pulled sport bike dummy of the football realm award, and he might not have as good of stats as QB’s ranked below him, but the bottom line is he has the nuts to win football games, and that he does very well. Big Ben is a leader who does his job on the field.
  23. Antonio Gates – Is there a guy at the TE position that can change a game like Antonio? For many years, Tony Gonzalez was the man to stop at TE, but now its Gates. The former hoopster is more of a game changing receiver than Gonzo ever was. His height, jumping ability, and judgment with the ball in the air is quite impressive. As one of the Chargers only receiving threats, he’s unstoppable.
  24. John Henderson – I’ll put Henderson ahead of Stroud because it was Johnny Boy that had the better year in ’05. These two defensive Great Walls hold down the fort in Jacksonville. There’s nothing like two defensive tackles that plug running holes and block down passes on an every game basis. John and Marcus do exactly that. Defense wins games for the Jaguars, and Hendey is the main man on that front.
  25. Marcus Stroud – Marcus Stroud is a man-beast. His season staked claim to an injury or two, yet he still found himself in the Pro-Bowl. Marcus Stroud has been one of the leagues’ best defensive tackles for the last few years, making the Jaguars defense something to admire. At one point in time, the Jag defense hadn’t allowed 100 rushing yards to any back in something like 5 billion games. Check the record books. Stroud is enormous and athletically sound. What a combo.
  26. Torry Holt – There isn’t a wide receiver in the NFL that gets more wide open than Torry Holt. I’m not sure if its his speed, his quickness, his knowledge, or just downright luck, but he’s as open as 7-11. It will be interesting to see if his numbers and relative openness dissolves with the departure of Mike Martz. I’m guessing Mr. Holt will continue to show up on a daily basis and put up great numbers. Torry has become the total package.
  27. Brian Dawkins – Brian Dawkins is one of the more underrated guys in the league. Defensively, there’s not a safety who goes more balls to the wall than B-Dawk. His strength and energy for his size is phenomenal. He’s getting up there in age, and he showed that a little bit last year, but with a full season of playing up to his level he could make a run at Ed Reed for the top safety in the land.
  28. Steve Hutchinson – You can’t argue any other way, this road grater is the best OG in the game. And Old School Gangsters are hard to glorify. Some will say the Vikings overpaid for a guard, but if Hutch makes Chester Taylor look more like Shaun Alexander, and Shaun struggles behind another guard, Steve will finally get the street cred he deserves.
  29. Bob Sanders – Bob Sanders is a heat seeking missile on the football field. Often times I think an opposing RB is going to get outside, and up comes little Bob Sanders ripping the legs out from under the ball carrier for no gain. He’s a play maker. Big time. He causes fumbles and people look over their shoulder hoping Bob’s not there. He changes the game.
  30. Adrian Wilson – Adrian Wilson is a thug. Sure, you’ve never heard of him, and guys like Roy Williams and Sean Taylor get way more pub than Wilson does, but he’s better than the both. He can cover like your blanky when you were five, and he hits as sure as shit. Wilson plays for the freakin’ Cardinals for Pete’s sake. If Edge and the Cards turn it around this year, there’s no question people will start putting Adrian Wilson in their top 30 list. I’m just ahead of the game.
  31. Larry Fitzgerald – Some said Larry was too slow to become an elite wide receiver in this league. Some like to lie and say they never said any ridiculous shit like that ever. I’m not one of those donkeys. I’ve dug this kid ever since he started making ridiculous catches for the Pitt Panthers. He’s got all the goods; height, hands, speed, athleticism, and an eye for the ball that would make Chris Carter jealous. If Larry stays healthy, he’ll be a top 10 receiver of all time when he’s done. His running mate is close.
  32. Sean Taylor – If Sean Taylor wasn’t such a dunderhead off the field he’d be a perennial All-Pro. As of now he’s just a young, extremely athletic hammer, who can change a game on any play. He fills on the rushing game and makes unbelievable plays in space. Taylor, if his head could get put on straight somehow some way, would be in the top 10. But who knows if he’ll stay out of jail this up coming season?
  33. Shaun Rogers – Shaun Rogers is the Lions best player. And he’s a defensive tackle. I’m not sure we’ll ever get a taste of Shaun’s true ability unless the Lions find a way to break out of their cellar-dweller mold and put quality play makers behind Shaun. As of now, Rogers is the object of opposing offenses’ blocking schemes, and he still causes trouble week in and week out. Ask any O-Lineman in the league, Rogers is one of the best.
  34. Kevin Williams – Kevin Williams is an up and comer on this list. He’s only getting better. Numbers aren’t always the best way to judge defensive linemen, and even though his sacks weren’t as high (4) as they had been the previous years (10.5, 11.5) he still had a hell of a season. The Vikings defense will be more of a force this year than they’ve been in the last decade, and a lot of that will be thanks to this monster of a man.
  35. Edgerrin James – Edgerrin doesn’t seem to get the credit he deserves. He’s not a homerun hitter, but last season he had almost twice as many runs in the 9-20 yard range as any rusher in football. He’s a sure thing. The Cardinals have a terrible rushing attack, and if James can turn that gong-show around, he’ll find himself climbing the latter in the Top 20. He does everything you can ask a star rusher to do. He’s a great blocker, receiver, runner, and teammate. That counts for something.
  36. Clinton Portis – This kid has loads of talent. It took him a while to become a great back in Washington, but you can’t blame him for wanting the Redskin rushing attack to look more like his Bronco offense. Portis has figured out Joe Gibbs’ attack, and now, with Al Saunders running the offensive show in Washington, Clinton will have all the chances in the world to become a truly great runner.
  37. Michael Strahan – My man Mike, the Split, the Big Easy, whatever you want to call Mr. Strahan, he’s as competitive as you get, as strong as an ox, and equally good against the run and pass. He’s fast, with an assortment of moves just shy of the great Reggie White. Michael knows how to play this game. If he can stay injury free for the entire season, he’s a sure thing to finish atop the sack charts. The Split has to be given credit for the Giants’ defensive improvement.
  38. Marvin Harrison – My favorite Marvin. Similar to Torry Holt, Marvin’s ability to find wide open spaces is rather baffling considering the fact that everyone in the world knows he’s getting the ball. Many want to belittle Harrison’s accomplishments because he’s had Peyton Manning for his entire career, but that’s a joke. Harrison works as hard as any receiver in the league to understand the creases of opposing defenses. His hands are guaranteed for life. He belongs no lower than 38, even at his ripening age.
  39. Jonathan Vilma – This kid is for real. He’s been all that was advertised since he came out of Miami two seasons ago. Vilma’s speed, vision, and game breaker ability are as far along as I’ve seen out of a second year player. Look for Vilma to head the rebuilding phase in New York as the Jets will be lead by their defense early and often.
  40. Derrick Brooks – Brooks might not be the physical marvel that he was earlier in his career, but his strength has and always will be knowledge and anticipation. Brooks has been a brick in the NFL for years and years, and although he’s aging, he remains one of the best players, on either side of the ball, that this league has to offer. He and Rhonde Barber have been the two steady rocks on a defense that perennially finds themselves atop the NFL.
  41. Ty Law – Ty Law gets it done. He may be old. The new rules allowing receivers to get by with less contact have made him change the way he plays corner. And last season he couldn’t rely on his fellow defenders as much as he used to. What did he do? Oh, he just led the league in interceptions and kept the lowly Jets in games. Ty Law is still a top flight corner, though his days of speed are numbered. Will Ty join a contender this season or get paid?
  42. Orlando Pace – Orlando used to be just a tip below Jonathan Ogden as far as talent at OT is concerned, but now he’s second to Walter Jones. Pace has had some health issues over the last couple seasons, which moves him down to 42, but when he’s healthy and playing his best football, a more dominant tackle is hard to come by. If the Rams are going to turn it around this year, Steven Jackson will have to get Pace to stay healthy.
  43. Willie Roaf – It’s amazing that Roaf is still playing, let alone one of the Top 51 players in the NFL. But this isn’t a grandfather player, he doesn’t make this list because he used to and has been great, he makes this list because of what he does for the Chiefs running game. Larry Johnson might be one of the best all around backs in football, but without Roaf there is no way he gets 1500 yards last season. Willie can still put a block on the best defenders in the game.
  44. Matt Hasselbeck – Matt has worked his way up from lifetime back up, to Seattle bust, to Super Bowl starter, to one of the best signal callers in the league. Matt has all the skills. His arm is stronger than people give him credit for, and his touch is second to none. Matt is the perfect west coast style player. As accurate as he is bald, Matt has made a name for himself because of his hard work and extreme competitiveness. I want this guy leading drives to win football games.
  45. Al Wilson – All Al Wilson does is make every play you could ask him to make and more. Al has been the consummate professional over his career and finally outsiders are starting to appreciate him as his teammates always have. Wilson does everything well. He’s got the speed to get outside and cover receivers with the knowledge and toughness to shut down the run. Wilson has as much to do with Denver’s defense as Champ Bailey does.
  46. Anquan Boldin – It’s hard for me to drop Anquan this far behind his running mate, Larry Fitz. The only thing I like about Larry more, is his ability to go up and get it. But Boldin can too. And, Boldin has an incredible ability to take the hit and stay on his feet. Boldin and Fitzgerald could become one of, if not the best receiving tandem of all time. And I hate to say that type of shit, but look at their talent level, the fact that they have a young stud at QB coming up, and a star at RB. Boldin is awesome.
  47. Ken Lucas – The Seahawks let Ken Lucas go to the Panthers last season, and although the Hawks got the best of Ken’s Carolina squad, you could bet your balls he would have made a couple big plays in the Super Bowl, and quite possibly we’d have a different champion. Lots of ifs there, I know, but Ken has proven to be one of the best all around corners in football. Not only can he cover like a shall, but his ability to play the run makes him special. Ken makes Carolina’s defense one of the scariest units in the NFC.
  48. Shawne Merriman – Lights out! This guy definitely walks the walk. Shawne broke onto my list in his first year. Merriman is one of the best playmakers at outside linebacker I’ve seen in a long time. He hits like a semi truck, and plays every down like its his last. With some good old fashioned learning, this kid could make the biggest jump from this year to next, on my list. He’s going to have to make twice as many plays this year if his Chargers are to make the playoffs. The thing is, I think he’s ready for that.
  49. Roy Williams – This kid makes plays. I’ve seen him get beet deep more than a handful of times, and the truth is, he makes plenty of mistakes in coverage. He doesn’t have top flight speed, and he’s not a great cover safety. But…. And this is a big but, he’s a smash you in the mouth, sure as shit tackler, with a competitive spirit and football IQ right up there with the best. Used right, Roy is unstoppable. He knows what he does well, and he might attack the run better than anyone from his position. His ability to plug like the best linebackers in the league get him on this list.
  50. LeCharles Bentley – Bentley is the best Center in the league, and almost everyone in the league knows it. He makes all the right calls and does everything right every play. Now that he has a couple guys to help him out, look out for Droughns in Cleveland. You won’t here much about LeCharles, but when Reuben makes a run at the rushing title, Bentley’s name should be right there next to his running back’s.
  51. Takeo Spikes – Spikes was hurt last season, so you’d think that would all but eliminate him from this list. And, in a way, it did. It all but eliminated him from the list. He’s 51st. The thing is, the way his defense played without him made me realize how abosulutely great Takeo is. Spikes’ speed and athleticism along with his ability to read and react were 4 things the Bills couldn’t live without last season. The crumbled without their leader. This season, if Spikes is healthy, we could see the Bills back in the playoffs. One guy. One freaking guy comes back and changes a team. If he can do that, he belongs in the top 10. Right now, he’s last… On the list of the best players in the league of course.

JUST MISSED; Only 51 can make the big list… Here are the guys who almost slipped the cut: Kris Jenkins, Will Shields, Hines Ward, Joey Porter, Donovan McNabb, Daunte Culpepper, Jonathan Ogden, Rudi Johnson, Jason Taylor, Simeon Rice, Steven Jackson, Osi Umenyiora, Marcus Trufant, Mike Peterson, Todd Heap, Darrell Jackson, DeAngelo Hall, Mike Vick, Drew Brees, Tony Gonzalez, Rodney Harrison, LaRoi Glover, Lance Briggs, Ronde Barber, Dwight Smith, Lofa Tatupu, Reggie Wayne, Brian Westbrook, Julian Peterson, Marcus Trufant

Week 10 College Football Picks Review: 2006

With another sub par performance, I’m stuck holding my head in shame. Sitting at 5-7 in the college ranks, I’m stuck wondering what could have been… Another week of pondering a shift in predictions awaits me, but for now, here’s my week 10 in review.

West Virginia (+1.5) @ Louisville Cardinals: LOSS! Louisville could stop West Virginia 1 out of every 3 drives, and Westy’s defense could never halt the Cardinal attack. Those two important factors kept the home team Cardinals undefeated while eliminating West Virginia’s Championship hopes.

Virginia Cavaliers (+12.5) @ Florida State Seminoles: LOSS! The Cavaliers just didn’t come to play, and that’s the flat out truth. FSU finally played like a Florida program, and I got my second loss in as many tries.

Missouri Tigers (+6.5) @ Nebraska Cornhuskers: LOSS! Those pesky Cornhuskers gave the Tigers yet another loss after their 6-0 start to the season. Nebraska is like Norte Dame for me these days, I just can’t figure out when they’re going to come to play and when they’re staying home.

Maryland (+17) @ Clemson Tigers: WIN! Maryland came out and slapped Clemson around, and I knew from the get go this was going to be an easy cover. Naturally, the game came down to a field goal, and the Terrapins walked out of Clemson with another big win, giving me win numero uno on the day.

Indiana Hoosiers (+6) @ Minnesota Golden Gophers: LOSS! The Hoosiers got pistol whipped by the Gophers, something I should have seen coming. I knew Minnesota was better than their record, but I thought the Hoosiers passing attack get them the win. I forgot about their terrible run defense, as the Gophers dominated early and often.

Pittsburgh Panthers (-5) @ South Florida Bulls: LOSS! The Pitt Panthers lost on the road, and except for the fact that they’re Pitt, and they do that type of stuff to sub par teams, I still don’t know how the managed to blow this much needed victory. What they did do is guarantee I wouldn’t have a good week.

Navy Midshipmen (-10.5) @ Duke Blue Devils: WIN! The Navy Midshipmen came out and stomped the Blue Devils, just as I had suspected. 38-13 looks nice, but I did suspect the Midshipmen would shut Duke out. However, whooping them by 25 will do just fine.

Georgia Bulldogs (-7) @ Kentucky Wildcats: LOSS! After Kentucky pumped Georgia, scoring 14 of their 24 points in the 4th quarter, I was now looking to win out to get to .500, something that never feels good. Georgia has really gone full circle in their tumble. A team dedicated to their defense has been man-handled by more than a couple teams this year.

North Carolina Tar Heels (+27) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish: WIN! Those Irish, tricky little buggers, but I had their number this week. The Tar Heels are a bad football team, yet, for some reason, I knew the Irish would have a hard time coming to play on Saturday. I covered by 8 points, and the Irish, who should have won 52-7, just stalled long enough to get me the win. Thanks guys.

Florida Gators @ Vanderbilt Commodores (+17): WIN! Vanderbilt was down 25-6 after 3 quarters of play, but a couple 4th quarter scores guaranteed a victory for me. The Commodores couldn’t pull off the upset, falling 6 points short, but once again, they fought to the bitter end against a much stronger opponent.

Purdue Boilermakers (+2.5) @ Michigan State Spartans: WIN! Purdue ousted the Spartans in Michigan, 17-15, in a very boring game between two big time struggling programs. State lost their 6th game in their last 7 after crumbling to the Fighting Irish in Week 4. What a fall from grace. The Spartans always seem to really struggle after a big loss.

Washington Huskies (+14) @ Oregon Ducks: LOSS! The loss of Isaiah Stanbach finally came to kill the Huskies, as Oregon played tough throughout, and the Dawgs came up a touchdown short of making me a winner. Nothing seemed to go the Huskies way, as they lost their 5th straight game, (all close except the Duck game) going into their last two games of the season.

2006 Fantasy Football Review – Week 9

This Week’s Top Team: I couldn’t quite get to 150, but 144 isn’t too shabby either… This is how I broke down the 14 barrier…

QB: Peyton Manning: Peyton piled up the yards against the Patriots on route to a huge win over New England on Sunday Night Football. With 2 touchdowns passes and over 300 yards, Peyton was 4th in the league with 23 fantasy points this week.

RB: Larry Johnson: Larry matched LT’s yardage totals, rushing for 172, but his single score brought his total to 23 fantasy points, good for 5t amongst all running backs in Week 9.

RB: LaDainian Tomlinson: LT busted out as the number 1 fantasy scorer in the running back class. His 172 yards and 3 touchdowns made me a happy man to the tune of 37 fantasy points.

WR: Terrell Owens: Romo’s gonna start yelling at TO if he continues to drop huge game winning plays like he has the last couple weeks. 2 weeks ago it was a 4th down play that TO let slip, and this week, a 70 yard touchdown bomb right on the money broke through Owen’s grasp. But TO got his points, scoring 13 (76 yards and a score) good for 13 fantasy points, and a Top 10 ranking.

WR: Marvin Harrison: “This game will be seen everywhere, and Marvin always produces in these situations.” What can I say, Marvin is a prime time performer. Did you see his catch in the endzone, the one handed stab, and the tight rope balancing act? 8 catches, 2 touchdowns, 145 yards, Marvin was the 2nd highest point scorer, busting out with 26 fantasy points.

TE: Algae Crumpler: Crumps had 47 yards and a touchdown, good for 10 fantasy points, and 4th overall in the race for this week’s top tight end. I’ll take 10 from a TE any week.

K: Jeff Wilkins: Jeff had 1 field goal (41 yards) and 2 extra points, which could very well get him the boot for next weeks game against the Hawks. 6 points.

D: Bears: Wow.. Chicago got run by Joey and the Dolphins… I must admit, I had a hunch something like this would happen sooner or later to the Bears… But I didn’t think sooner… 6 measly fantasy points put me in a defensive rut.

LUCKY’S Week 9 SLEEPERS

Rexxy Grossman: Ugh… 6 fantasy points… F!

Tony Romo: Romo balled this week, even tought TO dropped a 70 yard touchdown pass, and the Cowboys got upset by the Redskins in Washington. Romo tied Peyton for the 4th highest total by a QB, rolling 23 in the loss. A+

Laurence Maroney: LoMo didn’t do much, fantasy-wise, but it wasn’t his fault. With his 13 carries, he piled up 67 yards, and instead of just smashing Mo and Dillon into the Colts bad run defense, Bellichick and the Patriots apparently didn’t want to win, so they just kept on passing. Mo had 6 points… Warranting a D

Jerious Norwood: Jerious got 5 carries for 34 yards… That’s a 6.8 yard per carry average. Hey, Falcons, give this cat the damn ball. He’s been money when given more than 8 carries a game. He’s bound to break a run or two out of 10. Or you can keep feeding Dunn… D

Antonio Bryant: Antonio Bryant only had 2 catches in the Niner win over the suddenly horrendous Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. 24 yards just doesn’t get the job done. F!

Lee Evans: Lee only had 2 catches, but one went for a long touchdown and a game clincher at that, against the Packers. Evans needs about 15 touches a game, he’s the best thing the Bills have going. 11 points, not too bad, I’ll take a… B

Ben Watson: Last week everyone got the ball against Minnesota, but Reche was featured. This week, Ben Watson will be needed, his game breaking ability against a sub par defensive front, and hurting safeties. Watson is a match-up nightmare for the Colts, Bill Bellichick knows how to take advantage of things like that.

Jaguars DST: The Jags defense knows they have to step it up with their offense’s struggles. They’ll put the heat on Vince Young and the Titans rushing attack.

LUCKY’S Week 9 WUSSIES

Ben Roethlisberger: BIG Ben had 433 yards passing, but his 3 interceptions killed his Steelers as Denver kept on rolling in Pittsburgh. Benny bounced to 17 fantasy points on the week, which was a Top 10 performance, but I’m not completely wrong here, as his 3 picks eliminated the defending champs from the playoffs this year.

Rudi Johnson: Rudi wants more carries? Well he got 18, and he did the best he could with them. Against Baltimore, this cat had 77 yards and a touchdown. WHAT was I thinking putting the league’s toughest guy on the Wussy list?

Hines Ward: Hines had a nice game, massive yards, 127, but a fumble late broke the Steelers’ back, and brought Ward’s totals down to 10 in Week 9.

Randy McMichael: Bears. Joey Harrington. 1-7…. You got anything else to throw on this fire?

2006 Fantasy Football Week 10 theRUNDOWN

This Week’s Top Team: 140+ points, here I come… This week I’m looking for at least 2 guys who roam atop their position in the fantasy point standings. These are my guys.

QB: Donovan McNabb: The Eagles have to win this week against the Redskins, and DNabb is the man to bring them to victory. With Washington’s defense starting to play tougher against the run, look for McNabb to take advantage of his two young receivers on way to routing the Skins.

RB: Larry Johnson: I promised myself I wouldn’t take LJ and LT this weekend, but since that would hurt my chances at scoring the most possible points, I’m boinking that idea and going with the two best running backs in the league for the 3rd straight week. But, next week, I promise, I’ll pick two new contestants on the Price is right. Look for LJ to score more points than the entire Dolphin team.

RB: LaDainian Tomlinson: Tomlinson will be relied on to terminate the Bengals, something he’ll do his best to complete. Look for LT to get more touches outside of the tackle box this weekend, short passes, crossing patterns, and screens will help him get in the open field. LT will have yet another big day.

WR: Terrell Owens: Terrell has to have a huge week after killing his team by dropping an easy touchdown bomb last weekend, finally resulting in a Redskins win over the Boys, who had outplayed Washington all day long. Arizona, even more so than most other teams, have no answer for Owens’ playmaking ability. Look for TO to have his best game of the season against ‘Zona.

WR: Anquan Boldin: Larry Fitzgerald will be back on the field this weekend, and that means Boldin won’t get all the coverage from the defense. AB will have a huge day against a Cowboy team that isn’t stout against the pass. Dennis Green has had a couple weeks to prepare for this, so expect a big shootout in Arizona.

TE: Desmond Clark: With æ of the Giants’ defensive line sidelined by injury, Clark won’t be relied on at all to pass block. That means he’ll be running more routs, and getting more balls. Grossman finds safety in feeding Desmond, something I’m ready and willing to take advantage of.

K: Neil Rackers: Finally, Neil has to get back to his old form sooner or later. I’m not happy with sooner or later, I’m rolling the dice on this week, I’ll even predict a game winner from about 40 yards out on Sunday. Take that Cowgirls!

D: Ravens: It almost feels like cheating, taking Baltimore to dominate the Titans, but a mans got to do what a mans got to do. After Tennessee struggled last week, you can bet Baltimore will blitz Vince Young into submission.

If I were Steve Fischer, I wouldn’t have let Vince watch game film on the Ravens. No need to scare the kid.

LUCKY’S Week 10 SLEEPERS

Tony Romo: ToRo will be slangin’ missiles all day long against the Cardinals. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a nice number of rushing yards from Romo either, maybe even a score, because the Cardinals don’t hold their lines, or keep contain very well at all.

David Garrard: Houston’s little defenders won’t be able to compete with Jacksonville’s size at the receiver position. And the jaguars will get close to the endzone more than a handful of times. That means, Garrard will have more than a couple touchdown lobs to his threesome of big boys on the corners.

Steven Jackson: After LT and LJ, I would take Steven Jackson next. Jackson and the Rams always play well against Seattle, and although the Hawks downed the Raiders easily last week, don’t expect the Rams to fall that easily. St. Louis’ running game is too strong, Seattle will struggle to contain this Beaver.

Frank Gore: In a game that promises some scoring, the starting back in San Francisco will get his first touchdown since the opening weeks. If he has to break one to do it, fine, but I think Nolan will give him another shot on the goal line this week in Detroit.

Tim Carter: This ultimate sleepers candidate will see the field more than ever this week against the Bears. Say what you want about Chicago’s defense, I know for sure the Giants can pass on that secondary. Tim Carter will get Toomer’s balls, and that means nice things from this waiver wire warrior.

Lee Evans: Lee should get his chance to shine against the Colts. The Bills are almost guaranteed to be down early, and if that doesn’t force the Bills to get Lee the ball, I don’t know what will. Evans looks to shine when he’s needed most, this week with Willis out nursing a couple broken ribs.

Jason Witten: J-Dub will get his this week in Arizona. Owens will start off getting most of Romo’s attention, but when the coaching staff notices Witten getting single covered by linebackers, Romo will find him for big gains, and a touchdown. Expect double digits in fantasy points for Wit.

Jaguars DST: The Jags defense has a shark to blood mentality. This week, JAX hosts the Texans. Since Lefty went down, the Jag defense has stepped up. Against a bloodied Texan offense, expect these cats to pounce and pummel the hapless Houston 1st Pick in the NFL drafters.

LUCKY’S Week 10 WUSSIES

Brett Favre: Luckily for the Vikings, their defense has shown they can play better than they did on Monday Night Football against the Patriots. Favre will get rushed into mistakes, and a tough game in Minni’s Dome.

Edgerrin James: Peyton! Tony! Marvin! Where the hell have you guys gone? You need me! I need you! On second thought, I’ll take all this damn money and run right the hell into defenders! Single digit fantasy points! (Taken from James’ subconscious)

Plaxico Burress: I don’t know why a dude with a bad back is calling out one of the hardest hitting units in professinal sports, but for such a dumb call by PB, you can bet he makes my wussy list of the week.

Randy Moss: Randy against Champ. This would be a great match up if Moss was playing anywhere but Oakland. Unfortunately for him, and my fantasy team, Randy can’t do dick if Elmer freaking Fudd is throwing him the ball. The way the Raider O line is blocking lately, it might as well be Fudd back there, he’s got just as good a chance as getting the ball off as Andrew Walter does.

Free Football Picks 06-07 Week 9

It’s back to what I know best. These teams are winning on Sunday. They’re coming out and smashing faces, crushing heads, and taking numbers for the second half. Speaking of second halves, this is the start of mine. After a very mediocre first 8 weeks of NFL Football, this is my beginning to a run to the playoffs.TOP 5 Bets – Ordered Numerically by LL himself;

1. Dallas over Washington
2. Atlanta over Detroit
3. Minnesota over San Francisco
4. Denver over the Steelers
5. Kansas City over St. Louis

Atlanta (-5) at Detroit: Riding Michael Vick’s rainbow ride might get me in trouble here, but even without Vick throwing for 4 touchdowns against the Lions, I still can’t see Atlanta winning by less than a touchdown. Ride Atlanta’s newfound offensive explosion as they play the Lions in Detroit, where offenses shine.

Cincinnati at Baltimore (-3): This is a tough game for me. I like what the Bengals can be and have been in the past, but I also like the Ravens toughness on defense. Because of Carson Palmers’ inability to throw the ball accurately when he’s under pressure, something I’m sure the Ravens will put on him, I have to take Baltimore. Watching the game last week against Atlanta, I saw Palmer let up a little on his stride when the pocket was hectic. Against Baltimore that means interceptions. Turnovers translate to wins.

Dallas (-3) at Washington: I just can’t see the Cowboys losing this game. Tony Romo already had a mistake filled half against New York, so don’t expect him to be thunderstruck again in the Nation’s Capitol. Washington is better than their record, but at some point you just have to admit, they can’t find ways to win ball games. The Cowboys have more talent all over the field, and unless a Santana Moss Miracle explodes in the 4th quarter, I don’t see the Redskins competing in this game, nor do I see Mark Brunell finishing the 2nd Half. Ride the Cowboys high, and throw eggs at Drew Bledsoe from above!

Green Bay at Buffalo (-3): Green Bay is playing way better than they are. That’s right, you heard me, this Packer winning streak is something that should never happen. Buffalo has played like a pile of feces lately, but they still have a tough defense and a running game that can take down Green Bay. JP Losman has to play well or he’ll get pulled for Kelly Holcomb, either way, the Bills will be in a good spot. Kelly has a knack for coming in and playing well in a crunch, and JP has the talent to produce. That being said, all the Bills need is decent quarterback play to upend the Packer winning streak. They’ll get it this weekend at home.

Houston at N.Y. Giants (-13): This game will be a huge test for David Carr, the Giants team, and Tiki Barber. Carr will get another chance, so his confidence will be tested. Will he drop back and throw the ball like a man? Or will he drop back and try not to get benched by making a mistake. I like Carr, so I hope he does well, but I have a feeling he might be trying not to make mistakes, something that doesn’t bode well for the Texans. As for the Giants, everyone and their mother knows New York has to win this game, because when you have a freebee, you have to take it. The Giants psyche will be tested here. Can they win the games they absolutely are supposed to? And Tiki. Yes, Tiki will get the rock, and maybe even the chance to saunder into the end zone at home. With all the Tiki talk frolicking about, it’ll be nice to see Tiki have his best game of the season on Sunday.

Kansas City (+3) at St. Louis: The Chiefs are starting to catch their stride as the Rams are losers of 2 straight. Neither team has much room for error here, and while I’d like to make it clear that the Chiefs are 1-3 away from home, I’m rolling with Damon Huard, and mostly, the Running Man, one Larry Johnson. Larry is back to the guy he was last season, and soon the Chiefs get last years’ starting tackle, John Winborn, back from injury. The Chiefs are starting to get comfortable with Herman Edwards, and since I believe the Chiefs are playoff bound, I have to take them to upset the Rams on the road.

Miami at Chicago (-13.5): To start with, let me tell you that the Dolphins have yet to lose a game by more than 11 points all season long. However, they haven’t played the Bears yet. As Chicago has streaked to an undefeated opening, once again they come up to the Dolphins treading water in their way. While Miami is historically a team that crushes undefeated hopes, this will not be one of those times. I’ve got to believe that the Bears won’t come out salty like they did in Arizona. No more, “take games for granted” out of these Bears. They are so much tougher than Miami, they should win by 4 touchdowns. But History and a mighty spread keep me wary of this one, keeping it out of my Top 5.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+1): Defensive football teams are a big time struggle for the Saints. Tampa Bay struggled last week against New York, but, defensively they were still very sound. Tampa Bay’s offense will play better, and this low scoring, close game will go to the home team.

Tennessee at Jacksonville (-9):

Minnesota (-6.5) at San Francisco: I know the Vikings just got manhandled by New England and one Tom Brady, but the 49ers aren’t New England, and Alex Smith is no Tom Brady. Minnesota will walk in this game. The Vikes haven’t lost in this match-up since 1998, and the last time San Francisco was within 6.5 points at the end of the game, besides their win over Oakland, was St. Louis in Week 2. This shouldn’t be a contest, as even Brad Johnson can throw against the Niner defensive backfield.

Cleveland Browns (+14) at San Diego: The Browns looked much better under Romeo Crenell’s new offensive mindset, and Charlie Frye won’t have to deal with Shawn Merriman, so I’m rolling with the Browns and two touchdowns. Cleveland has a talented team, and with a new approach on offense, Frye should be able to pass efficiently enough for Cleveland to give San Diego a scare on Sunday.

Denver (+3) at Pittsburgh: I don’t see the Steelers’ season turning around here. A week after getting Manning’ed by the Colts, Shanahan’s crew will bounce back in Pittsburgh. Mike Bell has the power to rush effectively against the Steelers, while Denver’s defense should get back on track against a struggling Ben Roethlisberger and a rushing attack that hasn’t impressed all season long. I hate to do it, but I’m taking Denver to roll the Steelers.

Indianapolis (+1) at New England: I’m going with the Colts here, but not because the Patriots are overrated, or bad, or anything of that sort. I’m going with Peyton Manning here because I know he can take advantage of the Patriots shortcomings on defense. This should be one hell of a game, but Peyton gets the nod, as he’s been amazing the last few weeks.

Oakland at Seattle (-8): Without Matt Hasselbeck, without Shaun Alexander, without God’s good graces, the Seahawks will still dominate the Raiders. Oakland comes in winners of their last two games, sure, but there is no way they get that lucky 3 times in a row. Their team is terrible, and the Hawks defense isn’t as bad as it has been lately. Expect a drumming in the 35-13 range on Monday Night.

Some NFL Enigmas

The NFL’s Enigmas

So, I’ve had a tough open to the NBA season, big deal, I’ll be back. In fact tonight’s games prove profitable, so right now I’m going to pick every single one.

Milwaukee (+1) @ Toronto
Philadelphia @ Orlando (-5)
New Orleans @ Indiana (-4)
Detroit (-1.5) @ Boston
New York @ Atlanta (-2.5)
New Jersey (+4) @ Miami
Charlotte (+4) @ Memphis
Cleveland (+5.5) @ San Antonio
Sacramento (+6) @ Chicago
Minnesota @ Denver (-5)
Utah @ Phoenix (-6.5)
Seattle @ LA Lakers (-4)
Portland (+8.5) @ Golden State
Let the wins roll in….

As for the NFL, I don’t know about you, but there are some crazy stats that need some addressing…

Even if you told me that Trent Green would go down with injury early, and Damon Huard would start 6 games, I never would have guessed that halfway through the season Huard would have thrown more touchdowns (8) than Big Ben Roethlisberger (6). And how about Ben’s 11 picks. Gross.
And how about Donovan McNabb leading the league in passing by nearly 350 yards over his closest competitor, Peyton Manning. I know the Eagles haven’t had a bye week yet, but it’d be hard to find a predictor who would have claimed D-Nabb would have led the league in assign yards and touchdowns through the first 8 weeks, especially with TO gone, and Donte Stallworth out with injury for most of the first half.
After the Giants first 3 games, putting them at 5-2 after 8 weeks would have been a stretch. But it seems the G Men have rallied behind Tiki Barber in what he promises is his last season of football.
Saints rookie, Marques Colston has burst on to the scene, and that’s a wonderful thing, but considering he has just more touchdown catches than Chad Johnson and Steve Smith put together, how good does that late round draft pick look now? As far as Chad Johnson is concerned, TJ Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry have more touchdowns than Cinco de’ UNO. One has to wonder if that will remain the same?
How about my man, Dwight Freeney? The pass rushing dynamo doesn’t have a full sack on the season, while 5th round rookie selection Mark Anderson of the Bears has tallied 7.5 big ones in his first 7 games.
I love it when draft day selections work out perfectly. The Bears had a hell of a draft come to think of it. Daniel Manning is a starter, Devin Hester has returned 2 punts for touchdowns, and of course Mark Anderson has been balling. But the Bears said they needed someone who could set them up via the return game. Hester followed through early when he won the teams’ Monday Night Fiasco against the Cardinals. Yeah, not such a bad pick now, eh draft experts.
And how about Robbie Gould making a run at the 2006 Neil Rackers Award. Robbie is on pace to rock Neil’s 40 FG’s… Who knew. The kid, who I’m about to jinx, is 20-20 of FG attempts. He’s improved his distance accuracy from last seasons’ 21-27 campaign. If he gets one through the posts this week against Miami, he ties his 2005 totals.
How about the “Brett Favre should retire” party that used to meet every Monday and Wednesday in every city besides Green Bay Wisconsin (a town, not a city)? Oh yeah, meetings seemed to have ceased, and quiet are the fools that begged the Hall-Of-Famer to call it quits. Brett isn’t running the league or anything, but on a team with a very young O-Line, no Javon Walker, and a rookie starting at WR, Brett sits in the Top 10 in passing yards (1,661) and touchdowns (10), and his interception totals aren’t bad either, only 5.
And last but not least, certainly not least, how about Vincent Young. My good God, it’s time for someone to give this kid, and the Titans organization, some credit. He doesn’t have the best numbers in the league, but the kid has 4 TD passes, (4 INTS), 2 rushing scores, and has led (yes, led) his young team to two straight victories, and is 2-2 as a starter. He doesn’t have stud wide receivers or a great running back, but he’s straight getting it done. He’s going to be a great player. What you think about that Jaws?

Sorry for the Novel, Y’all…. Keep Reading, a new Top Shelf is already on the way…(Special Handshake) Peace!